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Two Kyiv Hospitals Evacuating Over Feared Russian Strikes

Authorities in the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv on Friday announced the evacuation of two hospitals due to fear of Russian attacks.

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The Russians Are Coming, Rushing Reinforcements Into Their Ocheretyne Breakthrough. 

For The Ukrainians, The Situation Is Desperate. A Ukrainian retreat would be risky.

Apr 26, 2024. The Six days battle after breaking through Ukrainian lines west of Avdiivka, the Russian brigades and regiments are slowly widening their salient—a five-mile-deep knife wound plunging into Ukrainian territory, its point lodged in the village of Ocheretyne.

The situation is desperate for Ukrainian soldiers, exhausted Ukrainian brigades in their area, (is this a foregone conclusion) for Ukrainians. (Will they lose a few villages around the Ocheretyne axis?.)

The real risk, however, for Ukrainian Tavriya Operational-Strategic Group. — The command responsible for forces west of Adviivka — will have no choice but to cut its losses, then retreat a few miles to the west and reconsolidate along a new defensive line to threading and defend their north to southwest of Ocheretyne. 

So that retreat could surrender tens of square miles of territory and force hundreds of civilians to flee or resign themselves to living under brutal occupation. Worse, the retreat—if poorly executed—would represent an opportunity for Russians to redouble their local attacks & achieve a 2nd, 3rd or 4th breakthrough that is like a chain reaction, trigger a wider Ukrainian collapse.

Retreating is extremely risky even when it’s the best option, which is why disciplined armies plan for retrograde action at least as carefully as they plan for offensive action. “Retreats are most difficult operations for any commander and force,” 

Historian Andrew O. G. Young wrote in Armies in Retreat: Chaos, Cohesion and Consequences. 
(That  is how the Russians broke the Ukrainian line west of Avdiivka last weekend is the subject of heated debate in Kyiv and across the 600-mile front line of Russia’s 26-month wider war on Ukraine.)

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/20...d309687223

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The Russian are coming...to town.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/20...d309687223

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The war🇺🇦Ukrainian military launched their and Russia attack continue 🇷🇺Russian.

If there is a will there is a way, will to stop been bully is very strong, is with the Ukrainian folks, is going stronger by day.

☆》 @Follow Will. Follow way the will can go. It will match Putin / Russian with halfway.

If it is a will....Ukraine will not give up halfway, to protect their folks, sovereignty against invaders and aggressors.

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US Aid Package Has Lifted Ukrainians’ Spirits and Poland’s Stance Has Also Helped
What some American politicians refuse to acknowledge is that the fight will go on despite the naysayers – because Ukrainians would be fighting for American values even without the aid. US Aid Package Has Lifted Ukrainians’ Spirits and Poland’s Stance Has Also Helped. The prevailing mood in Ukraine has changed dramatically. It is more upbeat again and America has recaptured a good portion of its respect and adulation– which it recently was losing. Generally, Ukrainians are fans of America, so the mood swings with each considered victory.

President Biden’s speech about quick delivery of more weapons was an added factor for optimism. Even with regard to Ukrainian-Polish friendship may prove to be more durable and resilient as long as grain is not an impediment to Polish farmers and the Poles recognize Ukrainians are dying to defend themselves as well to protect Europe from scourge of Russian imperialism.
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/31721

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Russia Must Withdraw From Ukraine, Plain & Simple Ukraine at War Update April 29

Zelensky says Kyiv ready for EU accession. Australia provides $30 mil in drones, 450,000 Russian casualties in Ukraine, five Russian regions cancel Victory day parades.

President Volodymyr Zelensky says frontline troops are anticipating US latest $61b Congressional approval for weapons. Kyiv desperately needs. He's interacting with partners at all levels to achieve efficiency in assistance needed to hold positions and disrupt Russia’s war plans,” his nightly address to nation. 

“We are still waiting supplies promised – expect exactly volume & content that can change the situation on battlefield in the interests of Ukraine.”

Ukraine’s second wartime president also said that Kyiv and Washington are working on a bilateral security agreement. Our goal is to make this agreement the strongest of all. We are discussing specific foundations of our security & cooperation,” Zelensky said.

Ahead of an international peace summit in June to find avenues to end ongoing Russo Ukrainian war, he said war-torn country he leads “has fulfilled all necessary conditions for actual start of access negotiations, and it is up to the EU side to fulfill its obligations.”

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Ukraine’s 2nd wartime president in Kyiv and Washington are working on bilateral security agreement. Our goal is to make agreement strongest. We are discussing specific foundations on our security & cooperation,” ahead of an international peace summit in June to find avenues to end ongoing Russo Ukrainian war. Zelensky said.

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Ukraine’s sneaky submarine may change naval warfare forever. FROM BILLIONAIRE TOY TO HUNTER-KILLER VESSEL


A Ukrainian startup’s stealth submarine vessel is the equivalent of a fighter jet for hit-and-run missions against the Russian navy.

Somewhere In Arabian Desert—somewhere past the end of Dubai—a small band of misfits claim to have built a submarine of the future in the middle of an ocean of sand. 

Hanging from a heavy industrial crane inside an industrial warehouse, the black silhouette of the machine feels biological & menacing, almost alive as its creators put in the last touches before its virgin voyage.

Name is Kronos, according to its chief designer, Ukrainian engineer Alexander Kuznetsov, founder of Highland Systems, it may change naval warfare forever.

If it's a large submarines then is slow-moving bombers of the sea, Kronos is a stealth jet fighter, capable of maneuvering at fast's speeds, turning on a dime, and sneaking behind big enemy ships to disable them with torpedoes and even sink them. With magnetic mines. Its design is intended to have it lie on the ocean seabed, listening to its sensors, like a predator patiently waiting for its prey.

