If you watch the markets on a day to day basis you may miss what is going on in a longer tome scale. Below is HS Tech vs Nasdaq.
Earlier this year we saw investments banks trying to shake out retail investors by spreading fear that Chinese stocks are "uninvestible" but it is now known they were big buyers during that time when they were scaring everyone.
Not to mention lockdown, delisting fears and China real estate collapse. ..all that causing maximum fear.
The most famous line in value investing is : Be greedy when others are fearful.
It is simple but not easy to follow when others are fearful you yourself will be influenced and become fearful.
HS Tech vs Nasdaq
It has recovered sharply but nobody is talking about it much. Alibaba one of the most beleaguered of the Tech stocks has risen 50%.
Why I believe there will be a sizable rally are these factors
1. The Chinese govt has many tools remaining to stimulate the economy and they need to do it now before ut becomes harder to revive the economy.
2. The real estate glut means they cannot boost the property sector. There is some room left to boost infrastructure spending but it is not that much otherwise they will have roads to nowhere and empty high speed trains .
3. This leave 3 sectors that can give them bang for the buck growth. Tech, EV and new energy.
4. EV is an obvious one as the transition to EVC from petrol cars is a golden opportunity to take a very big market that provides many jobs from Europe and Japan. There has never been a better opportunity. Chinese EV giants will be created in coming years . BYD, CATL, Baidu... China has the Tech to dominate all aspects of EV.
5. The Tech sector is a bit more problematic because the CCP is wary of these platform companies but they have no choice and have to let them grow and create high tech jobs . Alibaba for example is engaged in a global e commerce war with amazon ..winning it is critical to China's export economy.
6 new energy companies like Xinyi Solar are clear cut transformational sectors that will power the economy in the coming decades.
I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.