SG Talk

3200 is the high estimate of fair value if interest rate goes to 4.5%

If earnings recession 2800

If economic recession 2500.

It's the cold hard numbers.

It can turn out quite bad. 2021 was a big bubble.

Those who want yo invest, there are 2 ways

1. Dollar cost average buy once very 2-3 months.
2. Milestone buying this is more tricky. You buy as the s&p hit certain levels like 3200....or you go by time like buying after mid 2023 when problems are expected to be at worst point...and market already absorb all the bad vibes.

If u wanna time market, buy when Fed first time reduce interest rate.

Now is increasing interest rate... so volatile time. Use above.

with all these US interest hike, the hardest hit will be china property price & market!!
If US stock adown another 20-30%, then china property will crash another 40-60% from here although currently ton already crash 40-60% from their top!!
plus RMB/CNH crash much harder from here although RMB already down 10-15% this yr till now, lost in stock & property buy foreign investors are double whammy!!
nice!!

China dont need increase rate now already in self spiral Ham Kar Chang Degraded In everything.

3200/3300 is a good level to start DCA.

(22-09-2022, 11:57 AM)Sharexchange Wrote: [ -> ]China dont need increase rate now already in self spiral Ham Kar Chang Degraded In everything.

Yr LJ less than 1inch. No worry... wont increase anymore