Will FED Continue Lifting Rate in 2023?
#1

The near term target is 4% while the current rate in 2.25%
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#2

If FED lifts rate 3 more times this year of 0.75% each, the rate will exceed 4% by Christmas
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#3

I think the Fed will go ahead with next one and watch data coming in same like 2018. They were suppose hike more but the economy started to slow and inflation came down so they stopped...by then the market came down 20% ...and rallied from there.

Once market sink indicative of recession they will stop

All this means US market will have to go lower from here. Don't seem to be any scenario in which it avoids this ....maybe if Russia end war or oil crash to $60...

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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#4

(18-09-2022, 06:56 PM)sgbuffett Wrote:  I think the Fed will go ahead with next one and watch data coming in same like 2018. They were suppose hike more but the economy started to slow and inflation came down so they stopped...by then the market came down 20% ...and rallied from there.

Once market sink indicative of recession they will stop

All this means US market will have to go lower from here. Don't seem to be any scenario in which it avoids this ....maybe if Russia end war or oil crash to $60...

you are a genius.

The main purpose of rate hike is to tackle the inflation.
FED also said that CPI target must go down to 2%.
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#5

(18-09-2022, 06:56 PM)sgbuffett Wrote:  I think the Fed will go ahead with next one and watch data coming in same like 2018.  They were suppose hike more but the economy started to slow and inflation came down so they stopped...by then the market came down 20% ...and rallied from there.

Once market sink  indicative of recession  they will stop

All this means US market will have to go lower from here. Don't seem to be any scenario in which it avoids this ....maybe if Russia end war or oil crash to $60...

Raising rates only dampen the demand but does nothing to solve the supply issue.
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#6

only left 12 days to 30092022 for the US corp Dola.
we don't waste time pondering
we see we act.
Russia has only 200,000 men fighting a grave mistake
U see how it works Biden warns Putin not to use Tactical nuclear weapons
In the meantime we have geoengineering war across the whole planet
earthquakes and floods. The idea is to arm UN with trillions above all.
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#7

(18-09-2022, 07:06 PM)forum456 Wrote:  you are a genius.

The main purpose of rate hike is to tackle the inflation.
FED also said that CPI target must go down to 2%.

CPI is compared with with 1yr ago.
If it become is 2% from 8.4% for last month means economy collapsed.....

I think they are looking at cpi stabilising or coming down slightly that will be enough.

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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#8

after QE is QT it is dat simple
Dateline is 30092022 pay interest
a study of Japoni blackhole will tell u why don't continue into negative rates for ever.
cannot Burdens of debts increase to infinity. Japan is lucky still got Dola strong.
Yen carry trades need a strong arm to rest on.Dat the Dola
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#9

[Image: CAAE2-E63-0-DCA-4-C02-8-E02-8-EAE9406-B6-DE.jpg]
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