(07-03-2025, 04:42 PM)victortan Wrote:  Because u short lah. 

Can u pls be Ho sim a bit. Now I m down on stock n crypto. 

If u long I will invite u to my wedding next month. Pls long byd n Tencent my favourite girl friend.

(10-03-2025, 11:05 AM)sgbuffett Wrote:  Hs Tech tried to rally after falling below 6000....the rally got stopped at 6000 then it dived to 5900.

Best case I see is 5900 support holding but HS Tech will stay below 6000 for some time. If 5900 breaks best to sell and get out or short ....if you want to buy you should wait for a more decisive break above 6000.

There is no more catalyst for HS Tech upside ...best case is sideways and worst case is down. So you should be short or close all long positions.

(13-03-2025, 09:53 PM)sgbuffett Wrote:  HS Tech vs US$ Index

Sharp rise to the peak corelates to fall in US$
US$ zoom down HS Tech zoom up

When US$ stop dropping, HS Tech stop rising


While correlation is not causation  movmenet of the US dollar is likely linked to flow of funds in HK stocks the favorite now bejng HS Tech stoxks.

With donald trump as president the US dollar will be under constant pressure to go down which will help sustain the HS Tech rally.
.
The the recent rise of US$ is to short covering...is over.

US$ will resume falling causing HS tech iindex  to  rise quickly  up above 6000 soon.....

Pro traders would buy in anticipation of the rise.

(14-03-2025, 09:36 AM)Zannn Wrote:  Open and fall fast. Pros lose $$

(17-03-2025, 10:16 AM)sgbuffett Wrote:  HS Tech will rebound after opening selling.
Pro traders will add to their long positions now.

(17-03-2025, 02:59 PM)sgbuffett Wrote:  HS Tech now flat but will start moving up soon.


Pro traders took advantage of sideways movmenet to accumulate.

Once accumulation is done it will have momentum to move UP

(18-03-2025, 07:53 AM)p1acebo Wrote:  Flip prata yet?

Don’t be like that one trick pony Handbag Loo from 1M65. Everyday shout US markets down and totally missing out on the Chinese markets. 

I guess this is what tunnel vision must be like

(18-03-2025, 07:57 AM)sgbuffett Wrote:  What do you suggest i do?

(18-03-2025, 08:02 AM)p1acebo Wrote:  All in Chinese markets 

(18-03-2025, 09:25 AM)sgbuffett Wrote:  I rememeber many times in this last 2-3 yrs when the China HK market sank you KPKB that i shorted. If you are all jn you would have sit through gut wrenching drawdowns not knowing when the rally would come.

All in or not all in depends on your risk management.
We all want to maximise profits and minimise the downside.

(13-03-2025, 09:53 PM)sgbuffett Wrote:  HS Tech vs US$ Index

Sharp rise to the peak corelates to fall in US$
US$ zoom down HS Tech zoom up

When US$ stop dropping, HS Tech stop rising


While correlation is not causation  movmenet of the US dollar is likely linked to flow of funds in HK stocks the favorite now bejng HS Tech stoxks.

With donald trump as president the US dollar will be under constant pressure to go down which will help sustain the HS Tech rally.
.
The the recent rise of US$ is to short covering...is over.

US$ will resume falling causing HS tech iindex  to  rise quickly  up above 6000 soon.....

Pro traders would buy in anticipation of the rise.

(18-03-2025, 04:33 PM)sgbuffett Wrote:  HS Tech is now 6100 as expected it risen 300+pts or 5% in two days to clear the 6000 level from my earlier posting.

Also explained in the earlier post above ..the HS Tech/HSI is now linked to the fall jn USD.  Sharp rise today correlated with the USD falljng more sharply.

USD index below:


On a separate thread i explained what is driving this fall in USD as part of Trump's economic  advisor's "overall strategy" for trade...so it is not going to end soon.

Geo politically, economically, and in relation to market we are in new territory.

I also explained once we cross the 6000 this time, be begin the new leg up. ...and it looks like a "long leg" driven by multiple factors including Trump's politics and uncertainty over US economy. Suddenly Gold and Asia looks like safe haven. Trump and his secretary Bassent said transition and pain for US economy.



Also thrown into the mix is Fed cutting rates and falllng 2 & 10yr bond yields.

I see all these factors creating the push for thr "leg up".

(18-03-2025, 09:28 AM)sgbuffett Wrote:  HS Tech stocks will gap up...Alibaba up 5%.

This creates a dilemma for yhose who miiss the boat.

Pros like i said took advantage of sideways action yesterday to increase long positions ahead of the leg up above 6000.

Dont ask me what you should do because i already said what you should do last few days.

(20-03-2025, 10:50 AM)Zannn Wrote:  Recent movement showed that market are taking profit at any good results. This also mean that just one bad result from big China co May crash hs tech.


Staying above 6k narrative for long time like Sgbuffett said is not likely to play out

(20-03-2025, 11:02 AM)sgbuffett Wrote:  There are many traders waiting to sell after good results for an extra boost. It has been like this for 3yrs. I have data going back quite far. It says nothing about the phase ghe market is in. So it is wrong to use this to jnterpret thaf market is weak or strong.

(21-03-2025, 09:36 AM)sgbuffett Wrote:  Yesterday sharp selloff due to USD recovery.
Watch if HS Tech can recover  back to 6000.

HSI should be more stable because it has both tech and high dividend stocks. ...these value stocks seem to be holding up.

As in all trades always execute your exit strategy with discipline