22-01-2025, 09:44 PM
New GRC, SMC likely in next General Election, contest as early as April: Analysts
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapor...012025_cna
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapor...012025_cna
![](https://i.imgur.com/CLvY2jA.png")
New GRC, SMC likely in next General Election, contest as early as April: Analysts
22-01-2025, 09:51 PM
Detailed breakdown of the article:
# Claims and Assertions
1. *New GRC and SMC likely*: Analysts speculate that a new Group Representation Constituency (GRC) and Single Member Constituency (SMC) will be introduced.
2. *Election as early as April*: The article suggests that the General
Election could be held as early as April.
3. *EBRC report imminent*: The Electoral Boundaries Review Committee (EBRC) is expected to release its report soon.
4. *PAP strengthening grassroots networks*: The People's Action Party (PAP) has been working to strengthen its grassroots networks.
# Lack of Evidence
1. *No concrete evidence for new GRC and SMC*: The article relies on analyst speculation rather than official announcements or data.
2. *No confirmation from EBRC*: The EBRC has not officially announced any changes to electoral boundaries.
3. *No clear election date*: The article suggests April as a possible election date, but this is speculative.
# Potential Implications
1. *Impact on electoral landscape*: Changes to electoral boundaries could affect the number of GRCs and SMCs.
2. *PAP's preparations*: The PAP's efforts to strengthen its grassroots networks could influence the election outcome.
3. *Election timing*: The exact date of the election remains uncertain, with possibilities ranging from April to November 2025.
# Questions and Concerns
1. *Why the speculation about new GRC and SMC?*: Is there any credible source or evidence supporting this claim?
2. *What is the basis for the April election date?*: Is this speculation or based on insider information?
3. *How will the EBRC's report impact the election?*: Will the report provide clear guidance on electoral boundaries, or leave room for interpretation?
# Claims and Assertions
1. *New GRC and SMC likely*: Analysts speculate that a new Group Representation Constituency (GRC) and Single Member Constituency (SMC) will be introduced.
2. *Election as early as April*: The article suggests that the General
Election could be held as early as April.
3. *EBRC report imminent*: The Electoral Boundaries Review Committee (EBRC) is expected to release its report soon.
4. *PAP strengthening grassroots networks*: The People's Action Party (PAP) has been working to strengthen its grassroots networks.
# Lack of Evidence
1. *No concrete evidence for new GRC and SMC*: The article relies on analyst speculation rather than official announcements or data.
2. *No confirmation from EBRC*: The EBRC has not officially announced any changes to electoral boundaries.
3. *No clear election date*: The article suggests April as a possible election date, but this is speculative.
# Potential Implications
1. *Impact on electoral landscape*: Changes to electoral boundaries could affect the number of GRCs and SMCs.
2. *PAP's preparations*: The PAP's efforts to strengthen its grassroots networks could influence the election outcome.
3. *Election timing*: The exact date of the election remains uncertain, with possibilities ranging from April to November 2025.
# Questions and Concerns
1. *Why the speculation about new GRC and SMC?*: Is there any credible source or evidence supporting this claim?
2. *What is the basis for the April election date?*: Is this speculation or based on insider information?
3. *How will the EBRC's report impact the election?*: Will the report provide clear guidance on electoral boundaries, or leave room for interpretation?
22-01-2025, 11:08 PM
Kns another wave of ppl like Ong Y K , Koh etc these used to contest in SMC lost and ride on GRC to sneak in.
23-01-2025, 01:33 AM
West coast sure kana cut here and there so they can win... play dirty.
23-01-2025, 07:47 AM
Same old tricks.
I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
24-01-2025, 09:40 AM
24-01-2025, 10:01 AM
(24-01-2025, 09:40 AM)Tee tiong huat Wrote: News from Straits Times.
https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/p...be-redrawn
Most political observers who spoke to ST – including former PAP MP Inderjit Singh & former Nominated MP Zulkifli Baharudin – believe S'poreans will head to polls around May,
after Budget announcement on Feb 18.May is more likely than June
, when many S'poreans will be overseas be'cos of sch holidays, said a Associate Prof, a deputy head of NUS’ dept of political science. He thinks election'll be held b4 Shangri-La Dialogue from May 30 to June 1.“So it will be some time in early May, Parliament being dissolved in 2nd or 3rd week of April, as happened in the 2011 election,” he said.
For to S'pore Management University (SMU) Associate Prof of Law Eugene Tan, a former Nominated MP, expects election to be held as early as the second half of April, after Parliament passes Budget. “May is another possibility. I anticipate the GE to be conducted in the first half of this year.” He added: “July is too close to SG60 National Day celebrations. Its unlikely that the current 14th Parliament will complete its entire five-year term which ends on 23 August 2025, which means a GE after August is very unlikely.”
