1. The new Variant is already out in the world.
2. The only type of border closure that can keep it out is a complete and permanent one. This will not happen.
3. The new variant will come to Singapore. It’s a matter of when not if.
4. The new variant appears to be outcompeting even Delta.
5. There is a likelihood that with so many mutations, the new variant could be resistant to current vaccines.
6. mRNA vaccines are still our best hope in the short run. The technology allows vaccine makers to quickly produce new vaccines.
7. The challenge is that if brand new vaccines need to be made, we will again have a supply issue like in early 2021.
8. In the medium term, there will be therapeutics.
9. If the Omicron variant is resistant to current vaccines, and it outcompetes delta faster than a new vaccine can be manufactured, the world will enter another crisis from Q2 2022.
10. By the end of next year, there will however be effective therapeutics. mRNA vaccine manufacturing is also getting more efficient.
11. Those countries and people who are resistant to mRNA vaccines will be increasingly left behind. The vaccines using inactivated virus technology, based on the original virus, will be rendered especially useless.
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