[Tee tiong huat]

Trump is fed up with Putin, he threatening to cripple Russian war economy in the toughest sanctions seen to date.
The primary objective of Russian forces in area it secure control iver towns of Lyman and Borova push Ukrainian forces toward Oskil & Siversky Donets rivers, effectively diminishing their bridgehead across rivers they established during the 2022 Kharkiv counteroffensive. To execute this plan, Russians are massing a huge reserve force in the rear, with reports estimating over 30,000 troops stationed to the Borova sector alone. Unlike the poorly trained volunteers, convicts, & mobilized soldiers deployed elsewhere, these troops are undergoing additional training & being actively prepared for future combat. This signals a serious Russian commitment to the operation. Combined existing frontline units, it would grant Russia a 3-to-1 numerical advantage over Ukraine’s Third Army Corps defending the sector.

Russians are planning to build on the minor bridgeheads over Zherebets River, which they seized in efforts spanning last 3-mths, culminating in capture of settlement of Novoliubimovka & approach to Nove. Russians aim to expand link up their bridgeheads across Zherebets River. Currently, narrow width of bridgeheads limits Russian assaults to infantry op alone, preventing full utilization of their remaining mechanized forces. A successful link-up would create a broader staging area for deploying reserves heavy equipment, including armored vehicles.
Deploying combat-ready reserves to the expanded bridgehead would enable Russian forces to launch a full-scale offensive aimed at reaching the Oskil River, severing Ukrainian ground lines of communication between Lyman and Borova. If successful, this maneuver would trap Ukrainian defenders in Borova, leaving them reliant on a single bridge over the Oskil for logistics. After cutting off the ground lines of communication to Borova, the Russians would set their eyes on moving southward towards Lyman and open a new offensive path into Donbas.

Meanwhile. This indicates Russians aim to seize the entirety of the Donetsk oblast through a massive military effort spanning throughout 2025 and 2026. Notably,  all of this unfolds in Kremlin's ongoing stalling of peace negotiations, consistently adding new conditions after agreements are signed, making ludicrous demands, such as abandonment of Ukraine's NATO ambitions, complete annexation of the five Ukrainian provinces claimed by Russia, and complete demilitarization of Ukraine.

Russia publicly claims readiness for peace, they are concealing its true intentions, creating a diplomatic smoke-screen. 
However, they realize that the clock is ticking, signale rushed deployment of over 30.000 Russian troops to Lyman-Borova front for a last-minute offensive. 

Russia is trying to seize as much territory as possible b4 they forced into a ceasefire agreement. However, Trump is slowly catching on and is increasingly becoming fed up with Russia dragging its feet on peace settlement, threatening ONLY. A 50% secondary tariff on nations buying Russian oil. US Senate is willing to take this a step further, however, with 
majority agreeing on tougher action, including secondary sanctions up to 500% on any country buying Russian oil.?.

Overall, the Russians leveraged a massive reserve force of experienced contract soldiers, preparing them for a massive offensive in the Lyman-Borova sector. Given the recent surge of activity and reports of continued Russian build-up in the Lyman direction, it is likely that Moscow will initiate its offensive before the end of April. With the US slowly catching on to Russian geopolitcal maneuvering however, this potentially force significant sanctions on Russia could cripple their war economy, with the threat of 500% tariffs making any partnering nation think twice about dealing in Russian oil. (Can it wotk)