These are lofty claims, if Kronos performs as Kuznetsov & his team expect, it has a chance of disrupting war at sea the same way drones have in air & a new generation of easy-to-use, hit-and-run weapons have on land. 

As Matthew Sweeney—a commander in the U.S. Navy & professor at U.S. Naval War College in Newport, Rhode Island—tells me in a video interview, everything Highland Systems proposes is feasible on paper. Ukraine, however, is at war now.

Hear hear!. A RADICAL REDESIGN OF THE OLD SUBMARINE. (Now!. So how. Is it in Singapore 4th new Sub is a step backward, as Singapore navy is going to eat glass at home, should design remote Sub or with 1 - 2 crew in control .  with new capabilities will include running sonar, deploying magnetic mines, controlling cable-guided mini-drones, & training course, launching mini-torpedoes. Must be friendly design quickly evolved into a war machine through all turn iterations can first tested with computer simulations & physical models of increasing sizes, both in wind tunnels & large swimming pools.

Old Submarine design remained ostensibly since end of 19th century, when Spaniard Isaac Peral invented 1st fully capable submarine, from diesel U-boats & terrorized Allied convoys during WW-II, to modern nuclear-powered attack submarines that unleash storm of atomic missiles over planet at a turn of a key, all is tubes, powered by hybrid diesel-electrical engines or nuclear reactors.

Now, it envisioned to operate in deep waters, current submarines patrol oceans for months at time. Powerful & deadly, but  huge, & maneuver quite slow. 

One eg: An ops like a crash dive means sub dive from surface down, as fast as possible to avoid been attack—took a WW II-era submarine about 30 seconds. 

Eg: A modern, Ohio-class nuclear sub can takes up to five minutes to fully submerge. Size comes with a host of  problems. Submarines are laborious to turn, average submarine going at full speed has a turning radius ranges 750 to 1,500 feet. & need considerable amount of water to operate in all. Even smaller vessels—like anti-submarine hunter-killers, designated as SSK—have a minimum operating depth of 650 feet, according to U.S. Naval Institute, b'cos they need to have space under their keel.

Kronos designed to performance in of the opposite of traditional submarine. Intentionally small, stealthy design is meant to creep close to shore, or enemy vessels, firing pinpoint torpedos, dropping mines to cause devastation like drone than a U-boat. 

No needing crew of 100 to operate like submarines of today, Kronos can handled a single brave pilot carry up to eight special operations commandos.

FROM BILLIONAIRE TOY TO HUNTER-KILLER VESSEL

Kuznetsov—no relation to Ukrainian Russian actor Aleksandr Kuznetzov—was born in Ukraine but moved to Russia at age 6 to study, all the way from grade school to the completion of his doctorate in engineering. He returned to his home country to assemble a team to try to build the first-ever electric amphibious armored vehicle. It wasn’t possible, he says, because the bureaucracy in Ukraine was too great, requiring multiple permits to buy crucial components even before the war started. In order to acquire necessary tools and parts, the team moved to the United Arab Emirates, “where you can get anything you want” as long as you have the money to buy it, he says. They quickly found a local partner—armored vehicles maker Streit Group—and finally built their peculiar vehicle.

Soon after, the team decided to build a new type of personal submarine for work and leisure. In Kuznetsov’s mind, this vessel would have two versions: One model would carry workers to service underwater infrastructure, like communication cables or oil rigs. The other would be a luxury vehicle made for the eccentrically rich as the perfect accessory to their megayachts.

It seemed like a fun and lucrative plan . . . until Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine and started a gruesome, illegal war. That’s when Kuznetsov and his team—like other engineers and companies in his country—decided to pivot to defend their homeland. Their new mission: redesign Kronos to fight against the Russian navy in the highly contested Black Sea.

https://www.fastcompany.com/90872671/ukr...re-forever

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Have Singapore learn from this young boy 


So how. Is it in Singapore 4th new Sub is a step backward, as Singapore navy is going to eat glass at home, should design remote Sub or with 1 - 2 or a team crews in control. 

Rotfl with new capabilities will include running sonar, deploying magnetic mines, controlling cable-guided mini-drones, & training course, launching mini-torpedoes. 

Must be friendly design quickly evolved into a war machine through all turn iterations can first tested with computer simulations & physical models of increasing sizes, both in wind tunnels & large swimming pools

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NATO’s news: New US Spy Plane, A Rare Ukrainian Flight Into Europe, and British Fighters. An Iranian airliner flew right through the middle of it.

Followed by two Royal Air Force Typhoons. Over Black Sea, Americans flew their very best spy drone for the first time. A updated version of powerful & by most world’s-best, long-range robot spy plane, Northrop Grumman’s Global Hawk, Triton is specially designed over-water operations. Until Monday, Pentagon had never openly used a Triton over Black Sea.
 
Unique & at times peculiar NATO aircraft activity spiked around on Monday, April 29 at least 3 British Typhoon fighters sharing airspace appearing close escort an Iranian airliner, a first-ever sortie in theater by Pentagon’s best-equipped maritime spy drone, & a Ukraine govt plane defying the Russian AirForce flying safely in Balkans.

Kyiv-operated plane, from Emergency Situations, a An-32 firefighting twin-engine, made almost-unprecedented flight out of Ukrainian wartime airspace to fly length of Hungary & land at Zagreb airfield, Croatia.

flight tracking data show, Flight show air space & govt aircraft traffic in eastern Hungary & Slovakia about 12:15 local time.
A Ukraine Emergency Situations firefighting An-32B transits Lviv - Zagreb, a rare wartime crossing of Ukraine’s international border by an aircraft. 2 Royal Typhoon fighters head north, preceding a civilian Iran Air Airbus flying at half normal operating speeds to Hamburg from Tehran with shows aircraft with their transponders on.

