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(14-08-2023, 06:50 PM)theold Wrote: The US property market is big. Most staff work from home. The offices are empty.
Long ago there were US Reits, then it crashed out and disappeared. It makes a comeback. Now, going out again?
The issue u highlight isomething else.
While they are affected by the work from home trend, they are jn trouble because of loan covenants which accelerate their downfall and die more easily.
I am surprised such tricks escape our regulators and the company can just hide it until it exploded like a time bomb.
I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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Latest news is Manulife REITs will sell its crown jewel Parkland Office back to parent company Maual Life for same price it was injected ...and take a loan with 10% interest rate ....the money will be used ro negotiate with banks to waive covenants for them to take for of that mksny for loan repayments.
This is a shit deal that wipes put the residual value of the REITs.
SGX is really incompetent to allow such a reit to ever list on the exchange with covenant ladened loans that can just implode. The authorities jn Singapore in their eagerness to get more reits onto the stock exchange have failed to do their regulatory work ....
Itvwas a foreseeable disaster....i warned of this more than 1 yr ago.
I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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(10-05-2023, 03:32 PM)sgbuffett Wrote: This one is a goner ....
The other one called Prime as a 40% chance of survival....it has a chance only if interest rates are cut soon....
![[Image: BRaxfSy.jpg]](https://i.imgur.com/BRaxfSy.jpg)
Given fed has pivoted....like I explained earlier between Manulife and Prime...Prime has a chance to survive provided rates start going down.
I did a more detailed study of its assets, the odds of survival and recovery has improved for Prime the outside chance for survival appears improved.
Manulife on the other hand is dead as the sponsor offers a raw dead that permanent wipes away moat of the reits remaining value.
I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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(14-12-2023, 02:04 PM)sgbuffett Wrote: Given fed has pivoted....like I explained earlier between Manulife and Prime...Prime has a chance to survive provided rates start going down.
I did a more detailed study of its assets, the odds of survival and recovery has improved for Prime the outside chance for survival appears improved.
Manulife on the other hand is dead as the sponsor offers a raw dead that permanent wipes away moat of the reits remaining value.
![[Image: XqX9Iju.jpg]](https://i.imgur.com/XqX9Iju.jpg)
Already rallied 100% since Nov 23 in anticipation of rate cut. U really think still can buy?
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(14-12-2023, 02:04 PM)sgbuffett Wrote: Given fed has pivoted....like I explained earlier between Manulife and Prime...Prime has a chance to survive provided rates start going down.
I did a more detailed study of its assets, the odds of survival and recovery has improved for Prime the outside chance for survival appears improved.
Manulife on the other hand is dead as the sponsor offers a raw dead that permanent wipes away moat of the reits remaining value.
![[Image: XqX9Iju.jpg]](https://i.imgur.com/XqX9Iju.jpg)
This Prime reits almost died but did not because fed will start cutting rates next year and the stock pit in a bottom. Although it has rallied from the lows so long as it can maintain current dividend the stock should be able to claw back some of its losses.
Up > 10% since I last pointed it put. While still risky, it has a decent chance of pulling through
I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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(19-12-2023, 04:05 PM)sgbuffett Wrote: This Prime reits almost died but did not because fed will start cutting rates next year and the stock pit in a bottom. Although it has rallied from the lows so long as it can maintain current dividend the stock should be able to claw back some of its losses.
Up > 10% since I last pointed it put. While still risky, it has a decent chance of pulling through
![[Image: 9xYpRhB.jpg]](https://i.imgur.com/9xYpRhB.jpg)
How’s your recommendation stock pick for the year Q&M doing?
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