Highly unlikely that Ukraine will capture Melitopol after advancing beyond
Tokmak in the next 3 mths as assessment by
Estonian intelligence, as reported by on Sept. 15. As Ukrainian have taken several important heights near Novoprokopivka.
https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-advance-t...00106.html
(13-09-2023, 06:16 PM)Tee tiong huat Wrote: [ -> ]Key Judgement-1: It is likely Ukraine will capture Tokmak, allowing for a continued assault on Melitopol in the next 3 months.
Key Judgement-2: It is highly unlikely Ukraine will capture Melitopol after advancing beyond Tokmak in the next 3 months.
Key Judgement-3: It is highly unlikely a stalled Ukrainian advance and failure to capture Melitopol will decrease public support for arming & funding Ukraine in the next 3 months
https://greydynamics.com/battle-for-tokm...-analysis/
Russia is deploying additional check ‘hedgehog’ anti-tank defences and digging new trenches in the area.
Tokmak is prepare to become a lynchpin of Russia’s second main line of defences. Improvements to the town’s defences likely indicates Russia’s growing concern about Ukraine’s tactical penetrations of the first main defensive line in the north.”.
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/world/ru...07573.html
@full strength, force constitute around 10,000 elite paratroopers,” almost all units are likely dramatically under strength.” Personnel were drawn from Russian 7th and 76th divisions of Russia’s Airborne Troops to
be redeployed at least five airborne regiments to Robotyne, Zaporizhzhia Oblast to reinforce "hard-🤮😭🤭pressed" 58th Combined Army.
https://kyivindependent.com/uk-defense-m...-infantry/
Ukraine's counteroffensive has breached Russian first defensive line and is moving toward
Tokmak about 15k/m away. Gen. Mark Milley said. Ukraine is breaking through complex defenses and making progress, the top general said the advance is bloody, long and slow" but that this is not unusual in war.
https://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-...mendations=
(07-03-2023, 11:21 AM)Tee tiong huat Wrote: [ -> ]Now a series of newer armed from Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) strikes using another unidentified weapon hammered targets in Mariupol and up to 200 k/m. The Russian-occupied Azov Sea port city. While another 88 Germany Leopard tanks entered Tongue 
Ukrainian border, mean...arthh huatarhh.
https://youtu.be/XCrM8t7Q4fE
Even more advanced Vilkha-M2 (P624M-2) will be able to deliver warhead weighing 170 kg to a range of up to 200 km 
And Now
Ukraine and France both is discussing deliveries of
Mirage 2000D fighters that can carry
Storm Shadow and
SCALP EG cruise missiles. Ukrainian Air Force may receive French fourth-generation Mirage 2000D fighter jets in the future. This is reported by Intelligence Online.
https://gagadget.com/en/319638-ukraine-a...ruise-mis/
(25-08-2023, 04:54 PM)Tee tiong huat Wrote: [ -> ]BulgarianMilitary.com recalls comparison between Su-27 and F-16 was made some time ago by the Ukrainian pilot Lieutenant Colonel Fischer Dmitry Vilhelmovich. Who admits flew in the early days no F-16 and was satisfied with the American Falcon. However, he confirms words of Russian experts, saying that F-16 has inferior characteristics to those of “its Su-27”. The Ukrainian pilot discussed comparing Su-27 and F-16 in terms of maneuverability and close combat. His opinion is that, first of all, no one beats Russian fighters terms of maneuverability, and as for close combat, Su-27 superior to US F-16. It is the maneuverability that even distinguishes Su-27 from all Soviet/Russian fighters. Many local [Russian] experts perceive Su-27 as the most maneuverable fighter in the air.
Comparison between Su-27 and F-16 is as logical as it is illogical. According to many military air experts, Su-27 should not be compared with F-16, but with another US flagship – the F-15. But the fact that the closest to the MiG-29 – the competitor of the F-16 in the same class, is Su-27, that’s why this comparison is currently being made. 
