A diminished US workforce could lead Fed to keep rates high
#1

By CHRISTOPHER RUGABER
yesterday


WASHINGTON (AP) — Still eager to hire, America’s employers are posting more job openings than they did before the pandemic struck 2½ years ago. Problem is, there aren’t enough applicants. The nation’s labor force is smaller than when the pandemic struck.

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In a recent speech, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell pointed to the shortfall of workers and the resulting rise in average pay as the primary remaining driver of the price spikes that continue to grip the economy.

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costs are still rising fast in much of the economy’s vast service sector. As a result, the Fed is expected Wednesday to raise its benchmark short-term rate for a seventh time this year, though by a smaller amount than it has recently.

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productivity has been especially weak in the past year.

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Powell has noted that higher pay will likely feed too-high inflation in the service sector — everything from restaurants and hotels to retail stores, medical care and entertainment. The employers in these industries are labor-intensive, and they tend to pass their higher labor costs on to their customers through higher prices.

Higher wages also typically spur Americans to keep spending, a trend that can perpetuate a cycle that keeps prices high.

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The leading cause of the worker shortfall ...... is a surge in retirements

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Of the 3.5 million, about 2 million consist of “excess” retirements

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Roughly 400,000 other working-age people have died of COVID-19. And legal immigration has fallen by about 1 million.



https://apnews.com/article/inflation-bus...89d18a51e7
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#2

Not due to shooting for fun meh?
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#3

Is that one reason why US wanted more engineers from TW province because either Yanks refuse to work or not enough qualified Americans ?
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#4

problem is pristine collaterals needed for the quadtrillions derivatives
Blackholes both sides Deflationary and inflationary
reverse repo is set at 3.8
to create u need QE and these r used up pretty quickly as yield moves up meaning price goes down.
[Image: Screenshot-2022-12-13-at-15-34-17-US-10-...ng-com.png]
when TRUST is there rehypothecations r hi meaning 1 pc u can use again and again
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#5

https://youtu.be/OF18CIMt9RE
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#6

(13-12-2022, 01:29 PM)Manthink Wrote:  Is that one reason why US wanted more engineers from TW province because either Yanks refuse to work or not enough qualified Americans ?

Same problem like SG.

Many wanna be stock traders, insurance or property agents or those non technical jobs.


Smile
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#7

(13-12-2022, 03:48 PM)Niubee Wrote:  Same problem like SG.  Many wanna be stock traders, insurance or property agents or those non technical jobs.

Same trend had occurred in those "Asian Tigers" from the 1980s 90s...Many bright youngings avoid STEM and those who majored in those areas went into finance or become property salesmen.

Just look at HK and SKoreans youngsters to day.
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#8

(13-12-2022, 11:55 AM)Notdumb Wrote:  Not due to shooting for fun meh?

Only close to 49,000 people died from shootings in 2021 in USA. That is a small figure compared to the 2 million excess retirements, 400,000 working age persons who died from COVID-19 and the 1 million fall in legal immigration.


https://giffords.org/press-release/2022/...un-deaths/
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#9

Then it will crash the property market
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