Dow Index drop from Jackson Hole until now..New 2022 lows coming...SHORT!
#1

Total drop 11% in 3.5 weeks.
Once it breaks below June low experts expect the falls to accelerate as that was key support ....most traders will make from shortiirg as markets fall.

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
Reply
#2

That Hole knows no depth.
Reply
#3

Situation is quite bad and may get worse.
How many market players got wrong footed is they look at commodity and oil price think it has fallen decided to BUY think inflation is over and Fed will soften. The reverse occurred.

There is a delay effect and reduce effect as the lower oil price transmit through the economy. The price increase was already circulating. So when oil price go down the effect may be delayed or not so great. For example the oil spike cased a logistic company to increase price of delivery. This  case sellers of goods to raise price. When oil drop, the logistic company may not cut price immediately ...and may not do so.

But there is a side scenario that investors have not considered.

Remember in late 2021 Fed claimed that inflation was transitory and it was quite relax about tightening. It turner out they were wrong big time.

Then they swing all the way in opposite direction and inflation become  No.1 enermy.  These Fed hikes are no joke. They are sharpest biggest rise in ever.

It is possible the Fed itself does not understand the actual effect of such massive hikes...and these hikes has already cause some internal injury to YS economy. ..and within weeks we can be staring at deflation.

This is data from a live inflation tracking using big data analytics.

Inflation has disappeared and flatlined.  General.prise has falling from peak 3 months ago.

Every 1% rate hike cost of debt servicing goes up US$600B.
The stock market sinking has caused wealth reduction of 3 Trillion

The inflation problem is already over. 

The problem now is recession and price deflation

The Fed is off sync wrong again!

[Image: QYajSps.jpg]p

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
[+] 1 user Likes sgbuffett's post
Reply
#4

(23-09-2022, 05:40 PM)sgbuffett Wrote:  Situation is quite bad and may get worse.
How many market players got wrong footed is they look at commodity and oil price think it has fallen decided to BUY think inflation is over and Fed will soften. The reverse occurred.

There is a delay effect and reduce effect as the lower oil price transmit through the economy. The price increase was already circulating. So when oil price go down the effect may be delayed or not so great. For example the oil spike cased a logistic company to increase price of delivery. This  case sellers of goods to raise price. When oil drop, the logistic company may not cut price immediately ...and may not do so.

But there is a side scenario that investors have not considered.

Remember in late 2021 Fed claimed that inflation was transitory and it was quite relax about tightening. It turner out they were wrong big time.

Then they swing all the way in opposite direction and inflation become  No.1 enermy.  These Fed hikes are no joke. They are sharpest biggest rise in ever.

It is possible the Fed itself does not understand the actual effect of such massive hikes...and these hikes has already cause some internal injury to YS economy. ..and within weeks we can be staring at deflation.

This is data from a live inflation tracking using big data analytics.

Inflation has disappeared and flatlined.  General.prise has falling from peak 3 months ago.

Every 1% rate hike cost of debt servicing goes up US$600B.
The stock market sinking has caused wealth reduction of 3 Trillion

The inflation problem is already over. 

The problem now is recession and price deflation

The Fed is off sync wrong again!

[Image: QYajSps.jpg]p

Recession is transitory
Inflation is forever
Reply
#5

There r 2 threats. The rate hikes & money QT. FOMC must hv also weighted the global situation.  With RUSSIA and Commie China weakening,  they can afford to b more hawkish than usual. Hikes & QT would stay.


Omi.. Thank you for bumping up the message.
Reply
#6

(23-09-2022, 06:19 PM)teaserteam Wrote:  There r 2 threats. The rate hikes & QT. FOMC must hv also weighted the global situation.  With RUSSIA and Commie China weakening,  they would b more hawkish than usual. Hikes & QT would stay.

Rate hike is different from QT?
Reply
#7

(23-09-2022, 06:30 PM)winbig Wrote:  Rate hike is different from QT?

Monetery QT. Read btw words


Omi.. Thank you for bumping up the message.
Reply
#8

Dow to crash below June low and keep sinking.

[Image: Ggi09hk.jpg]

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
Reply
#9

Dow now down 400+pts before open.
Congrats to all who shorted... big payday
Dow will keep falling throughout the day.

[Image: Q7OwMEW.jpg]

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
Reply
#10

(23-09-2022, 09:04 PM)sgbuffett Wrote:  Dow now down 400+pts before open.
Congrats to all who shorted... big payday
Dow will keep falling throughout the day.

[Image: Q7OwMEW.jpg]

Since u r confident abt the fall, why don’t u short it?
Reply
#11

just closed my buy scalps
Reply
#12

(23-09-2022, 09:24 PM)Zannn Wrote:  Since u r confident abt the fall, why don’t u short it?

Sgbuffet is not known as our famous reverse indicator for no reason Laughing

https://sgtalk.net/Thread-Sin-Heng-Heavy...ffer-58cts
Always fight lowball offers wherever you go, no matter what the weather, always bring your own sunshine Big Grin
Reply
#13

Seriously though, SgBluffett is really clueless

I dun understand why he keep talking about long term when clearly he usually buy high and then sell low because he has no hodling power at all

Pathetic..
Reply
#14

(23-09-2022, 05:17 PM)sgbuffett Wrote:  Total drop 11% in 3.5 weeks.
Once it breaks below June low experts expect the falls toaccelerateaccelerate as that was key support ....most traders willnmake from shortinshirg as markets fall.

can sense ah butt very excited until cannot type properly
Reply
#15

Dow down 600pts and falling ....

[Image: MJxH8YN.png]

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
Reply
#16

[Image: 850Cb2g.gif]
Reply
#17

Now down 700pts....collapsing!

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
Reply
#18

(23-09-2022, 09:35 PM)Sentinel Wrote:  Seriously though, SgBluffett is really clueless

I dun understand why he keep talking about long term when clearly he usually buy high and then sell low because he has no hodling power at all

Pathetic..

Yah, someone who advocates long-term keeps looking at charts, and bothering about fluctuations every minute. He just likes to talk cock.
Reply
#19

cud be confused by too many youtube top expert gurus
Reply


Forum Jump:


Users browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)