The Kremlin at the outset of its February 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine declared all Ukrainian and third-party aircraft operating in Ukrainian airspace subject to intercept and shoot-down.

Ukraine An-32B arrived in Zagreb at 1:00 p.m. local time without incident after crossing into NATO airspace near the Hungarian town of Mandok. Aircraft was in Ukrainian airspace and potentially subject to Russian attack for about a half hour, Kyiv Post researchers found. 

At generally same time Ukraine plane was in the air near Ukraine-Hungary border, NATO air operations centered on at least 3 Royal Air Force (RAF) Typhoon fighter aircraft.

There was no direct evidence linking the possibly coincidental presence of Ukrainian An-32B in airspace over west Ukraine and the threat of Russian attack, while well within the detection & potential escort range of RAF Typhoons over east Hungary. At their closest, British & Ukrainian aircraft appeared to be about 50 kilometers (31 miles) apart.

Two of the British Typhoons launched from NATO’s main airbase in its southeast, Mihail Kogălniceanu Airport, some 20 kilometers (12 miles) northwest of the Romanian Black Sea port city of Constanta at about 10:00 a.m. local time, accelerated to 500+ knots (925+ kph) and reached airspace above eastern Hungary a little more than hr later. Flight paths were annotated with, per open-source data, a transponder code display of RRR96661 and a call sign of Ascot 963.
British combat jets closely followed flight path, trailing or preceding by 10 kilometers (6 miles) [flying an escort compensating for fighters' tactical airspeeds], of an Iran Airways civilian airliner, an Airbus A330-243. The aircraft, with the call sign Iranian Airbus Flight 772, flies a regular route between Tehran and Hamburg.

Kyiv Post graphic using FlightRadar data to show air space and government aircraft traffic above southeast Poland on Monday at about 12:00 local/08:00 UTC. Two Royal Air Force Typhoon fighters head north tailing a Royal Air Force KC3 Voyager Airbus paralleling Ukraine’s and Belarus’ western borders. At least one Royal Air Force Typhoon fighter tails a civilian IranAir Airbus flying at about half normal operating speeds to Hamburg from Tehran. This graphic shows aircraft with their transponders on. Other military aircraft may have been in the vicinity.

It was not clear why the two RAF Typhoons were seemingly escorting the Iranian civilian airliner. According to the civilian flight tracker FlightAware, as this article was being prepared, the airliner was scheduled to arrive 11 minutes early in Hamburg.

The Iranian Airbus, after reaching a cruising altitude of flight level 380 (38,000 feet with standard altimeter setting, or about 11,500 meters) flew a route from Iran to Turkey, Bulgaria, Romania, far-eastern Hungary, eastern Slovakia, Poland and Germany without incident. However, once over central Romania, and until it had reached airspace in southern Poland, the Airbus dramatically cut its groundspeed [airspeed plus wind effects, which is all that can be seen by a ground tracking system] from a standard cruise speed of 520-540 mph down to an average of 280-290 mph, the flight tracker platform FlightAware showed. 

It not clear why civilian airliner reduced its speed, likely descending to lower altitude for approach vectors, airspeeds are limited by international flight rules. Open-source flight tracking uncommonly slow-down flight speed, a Iran AirAirbus heading Tehran to Hamburg over eastern Hungary, Slovakia and Poland. During flight, so Royal AirForce jets appeared to escort Iran passenger jet.

An RAF Airbus Voyager KC.Mk3, transponder display on Monday, flew a typical south-to-north route along eastern edge of NATO air space, at passing within about 50 k/m (31 miles) of Belarus’ far-western border. Its aircraft performs air tanker and strategic missions, past mths, However, 1 of 3 RAF Typhoon w/transponder code appeared to peel off, followed Voyager north escorting British plane towards Lithuania, most air fighters in pairs, w/wingman aircraft usually turning its transponder to standby.

Kyiv Post open-source flight data, identified three British Typhoons in area, two following a Iranian airliner, 1 proximity to RAF Voyager.
Escort of Voyager marked a rare instance, NATO planners placed fighter w/transponder turned on, near reconnaissance jet flying near Belarusian airspace.

To the south, over Romania’s Danube delta, airspace which typically has seen one, and on infrequent occasions, two, US Navy Poseidon maritime reconnaissance jets fly search orbits for 8-12 hours daily, skies were empty of NATO search aircraft visible to civilian radars.

Monday flight tracking showed first sortie by US Triton maritime reconnaissance drone over Black Sea. Previous flights Global Hawk drones traveled b4 eastward Black Sea. This US earlier model, land-configured version of drone, (Global Hawk), took to sky in 2022 over Black Sea, approaching as close as 150 k/m (93 miles) to the Russian mainland.

MC-4Q Triton modernized version of Global Hawk, designed specifically for over-water ops with high-tech robot plane on Mon flew a range of some 200 k/m (124 miles) of the Russia-occupied Crimea peninsula b4 turn & head back to its Sicilian air base, flight tracking data showed.

The manufacturer Northrop Grumman describes advanced reconnaissance equipment aboard Triton “a most advanced maritime ISR capability deployed today.”

By 5:00pm local time, US Navy Poseidon had made its typical to over Danube river delta. A RAF Boeing RC-135W join in, a 4-engine reconnaissance jet loaded with electronics intercept gear & technicians run & arrived in the airspace same time took up a north-south track pattern about 290 kilometers (180 miles) due east of Crimea & Sevastopol, HQ of Russia's Black Sea Fleet.

