SG Talk

I predict Fed to raise rates tonight ...

Despite this being expected market will move sharply when market looks at the dot plots released by the Fed.

Quote:Despite this being expected market will move sharply when market looks at the dot plots released by the Fed.

Dun understand what you writing, sounds oxymoronic

(26-07-2023, 05:52 PM)Sentinel Wrote: [ -> ]Dun understand what you writing, sounds oxymoronic

While the Fed is expected to hike rates, further hikes are unknown and we will receive hints about this in the dot plots published by the Fed.

What is in the dot plots is unknown are can move the market sharply.

What are dot plots and why they matter ....read article below;
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/...hould%20be.

(26-07-2023, 06:13 PM)sgbuffett Wrote: [ -> ]While the Fed is expected to hike rates, further hikes are unknown and we will receive hints about this in the dot plots published by the Fed.

What is in the dot plots is unknown are can move the market sharply.

What are dot plots and why they matter ....read article below;
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/...hould%20be.

Actually the hint is already given..

100% expect a rate hike

(26-07-2023, 06:20 PM)Sentinel Wrote: [ -> ]Actually the hint is already given..

100% expect a rate hike

last month , from Financial times already Claim yes, another interest rate hike " but they claim so call will be the last hike this year "

Move sharply tells us nothing. Can you tell us whether it'll move sharply up or sharply down?

It's quite a pity if you know what's going to happen big but unable to monetize the event

(26-07-2023, 07:14 PM)Blasterlord2 Wrote: [ -> ]Move sharply tells us nothing. Can you tell us whether it'll move sharply up or sharply down?

He is hedging his calls after being suaned non stop for being a reverse indicator

WHer is the sharp move leh?

these 'sharp' moves only happen in the forex market where the big players will push in up sharply
then push it down sharply
to take out the retail 'stops'

Fed rate decision already priced in.
So no more surprised moves.
Have been like that the last few rounds.