(23-01-2024, 07:30 AM)Bigiron Wrote: [ -> ]Infographic: Taiwan’s Thinly Woven Diplomatic Web
This chart shows which countries are maintaining diplomatic relations with Taiwan, as of January 15, 2023.
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The results of the Taiwan presidential election are out, with “Taiwan independence” advocate William Lai Ching-te becoming the president-elect. However, winning with just 40% of the vote, he is set to become a true “minority president”.
Moreover, no party won an absolute majority of seats in the Legislative Yuan, with the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) gaining a minority of seats, the Kuomintang (KMT) winning the most seats, and the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) becoming a key minority. This “triple minority” situation will pose a challenge in political manoeuvrings within the legislature.
Challenges in Legislative Yuan
To observers outside Taiwan, 60% of voters wanted the DPP to be “taken off the shelf” before the elections; with Lai only securing 40% of votes, how can he represent mainstream public opinion? At the same time, with mainland China harshly criticising Lai’s stance on Taiwan independence, coupled with growing economic, trade and military pressure, how can Lai ease tense cross-strait relations if he refuses to compromise?
To the people of Taiwan, if the ruling party is not backed by an absolute majority in the Legislative Yuan, and the executive and legislative branches are going to be controlled by different political parties, then policies, legislations and budgets will certainly be affected.
If compromises cannot be reached, that is if the ruling party fails to join hands with the third-largest party in the Legislative Yuan and fails to make concessions to the KMT which is now the largest opposition party, there will never be peace in the Legislative Yuan and smooth governance.
Mainland China has long defined Lai as an out-and-out “worker for Taiwan independence”, and warned more than once that such people were “troublemakers” who would only push Taiwan to the brink of war. Lai’s past actions have proven time after time that his leanings towards Taiwan independence are more extreme than outgoing Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen’s. However, to dispel any doubts about his tendencies, Lai has claimed that he will follow in the footsteps of Tsai
Mainland China has long defined Lai as an out-and-out “worker for Taiwan “troublemakers” who would only push Taiwan to the brink of war. Lai’s past actions have proven time after time that his leanings towards Taiwan independence are more extreme than outgoing Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen’s. However, to dispel any doubts about his tendencies, Lai has claimed that he will follow in the footsteps of Tsai.
Supporters of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) take a selfie, as they celebrate during a rally, following the victory of Lai Ching-te in the presidential elections, in Taipei, Taiwan, on 13 January 2024. (Ann Wang/Reuters)
However, mainland China is not buying it, with the Taiwan Affairs Office (TAO) clearly stating that the so-called “Tsai Ing-wen path” is the path that advocates for Taiwan independence and brings confrontation and damage to Taiwan. Not only that, following such a path would “keep pushing Taiwan further away from peace and prosperity, and closer to war and recession”. With Lai set to take office, the shadow of war in the Taiwan Strait is growing thicker.
The most convenient way to reach a compromise is to suspend the independence clause in the 1991 party charter in his capacity as DPP chairman.
Compromises needed.
The US is also doubtful about Lai, as it is aware that Lai’s election could trigger a Taiwan Strait crisis. Just one day after the election, an unofficial delegation from the White House arrived in Taiwan to meet the President-elect in an attempt to manage tense cross-strait relations that could escalate.
Lai has always been a staunch advocate of Taiwan independence, if he is unable to suitably compromise, it could be difficult to stabilise cross-strait relations and keep them from spiralling out of control.
https://www.thinkchina.sg/