Su-27, why comparison currently being made
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/20...643ddc612e
And Now Big Grin
Clapping
Ukraine and
France both is discussing deliveries of
Mirage 2000D fighters that can carry Storm Shadow and SCALP EG cruise missiles. Rotfl Ukrainian Air Force may receive French fourth-generation Mirage 2000D fighter jets in the future. This is reported by Intelligence Online.
https://gagadget.com/en/319638-ukraine-a...ruise-mis/
(21-09-2023, 10:52 AM)Tee tiong huat Wrote: [ -> ]Su-27, why comparison currently being made
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/20...643ddc612e
And Now Big Grin Clapping Ukraine and France both is discussing deliveries of Mirage 2000D fighters that can carry Storm Shadow and SCALP EG cruise missiles. Rotfl Ukrainian Air Force may receive French fourth-generation Mirage 2000D fighter jets in the future. This is reported by Intelligence Online.
https://gagadget.com/en/319638-ukraine-a...ruise-mis/
Here's What We Know
According to the source, a delegation of the Ukrainian Air Force travelled to France to discuss and agree on the details of the future deal. It is possible that the training of
Ukrainian pilots has already begun. At same time, no number of aircraft has not yet been specified.
https://gagadget.com/en/319638-ukraine-a...ruise-mis/
The Mirage 2000D is one of several modifications of the
fourth-generation Mirage 2000 fighter. It made its debut flight in Feb-1991, and production model took to the skies for first time two years later.
The main mission of Mirage 2000D is counter enemy air defences and strike ground targets. The fighter is a carrier of SCALP EG and Storm Shadow cruise missiles, which have already entered service with the Ukrainian Air Force. French Air Force has more than
50 aircraft in its arsenal,
is undergoing modernisation to improve combat capabilities in air-to-air and air-to-ground operations. Some fighter jets have the Link 16 communications system, which allows them to share data with friendly forces on the ground and in the air.
Source: Intelligence Online
Note:
China's $9,500 Mugin-5 Pro drone may have been used to attack an oil refinery in Russia
US is ialking about ATACMS with a cluster warhead, we're talking about M39 and M39A1 variants, the first configuration has a 560kg warhead with 950 submunitions. launch range is165 k/m, 2nd variant can hit targets within a radius of 300 kilometres, the weight of warhead has been reduced to 160kg and number of submunitions to 275. Ukraine is to receive ATACMS ballistic missiles with cluster warheads - News from Washington.
Friday. Ukraine strikes into Crimea over
weekend, special forces targeted a meeting of Black Sea Fleet leaders, it killed n wounded dozens, including top officials. (Satellite image shows smoke billowing) from Black Sea Fleet Hq in Sevastopol, Crimea.) Saturday, Ukraine Battleground updates. Ukrainian forces and their armored vehicles have pushed through Russia’s 1st and now reaching 2nd main defensive line war’s southern front, known as “Surovikin line,” a local commander told.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/202...-war-news/
The use of heavy weapons supplied by West in the fierce battle raging on out near Bakhmut, inflicting a significant toll on enemy lines, local commanders said. Buoyed after it capture last week of the key village of Klishchiivka, Ukrainian troops have lauded the 155 millimetre howitzers as key equipment being provided by US and its NATO allies.
Unit commander Oleksandr said
https://www.euractiv.com/section/global-...r-bakhmut/
Ukrainian forces have breached Russian defensive line in southeast front with armored vehicles, a significant milestone in 3½-mth counteroffensive aimed at cutting Russia’s occupying army in two. As US Abrams tanks has arrived in Ukraine and are "getting prepared to reinforce our brigades," Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Monday. Good news from Minister [of Defense Rustem] Umerov. 'Abrams' are already in Ukraine and are getting prepared to reinforce our brigades.
https://www.barrons.com/news/us-abrams-b...s-7ef3dc9d
(20-09-2023, 08:03 AM)Tee tiong huat Wrote: [ -> ]Ukraine's counteroffensive has breached Russian first defensive line and is moving toward Tokmak about 15k/m away. Gen. Mark Milley said. Ukraine is breaking through complex defenses and making progress, the top general said the advance is bloody, long and slow" but that this is not unusual in war.
