U.S. Recession Already Six Months Old, Says Fed Model
#31

Our side also kinda ....." ownself check ownself , ownself invest ownself " Is not the truth Economic growth.

Come one, SG depend from others. Especially from USA and China either these two down, SG get affected.
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#32

(14-07-2022, 05:27 PM)kokee Wrote:  comie can bark whatever BS & lies they like here.
recession or not, important is whose debt is going to burst.
Look at US, USD so strong, Dow still ok, around 15% below peak, SSE is almost 50% below peak, china property crashing hard, bond kena dump, so many china bonds defaulted due to no USD.
whose debt is higher? US can keep hike rate at super steep, if china no debt, why they dare not hike rate? china or HK once hike rate, debt burst in property & all the rest, including CNH, HKD unpeg & ton more!!
same to inflation, hike rate to fight. so what happen to china inflation today without hiking rate, obvious!!
dont waste my time!!

where has all the china money gone? many banks already no money.
print so much in last 10-20 yrs, few 100 $trillions, in debt so much, but now money no more in banks, bad debt? run road? corruption? property price crash, developers bankrupt & run road, banks loan out money to buyers & developers all gone! banks take finish & unfinish property with no value now for what shit!
china people money in banks also gone, retirement fund also no money.
yet dare not hike rate due to debt so high & everywhere, still want  to print more!!
all the bubble burst, property, bond, stock & more!





中国这次彻底破产了,全国各地银行迎来倒闭潮,银行搞霸王条款不准取钱





爛尾樓業主拒做“駱駝祥子”!無所畏懼、不怕犧牲!疫情清零、積蓄清零、裁員減薪!早已沒有希望!錢坑究竟多大?我估計最終規模將達到10萬億以上!


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#33

(17-07-2022, 12:02 PM)[[ForeverAlone]] Wrote:  Our side also kinda ....." ownself check ownself , ownself invest ownself " Is not the truth Economic growth.

Come one, SG depend from others. Especially from USA and China either these two down, SG get affected.

Bankrupt loser kokee 

Who let the slave kokee out woof woof woof woof woof woof woof woof woof woof woof woof woof woof 
https://media.tenor.com/images/b867eb602.../tenor.gif 

Idiot dog
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#34


美國通膨慘 拜登沒能力解決只好放給它爛?! 郭正亮犀利解析"溫和的凌遲"|熱搜發燒榜 @中天新聞
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#35

Inside the Laos villages where people build homes, canoes, and tools out of unexploded bombs left over from the Vietnam War (msn.com)
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#36


天天硬事2252期—01 美国白宫经济顾问表示美国第二季度GDP正增长可能低到负值了,拜登希望苍天保佑美国经济正增长 02 中国汪洋主持九二共识30周年活动,要团结海内外中华儿女
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#37

https://www.newsweek.com/us-facing-perfe...st-1728011

The U.S. is facing a "perfect storm" for a housing crisis similar to that of 2008, according to Jose Torres, a senior economist for Interactive Brokers.

Torres made the comment during an interview with Insider, and his analysis comes as concerns over the economy and housing market remain a key issue for millions of Americans. Housing prices increased throughout the first half of 2022, as inflation continues to affect nearly every sector of the economy, but the prices could soon crash, Torres warned.

He predicted that within the next few years, housing prices could drop up to 25 percent, and that they will begin to decline in early 2023, which could see double-digit drops in prices.

Torres said the crisis is largely fueled by a construction boom that lasted throughout 2021 (even though construction has slowed this summer) and a lowering demand for housing. He described the phenomenon as a "misalignment of timing between supply and demand."

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#38

https://fortune.com/2022/07/26/housing-m...me-prices/

A housing recession is the first step to a Fed-induced recession. Here’s where the housing market goes next

Historically speaking, the Federal Reserve's inflation fighting playbook always starts with housing. It goes like this. The central bank begins by applying upward pressure on mortgage rates. Not long afterwards, home sales sink and existing home inventory spikes. Then homebuilders begin to cut back. That causes demand for both commodities (like lumber and steel) and durable goods (like windows and refrigerators) to fall. Those economic contractions then quickly spread throughout the rest of the economy and, in theory, help to rein in runaway inflation.

"The most frequent way we enter into recession is the Fed raises rates to fight inflation. The leading indicator for this type of recession is housing," Bill McBride, author of the economics blog Calculated Risk, tells Fortune. "It [housing] is not the target, but it [housing] is essentially the target."

Of course, this chain of events has already started.......

Mortgage rates, which have jumped from an average 30-year fixed rate of 3.1% to 5.54% this year, have already pushed the U.S. housing market into a sharp slowdown. Some economists are calling it a "housing correction" while others label it a "housing recession." Regardless of the label, it's clear housing activity is contracting: On a year-over-year basis, mortgage applications are down 19%....

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#39

(05-07-2022, 12:08 AM)cityhantam Wrote:  https://www.forbes.com/sites/simonmoore/...465bd03628

U.S. Recession Already Six Months Old, Says Fed Model

The prospects of a U.S. recession have been rising throughout 2022 as the Fed committed to rate hikes and the yield curve inverted in March. Stocks, now in a bear market, had their worst start to the year since 1970, and inflation has hit 40-year highs. The economic news has not been good.

Q1 2022 GDP growth was negative, suggesting a recession may have started. Now, the Atlanta GDPNow model signals Q2 growth may be negative too. If that forecast holds then the recession that seemed likely on an 18-month view, may be here already.


