Fed aggressive rate hikes always cause deep recession
#1

the Fed's key rate spent nine of those years at the rock-bottom level of 0 percent, first from 2008 through 2015, and then from March 2020 to March 2022. The Fed's rate once soared to a target level as high as 20 percent in the early 1980s.15 Jun 2022
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#2

1. A recession is already factored jnto the market but not a deep one.

2. The interest rate is only 1.5% now. After next rate hike 2%. This is still a low rate environment.

The quicker the US economy go into recession , suppress inflation and stop Fed from further hikes is best scenario for stocks.

Not going into recession and high inflation is jn fact a bad combination

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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#3

It has already started already.
AngMoh companies always take the lead.
Manpower cutting is the current Big Trend.

“Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don't matter and those who matter don't mind"
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#4

Last Bond yield inversion was 40 years ago?
Will history repeat again?
Let shall see.

I still worrying about Jap Bond Bubble.
The quietest one is the most “dangxxous” one.

“Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don't matter and those who matter don't mind"
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#5

(24-06-2022, 09:45 AM)sgbuffett Wrote:  1. A recession is already factored jnto the market but not a deep one.

2. The interest rate is only 1.5% now. After next rate hike 2%. This is still a low rate environment.

The quicker the US economy go into recession , suppress inflation and stop Fed from further hikes is best scenario for stocks.

Not going into recession and high inflation is jn fact a bad combination
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#6

high brent crude of usd110 and food supply chain disruption globally can not be tackle vie sanction and hike interest rates aggressively only stock markets and bitcoin and housing can be lowered in value vie aggressive rate hikes
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#7

(24-06-2022, 09:31 AM)chartist kao Wrote:  the Fed's key rate spent nine of those years at the rock-bottom level of 0 percent, first from 2008 through 2015, and then from March 2020 to March 2022. The Fed's rate once soared to a target level as high as 20 percent in the early 1980s.15 Jun 2022

Welcome back, charist Kao! Laughter-68
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#8

Market will jump on hearing this news
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#9

These are some of the developments we are watching:

Worldwide concerns of a recession have increased with several economists predicting a U.S. recession in late 2022 or early 2023.
Real estate sales have fallen to their lowest level since 2020 in several countries as rising mortgage rates discourage buyers.
Australia's energy market was thrown into crisis in a case of market failure, resulting in soaring prices and fears of blackouts.

and the black swan in october 2022
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#10

(28-06-2022, 09:42 AM)kokee Wrote:  all these moronic know nut comie dogs here bark US debt of US$30T fpr so long & 7/24 here, bark US going to collapse soon for >10 yrs now, Dow surge from 10k to 30k today, USD become stronger, USD still, no one can even touch on reserved, trade, petrol currency.
now Russia bankrupt.
china dare not hike rate, why? because debt is so much higher than US, if US debt is the highest in the world as dog barks, why US hike rate so fast & so steep & has no problem to service all the debt? china dare to hike to service their debt? my foot, once hike, many jump down from their home.
all these comie liars here, know nut to con or brainwash brainless here only.


why US can hike rate so much yet china cant even hike a little, must cut rate & print more $$?
because USD is very strong, hike rate with strong USD, also US economy is strong to weather high rate.
hike rate, china has no money to pay back interest like russia today, bankrupt, default debt & bond.
so how is china economy today? all know what happen to china property crash, banks run & jobless surges to sky today with covid lock down, almost all factories move out.




官方承認加息引發衰退!欠債還錢的時候終於到了



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#11

what jardine angmos wanted to already sell he already did so so what next?

https://insideretail.asia/2019/03/05/dai...ive-years/
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#12

(24-06-2022, 09:48 AM)RiseofAsia Wrote:  It has already started already.
AngMoh companies always take the lead.
Manpower cutting is the current Big Trend.
https://media.tenor.com/images/62e78b073.../tenor.gif
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#13

the last write off is this angmos soon
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#14

we will like to see the angmos how he restructure his global interest rates when the us economy show stress after the last few times of hikes
[+] 1 user Likes chartist kao's post
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#15

4 july 2022 independence day long weekend sti takes the opportunity to stage a dead cat bounce back from today 4pm

https://images.app.goo.gl/kH6ZPSrqEWNZT36P8
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#16

usd sgd 1.385

https://images.app.goo.gl/kpXwhSDLdypmSjM9A
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#17

.

CPF management zzzzzz
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#18

(24-06-2022, 09:31 AM)chartist kao Wrote:  the Fed's key rate spent nine of those years at the rock-bottom level of 0 percent, first from 2008 through 2015, and then from March 2020 to March 2022. The Fed's rate once soared to a target level as high as 20 percent in the early 1980s.15 Jun 2022

Long time no see, where were you all these while, bro?

.
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#19

a dis-united state of america after
https://www.wpr.org/shows/divided-americ...-precedent

can a dis -united america unite a group of seven dis-united nations
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#20

(28-06-2022, 04:06 PM)chartist kao Wrote:  4 july 2022 independence day long weekend sti takes the opportunity to stage a dead cat bounce back from today 4pm

I don't understand - Are you suggesting a buy before end of this trading week ? Thinking
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#21

(24-06-2022, 05:30 PM)revealer Wrote:  Market will jump on hearing this news

You are pushing the market up ah?
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#22

no buy after oct 2022
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#23

august 2022 is a very voltaile month for sg stock
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#24

(29-06-2022, 09:16 AM)chartist kao Wrote:  no buy after oct 2022

https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/ba...ution-rate
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#25

after oct 2022 the only way to save hsbc share price is make the spinoff works
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/ba...eport-says
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#26

what asia banks can do to prepare for oct 2022 selloff

spin off ,issue bonds to beef after war chest

https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/ba...ce=website&utm_medium=article&utm_campaign=ONPAGESEO
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#27

and wait for china to do business with the world again and china tourists to vistit europe and asia soon
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#28

without the chinese from the second largest economy to spur growth globally we will have

https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital...lies-ahead
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#29

a strong rebounce in global markets will only happened after oct 2022
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/views/g...ccelerated
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#30

chinese tourists will go to europe to buy branded goods after 2022 if the stock market crashed in 2022 after FED aggressive rate hikes till october
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