https://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-...mendations=
Wall Street Journal reported. US to send a mobile launcher, ATACMS can can hit targets up to 190 miles (300km
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/s...t-for-kyiv
Two ukrainian missiles smashed into headquarters of Russia’s Black Sea fleet b'for noon on 22-Sept. Is time, there's no cover-up. Censors had most social-media posts written by locals,
the daytime strike on central Sevastopol, is timed to coincide with a meeting of senior generals, was not possible to hush up. Local chatrooms buzzed with gossip.
https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/09...-in-crimea
Since mid-September 2023, Russia has committed elements of its new 25th Combined Arms Army to action for the first time. The formation started moving into Ukraine from late Aug-2023,” 164th Separate Motor Rifle Brigade, are reported fighting on at front west of Severodonetsk & Kreminna. The British intelligence update.
https://english.alarabiya.net/News/world...e-UK-intel
Study of War (ISW) Russian officials have fewer Russian ground attacks along
Kupiansk and
Lyman directions means Ukrainian counteroffensive has distracted Russian forces from the
Kupiansk-Svatove-Kreminna line and significantly weakened the Russian offensive effort along this frontal.
https://kyivindependent.com/isw-russia-h...inna-line/
Last week Ukrainian forces managed to capture
Robotyne, Battles are now raging along this line, with Ukrainian forces trying to cut path to
Tokmak is identified as a priority target by Ukrainian offensive.
Tokmak is key Russian held city stronghold, but more importantly a garrison and supply hub for a significant part of southern front. Should Ukrainian forces reach
Tokmak before onset of Autumn & the heavy rainfalls they would be able to significantly hinder Russian logistics along southern front, which could lead to a deterioration of Russian forces in area setting stage for further Ukrainian offensive operations – most probably in Winter 2023/2024.
https://pulaski.pl/war-in-ukraine-weekly...1-09-2023/
Russia has lost around 90 fixed wing aircraft since start of invasion, this's only fifth loss of a Su-35S, Russia’s most advanced combat jet in svc. It is developed by Sukhoi, it represents a significant evolution of Su-27 family, equipped with state-of-the-art avionics, advanced radar systems, and a wide range of air-to-air & air-to-ground weaponry, highly Russia likely” shot down one of their own multi-role combat jets over
Tokmak.
https://english.alarabiya.net/News/world...e-UK-intel
(27-09-2023, 01:17 PM)Tee tiong huat Wrote: [ -> ]Ukrainian missiles smashed into headquarters of Russia’s Black Sea fleet b'for noon on 22-Sept. There's no cover-up on censors and is mostly in most social media posts written by locals, the daytime strike on central Sevastopol, is timed to coincide with a meeting of senior generals, was not possible to hush up. Local chatrooms buzzed with gossip.
https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/09...-in-crimea
Ukraine hit Russia’s navy base in Crimea so hard that it is likely pulling some missions back to safer waters, UK intel says. Russia is probably moving naval operations away from Crimea amid Ukrainian attacks. Ukrainian strikes on the port of Sevastopol have ramped up pressure on Putin.
https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-m...023-10?amp
Russia moves 14 Black Sea Fleet ships to Novorossiysk – UKRAINSKA PRAVDA
Satellite images dated 1 Oct-2023 show 14 Russian Black Sea Fleet shops were moved out from Sevastopol in occupied Crimea to Novorossiysk into Russia's Krasnodar Krai.
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/10/5/7422697/
(04-03-2023, 08:12 PM)Tee tiong huat Wrote: [ -> ]Putin Miscalculated is not only a self-inflicted, he did it for to many times...
https://youtu.be/8YkGrKQXZxE
Ukraine won’t rest ourselves until it fully de-occupy our lands.
Ruzzian Fleeing Sevastopol
Satellite imagery shows @least dozen of Russian vessels, including guided missile frigates, landing ships submarines
has been hastily relocated their main base in Sevastopol port annexed Crimea 》to Russian Novorossiisk about 300km (186 miles)
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/o...ian-forces
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