Europe : Winter is here! How many will die of cold winter?
#1

https://www.economist.com/interactive/gr...kraine-has

In a mild winter, the increase in deaths might be limited to 32,000 above the historical average (accounting for changes in population). A harsh winter could cost a total of 335,000 extra lives.
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Such uncertainty makes it hard to predict mortality in Europe this winter with confidence. The only firm conclusion our model provides is that if the patterns from 2000-19 do continue to apply in 2022-23, Russia’s energy weapon will prove highly potent. With electricity prices near their current levels, around 147,000 more people (4.8% more than average) would die in a typical winter than if those costs returned to the average from 2015-19. Given mild temperatures—using the warmest winter during the past 20 years for each country—this figure would fall to 79,000, a 2.7% increase. And with frigid ones, using each country’s coldest winter since 2000, it would climb to 185,000, a rise of 6.0%.

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#2


歐洲恐18萬人凍死英國罷工 馬克宏中國牌跟拜登談條件 新聞大白話 20221127
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#3

Ukraine's temp is below freezing point now!
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#4

Well they asked for it
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#5

https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-wea...-cold-rrc/

Snow Extent in the Northern Hemisphere now Among the Highest in 56 years Increases the Likelihood of Cold Early Winter Forecast both in North America and Europe

Snow extent in the Northern Hemisphere at the end of November represents an important parameter for the early winter forecast. This year snow extent is running much higher than average and according to existing global estimates, it is now beyond the highest ever observed so far. Winter forecast, especially in its early phase and in Europe, might be strongly influenced by such a large snow extent, although many other factors need attention.

Northern Hemisphere snow extent is currently indeed very high, now at about 41 million square kilometers, according to the NOAA/Rutgers Global Snow Lab. The most recent snow cover information is given in the image below.

[Image: snow-extent-northern-hemisphere-highest-...atured.jpg]

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#6


How did Europe get itself into an energy crisis? - Facts Tell

The energy crisis facing Europe today is not unique to this winter. As early as the winter of 2020-2021, Europe had already experienced a huge spike in electricity and gas prices and a shortage of gas. Admittedly, the Russia-Ukraine crisis has made Europe's energy problems even worse, but the source of the energy problems may not reside in other countries, but in Europe itself.
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#7

https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2022/11/30/th...-a-sucker/

The Economist: “Europe looks like… a sucker”

Don’t be fooled by the rush of good news from Europe in the past few weeks. A brutal economic squeeze will pose a test of Europe’s resilience in 2023 and beyond, – predicts “The Economist”.

There is a growing fear that the recasting of the global energy system, American economic populism and geopolitical rifts threaten the long-run competitiveness of the European Union and non-members, including Britain.

Energy prices are down from the summer and a run of good weather means that gas storage is nearly full. But the energy crisis still poses dangers.

Gas prices are six times higher than their long-run average. On November 22nd Russia threatened to throttle the last operational pipeline to Europe. Europe’s gas storage will need to be refilled once again in 2023, this time without any piped Russian gas whatsoever.

The war is also creating financial vulnerabilities. Energy inflation is spilling over into the rest of Europe’s economy, creating an acute dilemma for the European Central Bank. It needs to raise interest rates to control prices. But if it goes too far it could destabilize the Eurozone’s weaker members, not least indebted Italy.

Too many of Europe’s industrial firms, especially German ones, have relied on abundant energy inputs from Russia. The prospect of severed relations with Russia, structurally higher costs and a decoupling of the West and China has meant a reckoning in many boardrooms.


That fear has been amplified by America’s economic nationalism which threatens to draw activity across the Atlantic in a whirlwind of subsidies and protectionism. President Joe Biden’s ‘Inflation Reduction Act’ involves $400 bn of handouts for energy, manufacturing and transport and includes make-in-America provisions.

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Many bosses warn that the combination of expensive energy and American subsidies leaves Europe at risk of mass deindustrialization.
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#8

Aiyah a few deaths only... Germany can afford wan....just like Temasek, few hundreds $m is peanuts.
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#9

(03-12-2022, 03:20 PM)Rubitin Wrote:  Can choose peace talk from the months of Jan to Dec, but waited till Dec.

Must begin and conclude peace talks, else many more human lives will be lost........ crying Angry
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#10

https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/amp/2...-jan-egela

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#11

(03-12-2022, 03:29 PM)cityhantam Wrote:  https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/amp/2...-jan-egela

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It is so sad to know that one needs to flee or freeze to death.............. crying
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#12


司马南:法国家庭每天停电两小时,谁不让人好好过日子?
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#13

Advice for Europeans: Bundle Up and Get Ready for Outages

As temperatures drop amid an energy crisis, governments say power blackouts may be necessary to conserve electricity.

Life in some European cities may soon look like this: Staggered electricity outages to save energy. Temporary cuts in mobile phone and internet service. Schools closed for a lack of lighting and heat. Even traffic lights could briefly be powered down.