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NATO’s news: New US Spy Plane, A Rare Ukrainian Flight Into Euro, British Fighters. An Iranian airliner flew right through middle of it. Followed by two Royal Air  Typhoon. Americans flew their very best spy drone for the first time. A updated version of powerful most world’s-best, long-range robot spy plane, Northrop Grumman’s Global Hawk, Triton is specially designed over-water operations. Until Monday, Pentagon had never openly used a Triton over Black Sea. MC-4Q Triton modernized version of Global Hawk, designed specifically for over-water ops with high-tech robot plane on Mon flew a range of some 200 k/m (124 miles) of the Russia-occupied Crimea peninsula b4 turn & head back to its Sicilian air base.

Manufacturer Northrop Grumman advanced reconnaissance equipment aboard Triton “a most advanced maritime ISR capability deployed today.” Unique & at times peculiar NATO aircraft activity spiked around on Monday, April 29 at least 3 British Typhoon fighters sharing airspace appearing close escort an Iranian airliner, a first-ever sortie in theater by Pentagon’s best-equipped maritime spy drone, & a Ukraine govt plane defying the Russian AirForce flying safely in Balkans.

Kyiv-operated plane, from Emergency Situations, a An-32 firefighting twin-engine, made almost-unprecedented flight out of Ukrainian wartime airspace to fly length of Hungary & land at Zagreb airfield, Croatia.
flight tracking data show, Flight show air space & govt aircraft traffic in eastern Hungary & Slovakia about 12:15 local time.

A Ukraine Emergency Situations firefighting An-32B transits Lviv  Zagreb, a rare wartime crossing of Ukraine’s international border. 2 Royal Typhoon jet head north, preceding a civilian Iran Air Airbus flying at half normal operating speeds to Hamburg from Tehran shows aircraft with their transponders on.

By 5:00pm local time, US Navy Poseidon had made its typical to over Danube river delta. A RAF Boeing RC-135W join in, a 4-engine reconnaissance jet loaded with electronics intercept gear & technicians run & arrived in the airspace same time took up a north-south track pattern about 290 kilometers (180 miles) due east of Crimea & Sevastopol, HQ of Russia's Black Sea Fleet.

Kremlin:: Feb 2022 full-scale invasion. All  
Ukrainian & third-party aircraft operating in Ukrainian airspace is subject to intercept and shoot-down. A Ukrainian plane potentially subject to Russian attack for about a half hour, Ukraine plane was in the air near Ukraine-Hungary border, NATO air ops ctr, with 3 Royal Air Force (RAF) Typhoon fighter aircraft. There no direct evidence on possibly coincidental presence of Ukrainian An-32B in airspace over west Ukraine, & threat of Russian attack, well within detection & potential escort range of RAF Typhoons over east Hungary. At their closest, British & Ukrainian aircraft appeared to be about 50 kilometers (31 miles) apart.

Two British Typhoons launched from NATO’s main airbase southeast, Mihail Kogălniceanu Airport, some 20 k/m (12 miles) northwest of Romanian Black Sea port city of Constanta at 10:00 a.m. local time, accelerated to 500+ knots (925+ kph)& reached airspac eastern Hungary less than hr later. Flight paths annotated with per open-source data, transponder code display of RRR96661 and a call sign of Ascot 963.

British combat jets closely followed path, trailing or preceding by 10 k/m (6 miles) [escorting Iran Airways civilian airliner,) an Airbus A330-243 aircraft, with call sign Iranian Airbus Flight 772, flies a regular route Tehran - Hamburg as traffic above southeast Poland on Monday at about 12:00 local/08:00. Two Royal Air Force Typhoon jet head north tailing a Royal Air Force KC3 Airbus paralleling Ukraine’s and Belarus’ western borders. 

One Typhoon jet tails a IranAir Airbus flying at about half normal operating speeds to Hamburg from Tehran. Graphic shows aircraft with their transponders on. Other military aircraft maybe in the vicinity.

Its not clear why two Typhoons were escorting Iranian civilian airliner was scheduled to arrive 11 min early in Hamburg. Iranian Airbus, after reaching cruising altitude of 38,000 feet setting, about 11,500 meters) to flew from Iran to Turkey, Bulgaria, Romania, far-eastern Hungary, eastern Slovakia, Poland and Germany without incident. 

Once over central reaching Romania airspace & southern Poland, Airbus dramatically cut its groundspeed [airspeed plus wind effects, which is all that can be seen by a ground tracking system] from a standard cruise speed of 520-540 mph down to an average of 280-290 mph, the flight tracker platform FlightAware showed. 

Why?. -- It not clear why civilian airliner reduced its speed, likely descending to lower altitude for approach vectors, airspeeds are limited by international flight rules. Open-source is uncommonly slow-down flight speed, Iran AirAirbus heading Tehran to Hamburg over eastern Hungary, Slovakia and Poland. During flight, so Royal AirForce jets appeared to escort Iran passenger jet.

An RAF Airbus Voyager KC.Mk3, transponder display on Monday, flew a typical south-to-north route along eastern edge of NATO air space, at passing within about 50 k/m (31 miles) of Belarus’ far-western border. Its aircraft performs air tanker and strategic missions, past mths, However, 1 of 3 RAF Typhoon w/transponder code appeared to peel off, followed Voyager north escorting British plane towards Lithuania, most air fighters in pairs, w/wingman aircraft usually turning its transponder to standby.

Kyiv Post open-source flight data, identified three British Typhoons in area, two following a Iranian airliner, 1 proximity to RAF Voyager.
Escort of Voyager marked a rare instance, NATO planners placed fighter w/transponder turned on, near reconnaissance jet flying near Belarusian airspace.

To the south, over Romania’s Danube delta, airspace which typically has seen one, and on infrequent occasions, two, US Navy Poseidon maritime reconnaissance jets fly search orbits for 8-12 hours daily, skies were empty of NATO search aircraft visible to civilian radars.

