Why US office reits are unlikely to pull through...and will soon collapse
#1

If you do the maths it is simpler than Singapore maths.
These reits have 40% gearing. 40%borrowing. For every dollar of assets they have 40cts borrowings. A 60% drop in price wipes out the residual value to zero. A 50% drop in value brings it down by 85%. When valuations drop they have to raise cash to maintain the gearing, doing a rights issue will lock in losses permanently for original share holders..eg. First Reits, APTV...by then they lose 90% of their money.

The thing is valuations of the assets has already fallen close to 50% and occupancy halved even before recession or a slowdown.

It is unlikely any of the reits can make it through, they will either collapse.or lose 90+% in a rights issue.

Event hough they have fallen 70%, if I have any I will just sell and take back what is left rather than wait around for the collapse.


https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/27/investing...index.html

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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#2

will reits owner suffers same fate as bank shareholders. got their interest zap and gone?
can happen?
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