He added: “With the convening of EBRC, the EBRC can wrap up its work within 2- 3 months, which will also segue to April or May 2025 being one window for GE2025.”
However, NUS Associate Prof of Political Science Chong Ja Ian said the EBRC historically takes three to eight months to do its work, so the earliest an election could take place may be around June 2025. “Since school holidays are a common time to hold elections, given the use of school premises as polling centres and the mobilisation of teachers to provide staffing, June, September or mid-November could all be possibilities,” he said. “However, none of this should rule out other times.”
24-01-2025, 10:23 AM
Continue... from: 
https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/p...be-redrawn
How might the boundaries be redrawn based on the terms of reference?Continue fron above...
As has typically been the case, the committee has been asked to take into consideration significant changes in voter numbers due to population shifts and housing developments.
But unlike previous committees formed ahead of general elections from 2011 to 2020, it has not been asked to create smaller group representation constituencies or to ensure a particular minimum number of single-member constituencies.
Instead, it has been asked to “keep the average size of GRCs, the proportion of MPs elected from SMCs, and the average ratio of electors to elected MPs, all at about the same as that in the last general election”.
The terms are phrased differently than before, but maintain the key parameters of having smaller GRCs and more SMCs, said Institute of Policy Studies senior research fellow Gillian Koh.
SMU’s Prof Tan said the terms indicate that any necessary redrawing of electoral boundaries should not result in the average size of GRCs, proportion of MPs from SMCs, and ratio of MPs to voters deviating too significantly from the last election. That is, there is unlikely to be a significant redrawing of the electoral map.
Based on the latest update to the voter rolls in July 2024, the number of electors has gone up to 2,715,187, from 2,651,435 at the 2020 General Election.
So if the average ratio of MPs to electors is to be maintained at the 1 to 27,900 ratio at GE2020, the number of elected seats could increase, he said.
That means new constituencies could be created, he added.
In the 2020 General Election, Sengkang GRC was created, while three SMCs were taken off the map and four new SMCs were introduced. This resulted in 93 seats, comprising 14 from SMCs and 79 from GRCs. The average number of MPs per GRC then was 4.65.
Meanwhile, IPS Social Lab adjunct principal research fellow and academic adviser Tan Ern Ser believes any adjustments to the boundaries will likely be to accommodate the increase in voters, the distribution of young and new voters, as well as the emergence of new housing developments.
“This may involve some redrawing of boundaries, rather than the creation of new wards, but I’d expect the changes to be minimal,” he added.
He reckons that “opposition constituencies” – Hougang, Aljunied GRC and Sengkang GRC, which are held by the Workers’ Party – will likely remain intact.
More on this Topic: S'pore’s electoral boundaries committee formed, kicking off countdown to GE2025. S'pore voter rolls to be updated for next election; public inspection opens in Feb. Where are we likely to see the most changes?. Boundary changes are most likely to occur in areas where new flats have been built, said analysts. Over past 5-years, HBD has completed 92 pandemic-delayed housing projects, comprising some 75,800 new flats.
More info from....more Prof...
Dr Koh said with new developments in Punggol, Tengah, Bidadari & Yishun, there would have been significant shifts in population since last election & boundaries are likely to be redrawn in the constituencies in those areas to reflect the increase in voter numbers.
Citing population changes in the west, Mr Singh said West Coast GRC and Jurong GRC could also see changes, with neighbouring Hong Kah North having ballooned in size since the last election due to residents moving into Tengah estate.
As at July 2024, Hong Kah North had 38,883 voters, a 65.33% increase from 23,519 in 2020.
Potong Pasir, next to Marine Parade GRC, had also registered a 68.38% increase from 18,551 to 31,236 voters as @July 2024, largely due to the influx of residents moving into Bidadari estate.
Meanwhile, Prof Chong, noting population changes in the Pasir Ris area, said this could mean changes to the boundaries of Pasir Ris-Punggol GRC, and the neighbouring GRCs of Tampines and East Coast.
Pasir Ris-Punggol is the second largest GRC, with
180,185 voters as at July 2024.
Will 3-member GRCs make a comeback?
The average size of GRCs has fallen over the years, from 5.3 MPs per GRC in 2006 to 4.65 MPs per GRC in 2020. By the 2020 election, all six-member GRCs had also been done away with.
Analysts were split on whether there will be a return to three-member GRCs, which last made an appearance on the electoral map in 1988 when the GRC system was introduced.
