CPI number going to be released.
Many bulls have cheong in ahead of the number....
If bad, will be ugly. ..
I suspect if good, it may rally but profit taking will set in.
CPI Live stream below with commentary.
Quote:If bad, will be ugly. ..
if good, it may rally
Isn't this 废话？
ah butt now smart, wun say the exact
If oil prices keep gg higher, inflation will be bad.
.
German bank already mention Recession in 2023
(13-09-2022, 03:53 PM)WhatDoYouThink? Wrote: [ -> ]ah butt now smart, wun say the exact
If can tell bet big on Dow futures to huat big big!!!
This is what I predict.....not that I have crystal ball just for fun based on how market move. Market move 3 days in a row in anticipation ..here is the logic
1. Analysts predict 8.1% but traders are betting it will go below 8% they go in big ....
2. I believe it is below 8%. Reason is there are proxy numbers like commodities index, material index that can be used to derive the CPI. Based on how much traders bet the number should be around 7.6%...
3. When number announce to be below 8%, likely there is a big rally of 400pts.
4. But short term traders already bet big last few days using proxy numbers will sell on the news. ....as they take profits the Dow gains will be wiped out ....to around +100pts.
If we get number above 8.1% ....Dow will drop more than 500pts because all the traders now cut loss and rush out.
But I don't expect this to happen.
My prediction :
CPI = 7.6%
Dow Imdex = +100pts at close.
Dow Imdex peak is +430pts.
Okay that's my scenarios. LETS GO!
30 more minutes before chi ba boom
(13-09-2022, 05:53 PM)sgbuffett Wrote: [ -> ]If can tell bet big on Dow futures to huat big big!!!
This is what I predict.....not that I have crystal ball just for fun based on how market move. Market move 3 days in a row in anticipation ..here is the logic
1. Analysts predict 8.1% but traders are betting it will go below 8% they go in big ....
2. I believe it is below 8%. Reason is there are proxy numbers like commodities index, material index that can be used to derive the CPI. Based on how much traders bet the number should be around 7.6%...
3. When number announce to be below 8%, likely there is a big rally of 400pts.
4. But short term traders already bet big last few days using proxy numbers will sell on the news. ....as they take profits the Dow gains will be wiped out ....to around +100pts.
If we get number above 8.1% ....Dow will drop more than 500pts because all the traders now cut loss and rush out.
But I don't expect this to happen.
My prediction :
CPI = 7.6%
Dow Imdex = +100pts at close.
Dow Imdex peak is +430pts.
Okay that's my scenarios. LETS GO!
It will be above 8, Dow will drop at 830 then 930 collapse.
Dow futures rise non stop for 4 days towards the number
![[Image: 2FWqhQi.jpg]](https://i.imgur.com/2FWqhQi.jpg)
(13-09-2022, 07:57 PM)sgbuffett Wrote: [ -> ]30 more minutes before chi ba boom
no matter what CPI number, it will never go down to 2.0 by end of the year.
It means USA interest rate will stay high above 3% to 4% from end of the year onwards
3% to 4% will be bad for equity and Dow index should go much lower from end of the year onwards.
(13-09-2022, 08:06 PM)sgbuffett Wrote: [ -> ]830pm guys....
Before CPI = 2.0, USA interest rate should be above 3%.
FED wants to see CPI = 2.0 , when will it happen ?
Live stream of the number with commentary.
12 min more
Traders are very excited ....
(13-09-2022, 03:47 PM)Blasterlord2 Wrote: [ -> ]Isn't this 废话？
(13-09-2022, 05:53 PM)sgbuffett Wrote: [ -> ]Okay that's my scenarios. LETS GO!
![[Image: F404-E4-C3-4850-424-F-9231-1-C22776-A4-C18.jpg]](https://i.ibb.co/phFNnPq/F404-E4-C3-4850-424-F-9231-1-C22776-A4-C18.jpg)
Bad ..8.3% vs 8.1% expected . Dow PLUNGE.
![[Image: SJ63ONg.jpg]](https://i.imgur.com/SJ63ONg.jpg)
(13-09-2022, 08:34 PM)Ahnya Wrote: [ -> ]Shorted.
Made nearly 700 points, then it gostan and hit my trailing stop.
But I not serious trader. Play small small contract
Disappointing.
Market drop.
The bearish investors are selling to the relief rallies to collect cash for recession next year.
if USA interest rate is above 3.5% to 5%, the S&P should be below 3900 to 3000.
Then they will buy into equity.
Ah butt has once again proved that he has jinxed the market again.
How many points will next rate hike be ?
As long as FED does not pivot to cut rate, the USA equity cannot have real rally.
If FED is determined to see CPI = 2.0, it is better to be involved in USA equity when CPI has dropped to 3.0 downwards.
It is too early now because CPI is still high at 8.3 now.
Its just a correction from the recent Climb.
Good opportunity to buy (for me )
(13-09-2022, 08:52 PM)Ahnya Wrote: [ -> ]How many points will next rate hike be ?
high chance of 0.75% on 21 Sept 2022.
(13-09-2022, 07:58 PM)Zannn Wrote: [ -> ]It will be above 8, Dow will drop at 830 then 930 collapse.
Only if Sgbuffet heed this.
(13-09-2022, 05:53 PM)sgbuffett Wrote: [ -> ]If can tell bet big on Dow futures to huat big big!!!
This is what I predict.....not that I have crystal ball just for fun based on how market move. Market move 3 days in a row in anticipation ..here is the logic
1. Analysts predict 8.1% but traders are betting it will go below 8% they go in big ....
2. I believe it is below 8%. Reason is there are proxy numbers like commodities index, material index that can be used to derive the CPI. Based on how much traders bet the number should be around 7.6%...
3. When number announce to be below 8%, likely there is a big rally of 400pts.
4. But short term traders already bet big last few days using proxy numbers will sell on the news. ....as they take profits the Dow gains will be wiped out ....to around +100pts.
If we get number above 8.1% ....Dow will drop more than 500pts because all the traders now cut loss and rush out.
But I don't expect this to happen.
My prediction :
CPI = 7.6%
Dow Imdex = +100pts at close.
Dow Imdex peak is +430pts.
Okay that's my scenarios. LETS GO!
Now Dow down 500+pts...after inflation came in at 8.3% higher than expected 8.1%
![[Image: LIt2CJa.jpg]](https://i.imgur.com/LIt2CJa.jpg)
(13-09-2022, 08:58 PM)Zannn Wrote: [ -> ]Only if Sgbuffet heed this.
you are always ah butt's checker!
(13-09-2022, 09:07 PM)TalkingRabbit Wrote: [ -> ]you are always ah butt's checker!
Can see -900 for Dow before 12am
Rate hike = Recession = Rate cut
Pop bubble, Blow bubble.. rinse, repeat
(13-09-2022, 09:20 PM)Zannn Wrote: [ -> ]Can see -900 for Dow before 12am
am looking at ~31500