Monday: Triton reconnaissance drone fly over Black Sea. Previous flights Global Hawk drones traveled b4 eastward Black Sea. This US earlier model, land-configured version of drone, (Global Hawk), took to sky in 2022 over Black Sea, approaching as close as 150 k/m (93 miles) to the Russian mainland.

Kyiv Post graphic using FlightRadar show air space and govt aircraft is back

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Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief posts video showing Ukrainian airstrikes on clusters of Russian military personnel – video

Commander-in-Chief of Armed Forces of Ukraine posted a video showing Ukrainian forces conducting airstrikes on clusters of Russian military personnel in Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia oblasts.

Source: Syrskyi on Facebook

Quote: "We track and strike. -- Two airstrikes targeting clusters of enemy military personnel in Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia oblasts were carried out today (28 April – ed.). The targets have been struck".
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/04/29/7453402/

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The Russian are coming...to town.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/20...d309687223

Russian are coming to town.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/20...d309687223


ISW: Russia unlikely to achieve significant near-term gains near Avdiivka, despite limited Ukrainian retreat. Russia continues to intensify attacking along front prioritizing operation to seize Chasiv Yar, with as many as up 25,000 Russian troops trying to storm Chasiv Yar & surrounding settlements. 

Chasiv Yar is located approximately 50 kilometers north of Avdiivka. succeeded on no with advances in forcing. Ukrainians stop retreating as Russia "has failed to achieve an operational advantage."

Amid intense fighting, Commander-in-Chief of Ukraine's Armed Forces Oleksandr Syrskyi announced on April 28, Ukrainian troops retreated west from Berdychi, Semenivka, & Novomykhailivka, occupied Avdiivka. Earlier in day, Syrskyi Ukraine will conduct unit rotations targeting area, in effort to "restore combat capability" and combat fatigue of soldiers along the front. As Ukrainian rotations troop, ISW notes. 

With or without additional Russian troop to combat Ukraine's. Russia’s ability to make additional rapid tactical advances in the area would likely be constrained."with arrival of Ukrainian reinforcements & added materiel. Russian command either accept a near-term wider or deeper penetration unlikely. Russia commit to try with reserves troops to try to gains. Observes says Ukraine withdrawals from Berdychi, Semenivka, and Novomykhailivka

Syrskyi: According to commander-in-chief, Russia involving 4 brigades (8,000 - 32,000) to conduct assault ops in direction of Pokrovsk and Kurakhove west of Avdiivka, which the russia captured in February.

https://kyivindependent.com/syrskyi-ukra...sk-oblast/

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The army’s “emergency brigade,”has to borrow Ukrainian Conflict Intelligence Team’s term.This all-volunteer 47th Mechanized Brigade is trained by NATO instructors and rides in American-made M-1 tanks, M-2 fighting vehicles and M-109 howitzers. As they lead to Russia soldiers.

A few more is Ukrainian Brigade too is move forward too are cut up knife russia lodged in Ukrainian territory. They the brigade did what commanders asked added emergency prevented the Russians from significantly widening the salient to the south. Ukraine's Armed Forces Oleksandr Syrskyi announced on April 28, Ukrainian troops retreated west from Berdychi, Semenivka, & Novomykhailivka, occupied Avdiivka. 

A day later, Syrskyi Ukraine will conduct unit rotations targeting area, in effort to "restore combat capability" and combat fatigue of soldiers along the front. As Ukrainian rotations troop, "Russia "has failed to achieve an operational advantage."
ISW notes said.

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The blame is on Ukraine army chief for the downside is all Ukrainian folks knows. 

All the servicemen know that there’s no money, no equipment, a dire shortage of air defence systems,” Vladimir Prokhvatilov of Russian Academy of Military Sciences told the Kremlin-funded Radio Sputnik.“And when Syrskii commands a withdrawal, people simply run, he provoked panic himself,” he was quoted as saying.

Syrskii replaced Valerii Zaluzhnyi, an immensely popular top general who reportedly had falling-out with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy over counteroffensive strategies & urgent need to mobilise hundreds of thousands of men.

“A breakthrough not of tactical strategic level. And why Russians will only strengthen their pressure,” Kyiv-based analyst Mikhail Zhyrokhov told Radio NV. Situation around Ocheretyne is difficult only get worse such an advance gives Russians advantages on  flanks, he quoted. Russians can advance in 3-4 directions,” a Germany’s Uni of Bremen says also, Russians can destroy Ukrainian positions along & advance without much resistance. But Ukrainian forces are there not just going to give up halfway, they are waiting for russian.

“The situation is pretty bad, not clear what reserves Ukrainian forces will find and how many as Russian forces can break through minefields under constant drone attacks,” 
However, pessimistic Ukraine’s overall chances to turn war’s tide, Kyiv is incapable of producing more arms domestically. “Full Western aid can only slow some russia advance. No one is talking about ‘Ukraine’s victory’ or ‘liberation of [occupied] areas’, b'cos Ukraine refused to mobilise its economy to restore its military-industrial complex,” he said.

Russians want to move towards largest towns Kyiv-controlled part of Donetsk – Kostiantynivka, Pokrovsk and Chariv Yar – but serve failing important logistical hubs.

Other analysts are not that pessimistic.

“Given the deficit of ammunition and manpower, Ukrainian army is holding on the best way it can and gradually retreating,” Kyiv-based analyst Igar Tyshkevich.

“When residential area is razed off the face of Earth, you either retreat or get your people slaughtered,” he said. “Once the [Western] ammo is here, there will be fully stabilisation.”

Another Ukrainian serviceman who serves in Donetsk said Kyiv ramped up its efforts to build a heavily-fortified defence line.
“Luckily, we began building fortifications that is more resemble those of Russians.” 