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The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model is tracking this data, and it looks bad. At the time of writing, roughly a -1% decline in GDP for Q2 is on the cards.
this means stock mkt have bottom, because stock is always 6 mth ahead of the real economy.
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#40

美国刚刚正式公布第二季度GDP:负的0.9%。

虽然白宫和美联储都在试图重新定义“经济衰退”和滞涨,但是美国媒体已经迫不及待的宣布:“连续两个季度GDP负增长,美国经济进入衰退”。

[Image: 8BUL5xp5JQPV6F7569CLoSgr7erKCYr6gt2G3ITV...d85d-nd-v1]
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#41

https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/us-e...-recession

Q1 : - 1.6%

Q2 : - 0.9%

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#42


为了压中国一头,美国把GDP属实是玩儿明白了【维为道来·张维为】
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#43

[Image: Screenshot-from-2022-07-29-00-45-34.png]
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#44

[Image: Screenshot-from-2022-07-29-00-54-09.png]

[Image: Screenshot-from-2022-07-28-03-25-37.png]
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#45

stagflation Round 2 to 18% CPI since u have added another 0.75%?
maybe will get better luck next time so u can walk the tok
needs LOCKDOWN pindown the sheeples.
careful Treasury is watching Powell
[Image: Screenshot-from-2022-07-29-01-20-38.png]
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#46

(26-07-2022, 07:53 PM)kokee Wrote:  china govt has no more money, this one whole world now well now!
print? for what? no one need money now as no one buy property, no business to do due to no order, no expansion to make as factoriesv move utnof china instead, so print money for what?





大陸經濟危機深化,政府已經沒錢了



who still bother of recession or inflation now, china banks run, debt bubble burst, property crash harder than US subprime by 1000%, china banks has no money, almost all stop bandon & stop paying housing loan to banks, jobless surge to sky, employee cant get pay & salary, retirement fund, medical insurance, almost all facing huge problem with cash flow all broken, domino collapse!

china property bubble burst is much worse than US 2008 subprime!!



标普: 中国房市比08金融危机糟糕


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#47

【美国陷入经济衰退】就在昨天美国宣布连续2个季度经济负增速后,🇺🇸wiki百科上发生了一场“经济衰退”词条大战,美国官方特地加了一句“全球对衰退的定义没有达成共识”并锁定页面结束。看看,这才叫专业,没办法阻止经济衰退,就重新定义经济衰退

[Image: nJUleE1gaHTcwwCinFYy-tFMEjl0UB91jxCLin6y...ffff-nd-v1]
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#48


Tucker Carlson: It turns out we're insane

 Jul 29, 2022  Fox News host Tucker Carlson rips President Biden for denying the United States is in a recession despite what economists say on 'Tucker Carlson Tonight.'
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#49

(29-07-2022, 01:28 PM)kokee Wrote:  now cant find jobs in china.
even got jobs, whether can get pay or salary!
china economy super bad, nice!!
how to pay loan without job or pay, housing, car, credit card. Even medical insurance.
no money, when will they stop to pay retirement fund?





大陸現經濟大蕭條,工廠倒閉,打工者找不到工作




now china not only property price crash, banks has no money, many cant even withdraw their money  from china banks, ton of factories move out of china, ton factories bankrupt due to no order, jobless surges to sky, now even those with work cant even get their salary & pay!!
this is how bad china economy is today!!
ton of boss also run road now! like all developers in china today!




韭菜被中共抛弃,上万家工厂面临欠薪,韭菜无奈罢工维权






中国医疗体系已崩溃,22万家诊所,2000家医院集体迎来倒闭 ,上百万医生面临失业。


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#50

(29-07-2022, 05:33 PM)kokee Wrote:  now china not only property price crash, banks has no money, many cant even withdraw their money  from china banks, ton of factories move out of china, ton factories bankrupt due to no order, jobless surges to sky, now even those with work cant even get their salary & pay!!
this is how bad china economy is today!!
ton of boss also run road now! like all developers in china today!




韭菜被中共抛弃,上万家工厂面临欠薪,韭菜无奈罢工维权






中国医疗体系已崩溃,22万家诊所,2000家医院集体迎来倒闭 ,上百万医生面临失业。



Tcss kokee 


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https://media.tenor.com/images/c2dd55bad...2FuZHJvaWQ 


National scum Shameless bankrupt Pitiful jealous kokee howling scare panic desperate dog losing
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#51


Xi tells Biden he is a s*** president & playing with fire during call, US recession,1.1T MIC Budget
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#52

Y worry about a country u got nothing to do?  Y not worry about yr. country CHINA.  Presently,  China growth rate dropped fro 7.5 % to 0.4% in few short years with unemployment @5.5% & going up. Pple r now living on credits of 42 Trillion USD which is USD 30,000 per capital. Interest payment alone is at least USD 2 Trillion per year or USD 1,500 per person per year or 20% of 800 million working people’s salary.   Debt is very likely to b a burden for China. Please go donate to get China strong again Clapping

[Image: B9494993-1-E40-40-CF-85-A2-7-EA4-CDBFEE9-E.png]



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#53

(29-07-2022, 07:35 PM)teaserteam Wrote:  Y worry about a country u got nothing to do?  

Why you worry so much about China?

Are you depending on China woman for a living?
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#54

20% of 800 million working people's salaries will be used to pay banks interest rates. This debt will weigh down China's economy in the coming years. Fortunately, these are domestic debts.

https://www.reddit.com/r/China/comments/...ed_10_per/
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#55

(29-07-2022, 09:00 PM)revealer Wrote:  20% 

Why you worry so much about China also?

Are you depending on China woman for a living?
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#56

https://www.zaobao.com.sg/wencui/politic...29-1297785

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#57


THE GREAT RESET IS HERE
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