Europe has spent months preparing for a winter without Russian gas, stockpiling fuel and pushing conservation measures in hopes of maintaining enough energy to keep power grids running.

But as an unseasonable streak of mild weather gives way to freezing temperatures, governments are starting to brace people for the possibility of controlled power cuts in the event that energy supplies are stretched — with a wide-ranging impact on daily life.


The French government last week  started instructing officials around the country to plan for potential rolling electricity outages as soon as next month. Britain’s National Grid operator has warned households of possible blackouts from 4 p.m. to 7 p.m. if gas used to produce electricity runs short. Electric car owners in Finland are being advised not to heat their plugged-in vehicles on freezing mornings to avoid straining the grid.

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/05/busin...tages.html

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And in Germany, the country that has been most dependent on Russian gas, people are taking no chances: Sales of candles have soared.

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Still, the prospect of homes, schools, businesses and even trains that rely on power and electric signals going dark, however briefly, will be Europe’s first major test of resilience as it turns away from Russian fuel.

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Germany has issued advisories on what to expect in a blackout. “The telephone is dead, the heating doesn’t come on, there is no warm water, the computer goes on strike, the coffee machine stays off, there is no light,” the Office of Civil Protection and Disaster Assistance said on its website.
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The office urges households to stock up on battery-powered flashlights and candles, and even suggests camp stoves to prepare small meals. “Warm clothing can be used as a substitute for heating for a while,” the agency said, but advised households to think about installing alternative heating sources.

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In Switzerland, which has long depended on French nuclear power for its winters, citizens have been urged to prepare for outages lasting up to several hours. The Federal Electricity Commission urged people to have enough firewood, flashlights and batteries.
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While emergency sites would continue to receive power, plenty of other places won’t. Schools would not be spared: students will be instructed to stay home on mornings when classes are canceled because of lack of heat and light, and return in the afternoon. (The internet won’t work, either, making remote schooling difficult.)

Even trains could come to a standstill for a couple of hours in affected areas, because power needed to work signals would be shut off. The government said it would warn drivers to “limit their movements as much as possible” because traffic lights could be “inoperative.”

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Cellphone towers will also stop working in areas where power is paused. Christel Heydemann, the chief executive of Orange, France’s top telecom operator, warned last week that emergency phone calls may not be possible if mobile networks lose electricity. The government said people could still dial 112, the Europe-wide number for emergencies.
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#14

OMG! Assmerica also!  Rotfl

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/pow...d-00072235

Who shot the North Carolina power grid?

The deepest mystery in the energy world is a weekend shooting attack that damaged a pair of electric substations in Moore County, N.C. — a reminder that the power grid faces dangers from physical attacks, not just cyber ones.

About 34,000 customers are still without power after enduring frigid temperatures following Saturday’s shootings, which law enforcement officials characterized as deliberate. Duke Energy Corp. has said outages could last until Thursday, and officials say repairs could be complex.

Meanwhile, the shooter or shooters remain unknown, as does the motive.
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#15


超強寒流報到! 英暴雪濃霧陸空交通亂 最低溫-15.7度|十點不一樣20221213
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#16


Snow and ice cause travel chaos as UK cold snap continues
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#17


Christmas cold snap: Travel chaos as Northern Europe braces for further freezing conditions
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Snowstorms and blizzards across Europe - BBC News
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#18

[Image: Russia-s-gift-to-Ukraine.png]
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#19

4deg C, I already cannot tahan.
Foolish EU leaders. Make the ppl suffer for taking side. 真不明白,作为领袖可以蠢到这样离谱。

“Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don't matter and those who matter don't mind"
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#20

No electricity no heater no warm water no hot food no internet, very charm one
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#21

how about china this winter?
covid already died few millions, now winter still need to queue up for test, medicine, hospital, funeral & ton more!! LOL LOL!
comie dogs here can only used communist sources of BS to lie or con or brainwash brainless here!





疫情大爆发 ,数百万人恐丢性命!





https://twitter.com/i/status/1603014315493269507


https://twitter.com/Foreseeroptical/stat...00/photo/1
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#22

Kokee 又来 post  笑话了! Rotfl
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#23

Bankrupt loser slavery kokee howling jealous hor your daddies very cold brr brr

https://media.tenor.com/zbvAW5gf3aUAAAAM...eezing.gif https://media.tenor.com/0LhHcz68DMYAAAAM/cold-water.gif https://media.tenor.com/TU0XZ3giepwAAAAM...s-cold.gif
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#24

为了养家糊口,叩叩鸡只好拼多多,赚多多
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#25

The Show Must Go On


[Image: Kremlin-Says-Russia-Has-No-Plans-for-Hol...-Times.jpg]
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#26

(15-12-2022, 11:39 AM)Dan Wrote:  The Show Must Go On


[Image: Kremlin-Says-Russia-Has-No-Plans-for-Hol...-Times.jpg]
Russia had said that they will not have holidays on Christmas or the New Year............ Angry
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#27


Namibia holds the power to push Europe into darkness
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