More news -- How will Russia retaliate to the mass shooting in Moscow? An affiliate of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant has cla...And Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu and armed forces chief Valery Gerasimov inspect new types of weapons in Rostov-on-Don, Russia, on May 1, 2024 Reuters news.

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5 killed in Russian attack as Ukraine’s. An educational institution known as 'Harry Potter castle' burns after a Russian missile strike in Odesa "Harry Potter castle’ goes up in flames".
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/04/30/europ...index.html

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The war🇺🇦Ukrainian military launched their and Russia attack continue 🇷🇺Russian.

Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 798 As the war enters its 798th day, these are main developments.Thurs, May 2, 2024.

Odesa Regional Governor said @least 14 people were injured after Russia struck a postal depot with ballistic missile triggering was 3rd missile attack on Black Sea port city in as many days. At least 2 folks were killed 6 injured. a Russian rocket attack on the town of Hirnyk, just over 12km (7.5 miles) from the front line in Maryinka in the eastern Donetsk region. At last 2 people were killed &  13 injured after Russia launched 2 guided bombs on town of Zolochiv, in northeastern Kharkiv region, about 15km (9 miles) from the Russian border.

Oleh Shyriaiev, commander of Ukraine’s 225th Separate Assault Battalion, is among forces defending strategic eastern strong- hold of Chasiv Yar, told Reuters news agency his unit was badly in need of ammunition, particularly artillery shells, as they face near constant attack from Russian drones.

US said, ban chemical weapons be use as choke agent chloropicrin against Ukrainian troops. Chloropicrin is listed banned agent by Hague-based Organisation for Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW).
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/5/2/...ts-day-798

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Each KAB packs hundreds of pounds of explosives—enough to dig a crater dozens of feet deep. “All buildings and structures simply turn into a pit arrival of just one KAB

Damage from a Ukrainian strike on Russia’s Kushchyovskaya air base is visible in new high resolution satellite imagery.

KAB is a “miracle weapon” for the Russians, Ukrainian analysis group Deep State noted. And have “practically no countermeasures.” Except, perhaps, to blow up the sheds where the Russians store these bombs b4 loading them four apiece onto their Su-34s.

Unclear exactly which drones Ukrainians flung at their air vase Kushchyovskaya. They’ve options, including ex-Soviet drones with warheads in place with cameras, modified drones pack w/ TNT & pilotless sport planes with bombs under their bellies.
Whichever drones struck Kushchyovskaya, they did in huge numbers, weekend attack was one of biggest on Russia’s 27-mth wider war. Kremlin claimed its troops shot down 66 drones, “illustrating scale of the raid,” the ministry in London noted.

Russians didn’t shoot down every drone, At least one struck likely main target of the raid: shed full of KABs. In destroying potentially scores of glide bombs, Ukrainian operators has given their comrades on front line a short reprieve—a day one two—from the Russian glide-bombing campaign.

It will take many more raids on many more bases to significantly constrain the bombings over the long term, however. And it’s an open question whether planners in Kyiv will add the KAB infrastructure to the list of repeat targets for Ukraine’s strike drones. Those same drones are already targeting Russian oil refineries and weapons factories

[Tee tiong huat]

Video and satellite imagery from the aftermath of the attack on Kushchyovskaya air base, 120 miles from the front line in southern Ukraine, depict burned-out buildings and heaps of wrecked KABs

The Russian air force pummels Ukrainian forces with as many as 3,000 KAB glide bombs every month.

it’s worth noting Ukrainians are at least trying to disrupt basic infrastructure in Russia’s glide-bombing campaign. “Ukraine’s ability to disrupt Russian tactical air, particularly glide-bomb usage, is key to the wider defense of the front line,” the U.K. Defense Ministry explained.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/20...2f8bd01b9a

[Tee tiong huat]

The Russians Are Rushing Reinforcements Into Their Ocheretyne Breakthrough. For The Ukrainians, The Situation Is Desperate. A Ukrainian retreat would be risky.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/20...d309687223

[Tee tiong huat]

Video and satellite imagery from the aftermath of the attack on Kushchyovskaya air base, 120 miles from the front line in southern Ukraine, depict burned-out buildings and heaps of wrecked KABs

The Russian air force pummels Ukrainian forces with as many as 3,000 KAB glide bombs every month.

it’s worth noting Ukrainians are at least trying to disrupt basic infrastructure in Russia’s glide-bombing campaign. “Ukraine’s ability to disrupt Russian tactical air, particularly glide-bomb usage, is key to the wider defense of the front line,” the U.K. Defense Ministry explained.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/20...2f8bd01b9a

UK generally let Ukraine - without spelling it out weapons like long range Storm Shadow missile been use on own sovereign Ukraine territory not also outside, several examples of successful use is the Russian-occupied Crimea, including Russia’s Black Sea Fleet.

Now can act against in the Russia federation, like airbase, Kyiv can use British weapons inside Russia. 
https://youtu.be/v9xseuezhtg?si=AIrbiYyb-p20SUjX

[Tee tiong huat]

The war🇺🇦Ukrainian military launched their and Russia attack continue 🇷🇺Russian.

If there is a will there is a way, will to stop been bully is very strong, is with the Ukrainian folks, is going stronger by day.

☆》 @Follow Will. Follow way the will can go. It will match Putin / Russian with halfway.

If it is a will....Ukraine will not give up halfway, to protect their folks, sovereignty against invaders and aggressors.

This is what happen, happy this Hundreds of Russian Troops Gathered Out In the open. 

They Didn’t Know Ukrainians Had Aimed Late news: four ATACMS Rockets coming. Potentially more than 100 Russians died as ATACMS struck near Kuban in eastern Ukraine.

