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(06-09-2023, 05:23 PM)lvlrsSTI Wrote:
(07-09-2023, 11:59 AM)Stoki Wrote: Still too early. By Jan, he may hit 50%
(07-09-2023, 12:02 PM)lvlrsSTI Wrote: If he joins force with former Taipei mayor Ko Wen-je, they could win the election…however he wants to the president rather than VP.
(07-09-2023, 12:05 PM)lvlrsSTI Wrote: The weakest candidate is from the KMT, the former police chiefTaiwan News: New Taipei Mayor Hou Yu-ih, with Kuomintang Chairman Eric Chu. After winning re-election as New Taipei mayor by 25-point margin in Nov-2022. Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) was thought to be the "chosen one" who could help opposition Kuomintang (KMT) win back power it lost to ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) in 2016.
(06-09-2023, 05:31 PM)lvlrsSTI Wrote:Since then, he consistently polled about 5 to 7 points behind Ko Wen-je (柯文哲), founder of the fledgling Taiwan People's Party (TPP), and 15 points behind Lai, garnering only about 20% support, unthinkable just eight months ago. Though gap between Ko & Hou may be narrowing, question? is why slide in the first place and can Hou recover?
(07-09-2023, 12:44 PM)Tee tiong huat Wrote: Since then, he consistently polled about 5 to 7 points behind Ko Wen-je (柯文哲), founder of the fledgling Taiwan People's Party (TPP), and 15 points behind Lai, garnering only about 20% support, unthinkable just eight months ago. Though gap between Ko & Hou may be narrowing, question? is why slide in the first place and can Hou recover?
A number of commentators feel Hou's popularity has lagged b'cos he took too long to publicly declare his presidential intentions, leaving a void for Gou and Ko to pull support away from Hou by holding rallies and vocally criticizing DPP govt. Ko also parlayed his use of social media to drive up his support among younger voters while Hou was inactive.
Several pro-KMT political commentators, including Jaw Shaw-kong (趙少康), Huang Wei-han (黃暐瀚) and Tung Chih-sen (董智森), repeatedly urged Hou to announce his presidential bid earlier, but the New Taipei mayor held back, presumably fearing it would be bad form to pursue higher office so soon after his re-election as mayor.
This that reluctance to rush into things & inclination to watch and wait before making a move could be tied to his upbringing and earlier professional experience as a police officer.
(07-09-2023, 12:54 PM)lvlrsSTI Wrote: After Lai wins the election, China may terminate ECFA (the free trade agreement signed during President Ma’s era) causing Taiwan’s economy go downhill and millions of people jobless. Taiwan has had USD 100 billion surplus thru trading with mainland China each year under ECFA for the past 12 years.
(07-09-2023, 01:31 PM)Niubee Wrote: If he change this slogan sure win.
One Taiwan, One Country.