05-11-2021, 04:23 PM
A simulation by the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency on Oct. 27 predicted that daily cases would only rise to somewhere between 1,345 and 1,673 on Nov. 3. But in fact daily cases soared above 2,000 for the last three days as Koreans threw caution to the wind even before lockdown was fully lifted.
It is unclear why the simulation was so conservative since examples around the world suggest that infections will spike much higher once restrictions are relaxed, especially as winter approaches. But as it stands, it only predicted that daily cases would reach 1,527 to 2,810 around Nov. 24, which has now happened three weeks sooner.
http://english.chosun.com/site/data/html...01107.html
It is unclear why the simulation was so conservative since examples around the world suggest that infections will spike much higher once restrictions are relaxed, especially as winter approaches. But as it stands, it only predicted that daily cases would reach 1,527 to 2,810 around Nov. 24, which has now happened three weeks sooner.
http://english.chosun.com/site/data/html...01107.html