Some, like Mr Singh, feel introducing 3-member GRCs would make it harder to keep to the terms of reference to keep the average size of GRCs, as well as proportion of MPs elected from SMCs, at about the same as GE2020.
He added that 3-member GRCs would disadvantage incumbents, as it would be easier for challengers to put up a team to contest the seats.
Prof Chong said smaller GRCs may allow constituents to connect more directly with their team of MPs, but could also make it harder for MPs to spread work around.
Unlike Mr Singh, he felt that smaller GRCs may benefit the incumbent, as losing a single GRC will mean fewer MPs lose their seats. He added that more smaller GRCs could also create more strain on smaller political parties, given their more limited resources and personnel.
Mr Zulkifli said smaller GRCs might make a comeback some day. He noted that GRCs were introduced to ensure minority representation, and to this end, having smaller GRCs would translate into better representation, since it could mean more minority MPs entering Parliament for each majority MP.
from: https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/p...be-redrawn
How might the boundaries be redrawn based on the terms of reference?Continue fron above...
As has typically been the case, the committee has been asked to take into consideration significant changes in voter numbers due to population shifts and housing developments.
But unlike previous committees formed ahead of general elections from 2011 to 2020, it has not been asked to create smaller group representation constituencies or to ensure a particular minimum number of single-member constituencies.
Instead, it has been asked to “keep the average size of GRCs, the proportion of MPs elected from SMCs, and the average ratio of electors to elected MPs, all at about the same as that in the last general election”.
The terms are phrased differently than before, but maintain the key parameters of having smaller GRCs and more SMCs, said Institute of Policy Studies senior research fellow Gillian Koh.
SMU’s Prof Tan said the terms indicate that any necessary redrawing of electoral boundaries should not result in the average size of GRCs, proportion of MPs from SMCs, and ratio of MPs to voters deviating too significantly from the last election. That is, there is unlikely to be a significant redrawing of the electoral map.
Based on the latest update to the voter rolls in July 2024, the number of electors has gone up to 2,715,187, from 2,651,435 at the 2020 General Election.
So if the average ratio of MPs to electors is to be maintained at the 1 to 27,900 ratio at GE2020, the number of elected seats could increase, he said.
That means new constituencies could be created, he added.
In the 2020 General Election, Sengkang GRC was created, while three SMCs were taken off the map and four new SMCs were introduced. This resulted in 93 seats, comprising 14 from SMCs and 79 from GRCs. The average number of MPs per GRC then was 4.65.
Meanwhile, IPS Social Lab adjunct principal research fellow and academic adviser Tan Ern Ser believes any adjustments to the boundaries will likely be to accommodate the increase in voters, the distribution of young and new voters, as well as the emergence of new housing developments.
“This may involve some redrawing of boundaries, rather than the creation of new wards, but I’d expect the changes to be minimal,” he added.
He reckons that “opposition constituencies” – Hougang, Aljunied GRC and Sengkang GRC, which are held by the Workers’ Party – will likely remain intact.
More on this Topic: S'pore’s electoral boundaries committee formed, kicking off countdown to GE2025. S'pore voter rolls to be updated for next election; public inspection opens in Feb. Where are we likely to see the most changes?. Boundary changes are most likely to occur in areas where new flats have been built, said analysts. Over past 5-years, HBD has completed 92 pandemic-delayed housing projects, comprising some 75,800 new flats.
More info from....more Prof...
Dr Koh said with new developments in Punggol, Tengah, Bidadari & Yishun, there would have been significant shifts in population since last election & boundaries are likely to be redrawn in the constituencies in those areas to reflect the increase in voter numbers.
Citing population changes in the west, Mr Singh said West Coast GRC and Jurong GRC could also see changes, with neighbouring Hong Kah North having ballooned in size since the last election due to residents moving into Tengah estate.
As at July 2024, Hong Kah North had 38,883 voters, a 65.33% increase from 23,519 in 2020.
Potong Pasir, next to Marine Parade GRC, had also registered a 68.38% increase from 18,551 to 31,236 voters as @July 2024, largely due to the influx of residents moving into Bidadari estate.
Meanwhile, Prof Chong, noting population changes in the Pasir Ris area, said this could mean changes to the boundaries of Pasir Ris-Punggol GRC, and the neighbouring GRCs of Tampines and East Coast.
Pasir Ris-Punggol is the second largest GRC, with
180,185 voters as at July 2024.Will 3-member GRCs make a comeback?
The average size of GRCs has fallen over the years, from 5.3 MPs per GRC in 2006 to 4.65 MPs per GRC in 2020.
