SG Talk

DOW Future up over 1% today.   Will this be a V-shape recovery?  Shortists will  be standing-by to to press buy button soon?  Many Singapore counter are reversing the fall;  like DBS from 29.52 in the morning to 29.96.

Yesterday already said currency market telling a different story... Today currency market continues with the dismissal of bear market. Tonight should see massive recovery from yesterday's drop and squeeze shorts to occur...

死猫跳.....

Actually best to correct to 25k lah.. lol

I think active investors should ignore these futures movement and look at the facts.

QE and low interest rate caused US markets to go sky high. Now QT and interest rate hike brings US market down to earth.

Everything else is noise.

We should not ignore the oil & gas price caused by the Ukraine war;  also,  the slowdown in the economy in Russia and China.

The US now has "printed" lots of money to prop up the economy probably because they did not want to see the US economy getting much worse than Russia and China.  They would have to redeem back this "printed" money by doing QT and destroy them before this "printed" money can cause them trouble.   Now would be the best time before Russia and China pick up their economy again.   Therefore,  it is unlikely the US will pull back the QT even if they know QT will hurt their economy.

https://skyjuiceiswater.blogspot.com/202...#jumpspot2

stock market fall simulation


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P9_UELyRiiY

The US is suing Ukraine for peace with Russia

Nato flipped and no longer talk about a "protracted war", instead, tells Zelensky to trade territory for peace

Scholz, Macron & Draghi are going to Kyiv likely before the G7 summit on 26 Jun to tell Zelensky to sign the 4-point peace plan drafted by Italy. Germany, France, Italy will be Ukraine's guarantors when it negotiates with Putin. In exchange, they will offer him generous "reconstruction" money and quick ascension to EU membership. 

What they should already know is that when you fight against Russia and you ask for negotiations, it is usually an unconditional surrender.

The Fed cannot crash the market and wipe out millions of voters' assets parked there. That's suicidal for Fed chief Yellen, when Biden face the reckoning in November.

The war has to end now so he can start campaigning before gas hit $5 a gallon at the pump

(14-06-2022, 05:44 PM)simpleman Wrote: [ -> ]The US is suing Ukraine for peace with Russia

Nato flipped and no longer talk about a "protracted war", instead, tells Zelensky to trade territory for peace

Scholz, Macron & Draghi are going to Kyiv likely before the G7 summit on 26 Jun to tell Zelensky to sign the 4-point peace plan drafted by Italy. Germany, France, Italy will be Ukraine's guarantors when it negotiates with Putin. In exchange, they will offer him generous "reconstruction" money and quick ascension to EU membership. 

What they should already know is that when you fight against Russia and you ask for negotiations, it is usually an unconditional surrender.

The Fed cannot crash the market and wipe out millions of voters' assets parked there. That's suicidal for Fed chief Yellen, when Biden face the reckoning in November.

The war has to end now so he can start campaigning before gas hit $5 a gallon at the pump

How much you will get by posting this comment for the Russians?   Anyway,  looks like there is not going to be any v-shape recovery.. shortists in the morning got played out.

The FED WANTS to raise rates quickly to at least 3%. That is to pave the way for future 25 bps cuts to stimulate the stock market and save its 401k plan . Otherwise more headaches for the government when more need govt handouts .

(14-06-2022, 07:29 PM)limkopi Wrote: [ -> ]The FED WANTS to raise rates quickly to at least 3%. That is to pave the way for future 25 bps cuts to stimulate the stock market and save its 401k plan .  Otherwise more headaches for the government when more need govt handouts .

Thats it..nicely worded

Reloading ammo for the Fed to pump back up stock market in time for November 

Together with the peace plan that will be made to look as if Putin capitulated, Biden will come out as having rescued America

Keep shorting sure win de la … markets give out big 红 包 but some of you own self scare ownslf .. everyday bird talking … eND up suck thumbs….
Hello me took profits sooon go enjoy life Liao.. 

Huaaaaat aghhhh!!! 

(14-06-2022, 08:46 PM)simpleman Wrote: [ -> ]Thats it..nicely worded

Reloading ammo for the Fed to pump back up stock market in time for November 

Together with the peace plan that will be made to look as if Putin capitulated, Biden will come out as having rescued America

The FED needs to reload the bazooka. Now it has no tools left to stimulate the stock market, with inflation at 40 years high.

(14-06-2022, 09:41 PM)limkopi Wrote: [ -> ]The FED needs to reload the bazooka. Now it has no tools left to stimulate the stock market, with inflation at 40 years high.

