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07-02-2024, 10:24 PM
INSIGHTS & ANALYSIS. -- Black Sea Successes and Ukraine’s Path to Victory. February 5, 2024. Ukraine’s operational success in the Northwestern Black Sea offers a beacon of light which, with Western support, could chart the way to eventual victory over Russia. UN and Turkey, collapsed after Russian obstruction, ultimate destruction by Kremlin in July, followed by a renewed drone and missile campaign on Ukrainian port infrastructure. Russia struck historic heart of Odesa too. Yet Ukraine pushed back forcefully at Russia’s attempt to resume its blockade and opened a unilateral maritime corridor hugged the shore all the way to NATO territory, this corridor started with some traffic, substantially increased shipment in volumes, reaching 20 mill tons of agricultural & non-agricultural cargoes in first 6-months, thus nearing pre-war levels.
It's on course to surpass numbers achieved under the grain deal, which saw some 30 mil tons annually,
How did this happen?
Ukraine organized a highly effective campaign against Russian in Crimea Black Sea Fleet, combined with Ukrainian audacity mix of domestic and Western capabilities, including drones and long-range Anglo-French cruise missiles. This sustained campaign, a continuation of Ukraine’s 2022 operations saw the sinking of flagship Moskva & recovery Snake Island in 2022, after led to destruction of Black Sea Fleet HQ in Sevastopol with senior commanders planning meeting and some 20% of the fleet distroy. August, then drones traveled 800km (500 miles) to hit a Russian ship near Novorossiysk, in the Northeast where a growing number of Russian vessels were seeking safety. Kyiv said Russian ports potentilally is considered a military threat. The result now Russian naval vessels are no longer safe, as the sinking of the missile corvette Ivanovets on January 31 underlined. Thus Kremlin’s grip on Ukraine and the Black Sea’s international waters has loosened.
As nternational community stood in the face of Russian threats on navigation and food security, Kyiv called Kremlin’s bluff & restored order, improvement of air defense in the region has front with Ukraine bringing down Russian aircraft in the South — including three Su-34 bombers in a missile ambush — a deterrent to Moscow’s aerial campaigns. As a result, while Ukraine’s land counteroffensive faltered and in the fall, it now holds the initiative in Northern Black Sea and can claim operational success in sea warfare. There r key lessons to be drawn from...
It's on course to surpass numbers achieved under the grain deal, which saw some 30 mil tons annually,
How did this happen?
Ukraine organized a highly effective campaign against Russian in Crimea Black Sea Fleet, combined with Ukrainian audacity mix of domestic and Western capabilities, including drones and long-range Anglo-French cruise missiles. This sustained campaign, a continuation of Ukraine’s 2022 operations saw the sinking of flagship Moskva & recovery Snake Island in 2022, after led to destruction of Black Sea Fleet HQ in Sevastopol with senior commanders planning meeting and some 20% of the fleet distroy. August, then drones traveled 800km (500 miles) to hit a Russian ship near Novorossiysk, in the Northeast where a growing number of Russian vessels were seeking safety. Kyiv said Russian ports potentilally is considered a military threat. The result now Russian naval vessels are no longer safe, as the sinking of the missile corvette Ivanovets on January 31 underlined. Thus Kremlin’s grip on Ukraine and the Black Sea’s international waters has loosened.
As nternational community stood in the face of Russian threats on navigation and food security, Kyiv called Kremlin’s bluff & restored order, improvement of air defense in the region has front with Ukraine bringing down Russian aircraft in the South — including three Su-34 bombers in a missile ambush — a deterrent to Moscow’s aerial campaigns. As a result, while Ukraine’s land counteroffensive faltered and in the fall, it now holds the initiative in Northern Black Sea and can claim operational success in sea warfare. There r key lessons to be drawn from...
