10-12-2021, 01:24 PM
(10-12-2021, 12:54 PM)sgbuffett Wrote: If you assumption is it's a dice roll..then there is nothing to discover. However that is the question we are trying to answer...rather than the starting point.
You cannot prove non-stationarity using traditional techniques that cannot cannot uncover and discover anything.
Anyway Renaissance Tech returns tells us there are patterns to uncover.
aiya I din say it's dice roll aka random walk. I only said the data are non-stationary.
I aso never say there's no pattern. in fact market fractals, which are recurring geometrical patterns for determining market turning pts and directions are quite promising