Watch CNBC - majority of analysts already factored in a recession by 2023. Recession won't be this year but a combination of agressive interest rate hikes by FED and sky-high oil prices will tip most major economies into recession by 2023.

Leon Cooperman a billionaire investor expects a recession next year and a 40% drop from S&P’s January high. On Monday the S&P already dropped more than 20% from Jan high.

(14-06-2022, 09:41 PM)limkopi Wrote: [ -> ]The FED needs to reload the bazooka. Now it has no tools left to stimulate the stock market, with inflation at 40 years high.

Havent heard of that word for a while .. 

Lol

I don't think it can be concluded that it's V-shape recovery.   

.

(14-06-2022, 10:04 PM)simpleman Wrote: [ -> ]Havent heard of that word for a while .. 

Lol

Ben Bernanke started all these mad money printing.

Shortists having the last laugh now ...

(14-06-2022, 09:57 PM)sporeguy Wrote: [ -> ]Watch CNBC - majority of analysts already factored in a recession by 2023. Recession won't be this year but a combination of agressive interest rate hikes by FED and sky-high oil prices will tip most major economies into recession by 2023.

Leon Cooperman a billionaire investor expects a recession next year and a 40% drop from S&P’s January high. On Monday the S&P already dropped more than 20% from Jan high.

Recessions happened when people didnt expect it

2020 (covid), 2009 (subprime), 1991(kuwait invasion), 1975 (oil embargo) all of these global recessions were unpredicted

With the exception of 1982 when the Fed raised interest rates to curb runaway inflation exacerbated by the Iranian Revolution that sparked an Oil supply disruption - same situation as now. And that is why Biden is suing Zelensky to quickly end the war...

...And the leaders of Europe's 3 most powerful countries Germany, France, Italy will be going to Kyiv.. not to go there to pose for Instagram but a necessary preparation for peace talks with Putin, at the behest of Nato leader USA who is suffering economic shock & keen to avoid a recession while the mid-terms elections are happening

Great analysis simpleman!

(14-06-2022, 02:25 PM)Sticw Wrote: [ -> ]Yesterday already said currency market telling a different story... Today currency market continues with the dismissal of bear market. Tonight should see massive recovery from yesterday's drop and squeeze shorts to occur...

Fight! Lol

Putin 越打越有钱！ USA and Europe cannot tahan anymore.

DJI S&P Nasdaq all crashing le ...

(14-06-2022, 10:06 PM)webinarian Wrote: [ -> ]I don't think it can be concluded that it's V-shape recovery.   

.

I was looking at my charts..I couldn't even spot a V-shape...jialat 

DBS sent letter saying 24mth FD up 0.4% liao... Interest rate fight is on! Lol

(14-06-2022, 05:44 PM)simpleman Wrote: [ -> ]The US is suing Ukraine for peace with Russia

Nato flipped and no longer talk about a "protracted war", instead, tells Zelensky to trade territory for peace

Scholz, Macron & Draghi are going to Kyiv likely before the G7 summit on 26 Jun to tell Zelensky to sign the 4-point peace plan drafted by Italy. Germany, France, Italy will be Ukraine's guarantors when it negotiates with Putin. In exchange, they will offer him generous "reconstruction" money and quick ascension to EU membership. 

What they should already know is that when you fight against Russia and you ask for negotiations, it is usually an unconditional surrender.

The Fed cannot crash the market and wipe out millions of voters' assets parked there. That's suicidal for Fed chief Yellen, when Biden face the reckoning in November.

The war has to end now so he can start campaigning before gas hit $5 a gallon at the pump

How can anyone fight and win a war without willing to sacrifice its own soldiers? Think sanctuons will win the war? Never use their fking brains

The US market is close to a rebounce;  it may be a temporary one to cover up the candlestick gaps as the traders never forget to cover up candlestick gaps before except for some special gaps.

Walau. S&P P/E ratio so low now, catching up with the low after the great recessioin in 2010. Everyone is now talking about market crash, recession, slumps and Bear-bears are everywhere. Where market will go next?

S&P earnings are going to fall. So PE ratio remains elevated.

(15-06-2022, 09:23 AM)limkopi Wrote: [ -> ]S&P earnings are going to fall. So PE ratio remains elevated.

Company earnings don't fall as fast;   the forward PE for S&P is still in the rise at least for the 2nd quarter.   Everywhere is now living with Covid except for China.  Countries are opening up for trade to flow.   Business outlooks should look better than before.   

Fed is stuck between rate/QT hikes and economic deterioration,  tonight's decision would be interesting to watch.  Expect the unexpected.