Kuban, is a settlement in Luhansk Oblast in eastern Ukraine, is 60 miles from the front line of Russia’s 27-mth wider war on Ukraine. Normally well beyond the range of most of Ukraine’s anti-personnel weapons, 

it had been fairly safe for their Russian occupiers, thinking is safe, Russian soldiers had think so...had aimed at them.

This helps to explain why, on or just b4 Wednesday, potentially hundreds of Russian troops gathered out in open in field near Kuban apparently for training in the camp, problem is with Russians Army Tactical. 

Missile System: an American-made precision-guided ballistic missile, depending on model, ranges as far as 190 miles and can scatters at least hundreds at most, (that four ATACMS mean in thousand—grenade-size submunitions.)

As the Russians milled about in broad daylight on that field outside Kuban, and a Ukrainian drone observed from high overhead, four of the two-ton ATACMS streaked down. One also can fail, it failed to explode. The other three popped open and scattered their lethal submunitions. 

Each rocket turned an area as wide as 2.5 acres into a nearly inescapable killing zone.

One of the ATACMS burst directly overhead a crowd of approximately 116 unprotected Russians. 

All of the Russians may had (Malay word die) died in the rain of submunitions, according to the Institute for the Study of War in Washington, D.C.

The Wed-day strike may have been one of the bloodiest of the wider war. it’s indicative of poor planning on the part of Russian commanders. They must have known such a strike had recently become possible—or even likely. 

Acquiring ATACMS from the U.S.A., and then aiming them at Russian army’s vulnerable rear area, has been one of Ukraine’s top military priorities in recent months. United States has belatedly obliged repeated Ukrainian requests for the powerful rockets with US$61 bil.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/20...c762911a2e

[Tee tiong huat]

The Kuban: A Real ‘Wedge’ Between Russia and Ukraine
https://jamestown.org/program/the-kuban-...nuary%2023).

[Tee tiong huat]

The Kuban: A Real ‘Wedge’ Between Russia and Ukraine
https://jamestown.org/program/the-kuban-...nuary%2023).

Ukraine’s intelligence operations, now has a map on wall behind his desk that shows Kuban as part of Ukraine—and rest of what is now Russian Federation divided up into smaller states (Ura.news, December 26, 2022). Display of such a map by a Ukrainian official would have been unthinkable a year ago, but now it is a reflection of resentment against Russia for invading Ukraine and a widespread view that Moscow, by questioning the legitimacy of the borders of other countries, has opened door for discussions on legitimacy of its own.

“green” wedge in Russian Far East, historically, has attracted most attention. Yet, “crimson” one in Kuban, a region that includes Krasnodar Krai & parts of Stavropol Krai is situated between Ukraine & the non-Russian republics of North Caucasus, represents most immediate explosive case.

Kuban, having a long tradition of identifying as Ukrainians (Babel.ua, February 16, 2022; Apn.ru, September 30, 2022) 

Between 2014 and Putin’s expanded invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the issue continued to mushroom, with ever-more Ukrainians supporting the region’s inclusion in Ukraine; ever-more so, Kuban residents backing this idea or even complete independence ever-more so Russians expressing outrage about either possibility. Ukrainian parliament) deputies formed a group calling for the return of the Kuban to Ukraine under the slogan “Kuban is Ukraine”...

[Tee tiong huat]

Maybe Ukraine should claim some of Russia’s land, instead. One hundred years ago, a Ukrainian flag flew over Vladivostok and other parts of the “Russian” Far East.
Careful how Putin wield sword, Mr. Putin has two edges turn large and surprisingly far-flung parts of Russia have a long and rich Ukrainian history. Wouldn’t it be a shame if someone started waving past, feeling aggrieved about current deficit of Ukraine-ness in those areas?

(Please note this is not a serious plea for Ukrainian irredentism. The world would benefit from less historic bitterness and fewer territorial claims – not more. Realizing that everyone has a supposedly more glorious past to look back upon might help rebalance one’s own sense of historical grievance, territorial and otherwise).

For centuries, Ukrainians has migrated into Russia, leaving their mark there individually — as high-ranking clergy, leading scientists artists, and successful traders — and collectively, as settlers of Russia’s most thinly-populated lands. Ukrainians were not the only settlers. Obviously Russians themselves moved into these areas, but the authorities also invited other ethnic religious minorities, including groups later known as the Volga Germans & the Hutterites — who, as a matter of fact, settled in Ukraine itself (see Strange Maps #1118).

Attracted by the promise of free land, Ukrainians first migrated to areas close to Ukraine proper, such as Kuban, an area bordering the Black Sea, between Crimea and the Caucasus. Gradually, Ukrainian settlers moved further east, eventually all the way to the Pacific, where the Russian Empire bordered China and Japan. Russia’s 1897 census counted 22.4 million Ukrainian speakers inside the Russian Empire, of 1.2 million lived outside what was considered Ukraine. Of these over a million lived in the European part of the Empire, with more than 200,000 in the Asian part.

Over time, many Ukrainians assimilated into the Russian majority. However, in many areas, especially where they had founded their own villages, Ukrainians formed majorities and managed to maintain their own language and traditions.

Four areas stand out, Raspberry Ukraine (a.k.a. Malinovy Klyn, or “Raspberry Wedge”) aforementioned zone in Kuban was settled from end 18th through to 19th centuries by Ukrainian cossacks and peasants. A short-lived Kuban People’s Republic (1918-20) sought to federate with Ukraine independent in the wake Russian Revolution of 1917. As late 1930 census, 62% local population identified as Ukrainian. The area has now largely been Russified.

