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(02-09-2024, 09:52 AM)sgbuffett Wrote: Expected there is some volatility and HSI is sold down from above 18K to 17750.
While tiis look like another failure to stay above 18k and traders gave shorted ...I believe the HSI will recover quickly to above 18K.
The reason is all the blue chip earnings already out and shows a stabilisation. With US interest rate cuts coming and Chjna/HK markets being the highest yielding markets ....these markets can sustain an uptrend unlike previous selloffs.
Any selldown below 8K is a small window of time to buy. Take advantage as these may last only 1 day or half a day.
![[Image: 51tFWg4.jpeg]](https://i.imgur.com/51tFWg4.jpeg)
Market will reverse from intraday selldown and move up at 1030am when automatic buy programmes are turned on.
Pro traders will buy at 1030am to get the best upswings.
As expected.a bottom is formed at exactly 1030am
I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
>
(This post was last modified: 02-09-2024, 11:02 AM by
sgbuffett.)
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(02-09-2024, 10:55 AM)sgbuffett Wrote: As expected.a bottom is formed at exactly 1030am
![[Image: mxjCPdS.jpeg]](https://i.imgur.com/mxjCPdS.jpeg)
Day is still early to say bottom lol
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(02-09-2024, 10:55 AM)sgbuffett Wrote: As expected.a bottom is formed at exactly 1030am
![[Image: mxjCPdS.jpeg]](https://i.imgur.com/mxjCPdS.jpeg)
Told u not everyday friday
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Chinese banks perform poorly as they need to allow customers to remortgage at lower rates.
Estimate income loss is $66B spread over a few yrs.
Looks more like profit taking after recent run up..rather than some kind of crisis. If yoh look at last few months China banks have gone up with other stocks have sink.
Also banks reported a 6% drop in earnings.
Chinese banks have more than 59% discount to book and low dividend payout ratios plus implicit guarantee fro.Chuna givt as China govt js majority share holders. As of today dividend yield is 8%.
I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
>
(This post was last modified: 03-09-2024, 11:14 AM by
sgbuffett.)
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(03-09-2024, 11:09 AM)sgbuffett Wrote: Chinese banks perform poorly as they need to allow customers to remortgage at lower rates.
Estimate income loss is $66B spread over a few yrs.
![[Image: eI6prB8.jpeg]](https://i.imgur.com/eI6prB8.jpeg)
Looks more like profit taking after recent run up.
![[Image: 4P4WuSO.jpeg]](https://i.imgur.com/4P4WuSO.jpeg)
Yr 18k is goner
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(03-09-2024, 11:10 AM)Zannn Wrote: Yr 18k is goner
HSI has reversed from the downtrend already even though it has not been able to stay above the key 18K level
It will not selldown but consolidate for another attempt at 18K.
I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
>
(This post was last modified: 03-09-2024, 11:28 AM by
sgbuffett.)
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(03-09-2024, 11:27 AM)sgbuffett Wrote: HSI has reversed from the downtrend already even though it has not been able to stay above the key 18K level
It will not selldown but consolidate for another attempt at 18K.
![[Image: Z96qspt.jpeg]](https://i.imgur.com/Z96qspt.jpeg)
Did u see the uptrend already broken? By the time Hsi reach 18k again, yr leverage long all are losses
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DEEP profit shorting...because today is NEW MOON calender..a MAJOR MARKET TURNING POINT for GLOBAL MARKET.
Secret - Universe
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HSI si liao... below 15000 soon.
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(03-09-2024, 11:27 AM)sgbuffett Wrote: HSI has reversed from the downtrend already even though it has not been able to stay above the key 18K level
It will not selldown but consolidate for another attempt at 18K.
![[Image: Z96qspt.jpeg]](https://i.imgur.com/Z96qspt.jpeg)
Still selling down
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Buy Nikkei for 700 pointsss rebound.
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these Lots of turmoil in overvalued US markets
But the Fed rate cuts is like an oxygen supply that can keep China and HK recovery especially the property sector.
Anyway watch the HK China market today if they can hold out as Nikkei plunge 3-4%.
I will trim my HSI long positions if it does not begin to show strength near the 17K level.
These market went down as US market rallied for 3 yrs. I see a negative correlation. Now there has to be markets that absorb the outflows from US emerging markets like Indonesia, Malaysia, etc ....China and HK are bombed out ....
As we enter a phase of weak dollar the carry trade has to find places with yield and stronger currencies.
I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
>
(This post was last modified: 09-09-2024, 07:57 AM by
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