By the 2020 election, all six-member GRCs had also been done away with.Analysts were split on whether there will be a return to three-member GRCs, which last made an appearance on the electoral map in 1988 when the GRC system was introduced.
Some, like Mr Singh, feel introducing 3-member GRCs would make it harder to keep to the terms of reference to keep the average size of GRCs, as well as proportion of MPs elected from SMCs, at about the same as GE2020.
He added that 3-member GRCs would disadvantage incumbents, as it would be easier for challengers to put up a team to contest the seats.
Prof Chong said smaller GRCs may allow constituents to connect more directly with their team of MPs, but could also make it harder for MPs to spread work around.
Unlike Mr Singh, he felt that smaller GRCs may benefit the incumbent, as losing a single GRC will mean fewer MPs lose their seats. He added that more smaller GRCs could also create more strain on smaller political parties, given their more limited resources and personnel.
Mr Zulkifli said smaller GRCs might make a comeback some day. He noted that GRCs were introduced to ensure minority representation, and to this end, having smaller GRCs would translate into better representation, since it could mean more minority MPs entering Parliament for each majority MP.
24-01-2025, 10:27 AM
(22-01-2025, 09:51 PM)Bigiron Wrote: Detailed breakdown of the article:
# Claims and Assertions
1. *New GRC and SMC likely*: Analysts speculate that a new Group Representation Constituency (GRC) and Single Member Constituency (SMC) will be introduced.
2. *Election as early as April*: The article suggests that the General
Election could be held as early as April.
3. *EBRC report imminent*: The Electoral Boundaries Review Committee (EBRC) is expected to release its report soon.
4. *PAP strengthening grassroots networks*: The People's Action Party (PAP) has been working to strengthen its grassroots networks.
# Lack of Evidence
1. *No concrete evidence for new GRC and SMC*: The article relies on analyst speculation rather than official announcements or data.
2. *No confirmation from EBRC*: The EBRC has not officially announced any changes to electoral boundaries.
3. *No clear election date*: The article suggests April as a possible election date, but this is speculative.
# Potential Implications
1. *Impact on electoral landscape*: Changes to electoral boundaries could affect the number of GRCs and SMCs.
2. *PAP's preparations*: The PAP's efforts to strengthen its grassroots networks could influence the election outcome.
3. *Election timing*: The exact date of the election remains uncertain, with possibilities ranging from April to November 2025.
# Questions and Concerns
1. *Why the speculation about new GRC and SMC?*: Is there any credible source or evidence supporting this claim?
2. *What is the basis for the April election date?*: Is this speculation or based on insider information?
3. *How will the EBRC's report impact the election?*:
Will the report provide clear guidance on electoral boundaries, or leave room for interpretation?...
3. *No clear election date*: The article suggests April as a possible election date, but this is speculative.
24-01-2025, 10:38 AM
(23-01-2025, 01:33 AM)victortan Wrote: West coast sure kana cut here and there so they can win... play dirty.
Be safe is better then doing a guess work.
This is first-time as Singapore PM and also also PAP number no-1 boss, as Mr Lee senior ministry has since pass also pass the party secretary general job at the PAP 70th party recent, so Mr Wing is PM and also PAP no-1 boss now too.
Noted: S'pore PM Forms Electoral Boundaries Committee, Paving Way For Election. Big Grin
Lawrence Wong is set to lead ruling (People’s) PAP into an election for the first time since taking office last May. Smile
The Electoral Boundaries Review Committee (EBRC) is convened by the prime minister ahead of every general election to review and make changes to Singapore’s electoral map, taking into account population changes and other developments. The report is used to determine both the total number of parliamentarians and the number of representatives in each constituency. In Facebook yesterday, Wong says, he confirmed he had convened EBRC, adding, “I look forward to committee’s report & its recommendations in due course.”
24-01-2025, 10:41 AM
24-01-2025, 10:44 AM
25-01-2025, 06:50 PM
(24-01-2025, 10:41 AM)Tee tiong huat Wrote: So....when is the polling date?.
Meanwhile...
https://gsfk.org/400-950-cash-deposit-coming/
26-01-2025, 10:40 AM
26-01-2025, 03:38 PM
west coast grc probably redrawn..
need to save FMH's parachute postion
need to save FMH's parachute postion
You have 4 user(s) on ignore
Somme road, alerts, Choc, winbig
Foo Mee Har is my sister in law - FACT
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http://www.yuffy.com/trial/clippings.html
27-01-2025, 09:55 AM
(22-01-2025, 09:44 PM)Bigiron Wrote: New GRC, SMC likely in next General Election, contest as early as April: Analysts
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapor...012025_cna
Yes, it is likely possible...
27-01-2025, 10:58 AM
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