Kuban Cossacks taking part in the Victory Parade at Moscow’s Red Square, June 24, 1945. Cossacks continue form a significant local community in Kuban. From 2nd half of 17th century onward, Ukrainians settlements named after yellow steppes reaches Volga river. Ukrainian settlement, especially pronounced around Astrakhan, Volgograd, Saratov, and Samara. some areas still have a marked Ukrainian character, settlement by Ukrainians as mostly is too dispersed intermingled with other settlers to form a significant independent political force after 1917, as they managed in other “wedges.”

Grey Ukraine or “Grey Wedge”) This is an area around western Siberian city of Omsk, currently divided between southern Siberia and northern Kazakhstan area settled by Ukrainians. By 1860s, 1 million arrived b4 1914. Right after October Revolution of 1917, attempts were made to establish a Ukrainian autonomous region is form.

Green Ukraine or “Green Wedge) most improbable, it certainly most distant of the “color Ukraines” — Green Ukraine, located in furthest southeast Russian Empire, jammed in between China & Pacific Ocean & centered part of Amur River, some estimates, region counted 70% Ukrainians start 20th century.

Large-scale map of Green Ukraine, in Far East of the former Russian Empire. (Credit: M. Andrusyak: “Ukrainian State competition in the Far East (1917-1920),” published in Lvov in 1931. Public domain.) In June 1917, First All-Ukrainian Congress of the Far East, held near Vladivostok, demanded Russia’s new interim govt education in Ukrainian and autonomy for Ukrainians. The meeting also established a Rada, Ukrainian for “council”.

A 2nd Congress in Khabarovsk Jan 1918, proclaimed Green Ukraine part of Ukrainian despite minor inconvenience motherland was a continent away, a 3rd Congress April same year, delegates approved creation of a Ukrainian state with access to Pacific.

Ukrainian Republic of Far East was officially proclaimed April 6, 1920. “Green Ukraine” did not survive long. Oct 1922, communist invaded territory. The last holdouts were defeated in June 1923.

Number of Ukrainians population regions of the Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic 1926 census. Darkest areas have at least 50% Ukrainians, circled regions are the approximate location of various “wedges,” west to east: Raspberry, Yellow, Grey, and Green. (Credit: Oleg Zima, CC BY-SA 3.0 / Ruland Kolen)

Almost a century on the demise of Ukraine-on-the-Pacific seems improbable that any of aforementioned color wedges comes back to create a tit-for-tat secessionist headache for Mr Putin. B'cos of cultural& linguistic proximity to Russians, Ukrainians tend to assimilate into Russian society after a generation or two at most.

Nevertheless, Ukrainians remain one of the largest ethnic groups inside Russia: 1.9 million, or 1.4% of the total population of Russia, according to the 2010 census. Due recent migration, caused by war in Ukraine, current number is likely much higher. A recent poll indicates half of all Ukrainians have relatives living in Russia.

Ghost nations of Russia’s civil war
You think collapse of Soviet Union was chaotic? You should have seen the start.

[Tee tiong huat]

The war🇺🇦Ukrainian military launched their and Russia attack continue 🇷🇺Russian.

If there is a will there is a way, will to stop been bully is very strong, is with the Ukrainian folks, is going stronger by day.

☆》 @Follow Will. Follow way the will can go. It will match Putin / Russian with halfway.

If it is a will....Ukraine will not give up halfway, to protect their folks, sovereignty against invaders and aggressors.

Russia promises ‘devastating revenge’ if Ukraine attacks Crimean. Russia warned on (Fri) would launch a “devastating revenge strike” if Ukraine, backed by West, strikes Crimea or the Crimean who links southern Russia to Black Sea peninsula. Hoot..Arhh.

Two Bro fighting.....Arhh.
Ukraine Vs Russian. After, maybe Ukraine should claim some of Russia’s land and the Russia should claim some land too.

[Tee tiong huat]

Russia promises ‘devastating revenge’ if Ukraine attacks Crimean. Russia warned on (Fri) would launch a “devastating revenge strike” if Ukraine, backed by West, strikes Crimea or the Crimean who links southern Russia to Black Sea peninsula. Hoot..Arhh.

Two Bro fighting.....Arhh.
Ukraine Vs Russian. After, maybe Ukraine should claim some of Russia’s land and the Russia should claim some land too.

These interceptions were made possible by the latest version of Russia's Buk air defense missile system, the Buk-M3. The Buk-M3, renowned for its capability to engage multiple aerial targets under severe electronic warfare conditions, proved its effectiveness against the ATACMS, a longer-range missile system recently supplied by the United States to Ukraine.


The ATACMS delivery to Ukraine was disclosed at the end of April 2024, with over 100 units reportedly provided to enhance Ukrainian strike capabilities. This disclosure came from The New York Times, which cited unidentified U.S. officials noting the secretive delivery of these advanced tactical missiles.

The ATACMS were reportedly first used by Ukraine on April 17, 2024, to target the Dzhankoi air base in northeastern Crimea. This strike resulted in substantial damage to Russian military assets, including helicopters, an S-400 strategic surface-to-air missile system, and an aerospace surveillance complex that serves as a command-and-control center.

The U.S. Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) is a key component of America's tactical missile arsenal, designed for precision strikes against high-value targets at long ranges. Developed in the early 1980s and first deployed during the Gulf War in 1991.

ATACMS is a surface-to-surface missile system that can be launched from multiple platforms, including the widely used M270 Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS) and the newer M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS). Capable of striking targets up to 300 kilometers away, depending on the variant.

ATACMS fills a critical role in ground-based tactical warfare, allowing for deep strikes behind enemy lines with a high degree of accuracy.

[Tee tiong huat]

Putin lost his mind!, Ukraine destroys Russian Missile Launchers from 550 K/m with "British Hammer" 
https://youtu.be/Evgm7dqXHl4?si=mSV8Y8Fn3vguiNPe