03-10-2021, 07:09 PM
(03-10-2021, 11:44 AM)sgbuffett Wrote: The death rate is 0.2%.
Based on our population of 5.8M
We will have 11,000 deaths due to Covid19.
Above is assuming on death rate staying constant no further mutant strain and not counting long covid effects and deaths
That's what cold hard numbers tell us..but this can go very wrong should something unexpected happens
Key variable is spread over how many years.
Delta R0 is higher than flu, so potentially get delta more times than flu, assuming no Safe Management for either