[Tangsen]

  … sanction …. what sanction …..   

https://x.com/FT/status/1752320508635341289?s=20

[Tee tiong huat]

Target by year 2025, to hit 500k Casualty. Soonest.  

Ukraine / EU agrees $54 billion aid package for Kyiv. 

Ukrainian President Zelensky wanted to sacked Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. CNBC's live blog developments on war in Ukraine. While EU leaders on Thursday agreed a 50 billion euro ($54 billion) aid package for Ukraine, European Council President Charles Michel said on social media, overcoming weeks of opposition from Hungary.

Ukraine's army chief Valeriy Zaluzhnyi is expected to be dismissed from his post "within days," CNN.
Zaluzhnyi, popular with the public but (in think] more problematic Ukrainian President (himself). 

(I THINK. He want to hang on to power). Amid a rift between the leaders, was widely reported to have been called to a meeting at president's office and wanted to suck him, (but was asked to step down. 

He reportedly refused, a source told CNN. A presidential decree could be issued by the end of the week to dismiss the military commander.
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/01/ukraine-...raine.html

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EU summit agrees 50 billion euro aid package for Ukraine

EU member states on Thursday agreed on an additional aid package totaling 50 billion euros ($54 billion) for Ukraine, European Council President Charles Michel said on social media.

"All 27 leaders agreed on an additional €50 billion support package for Ukraine within the EU budget," he said. "This locks in steadfast, long-term, predictable funding for #Ukraine. EU is taking leadership & responsibility in support for Ukraine; we know what is at stake."

EU leaders have been struggling to reach this consensus over support package, amid opposition from Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban who vetoed the aid deal in December. Hungary wants to have an annual review that would allow it a right to veto the disbursements each year, Reuters.

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Ukraine / EU agrees $54 billion aid package for Kyiv. 

Ukrainian President Zelensky wanted to sacked Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. CNBC's live blog developments on war in Ukraine. While EU leaders on Thursday agreed a 50 billion euro ($54 billion) aid package for Ukraine, European Council President Charles Michel said on social media, overcoming weeks of opposition from Hungary.

Ukraine's army chief Valeriy Zaluzhnyi is expected to be dismissed from his post "within days," CNN.
Zaluzhnyi, popular with the public but (in think] more problematic Ukrainian President (himself). 

(I THINK. He want to hang on to power). Amid a rift between the leaders, was widely reported to have been called to a meeting at president's office and wanted to suck him, (but was asked to step down. 

He reportedly refused, a source told CNN. A presidential decree could be issued by the end of the week to dismiss the military commander.
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/01/ukraine-...raine.html

Ukraine's Military Intelligence Chief Kyrylo Budanov (HUR) said on national television on Jan. 30 NEWS FEED, -- Saying Russia's ongoing offensive in Ukraine would run out of steam in early spring 2024. Budanov said that the current offensive has not made any significant advances since its start in November 2023. The Ukr
Russian troops are trying to advance near Kupiansk, Lyman, Bakhmut, and Avdiivka sectors in east of Ukraine. He acknowledged Russian troops have made “some advances” near Avdiivka, where Moscow soldiers is suffering heavy losses in an attempt to encircle front-line city just kilometers from occupied Donetsk.“But this is not what they expected, not even close,” Budanov said.

According to he, Russia set goal of reaching the administrative borders of Donetsk and Luhansk to quickly reaching Chornyi Zherebets River. Sometime in early spring, (Russia’s) offensive will completely exhausted. We In the past weeks, where Kyiv has been warn, Russia is intensifying attacks around Kupiansk aiming to encircle & capture this key town.

Ukrainian military confirmed on Jan. 21 a retreat from Krokhmalne, a village near the administrative borders of Kharkiv and Luhansk oblasts, saying its loss has no strategic impact. However, Ukraine’s Armed Forces denied Russia's to claims about the capture of Tabaivka, another village in Kharkiv Oblast not far from Kupiansk.
https://kyivindependent.com/budanov-says...ly-spring/

[Tee tiong huat]

  … sanction …. what sanction …..   

https://x.com/FT/status/1752320508635341289?s=20

Russian economy overheated becomes increasingly reliant on continuing war, study proves. Russia's economy has been noticeably overheating and is increasingly dependent on continuing the war, the expenses of which act like a narcotic on it.

"Operating at the limits of its capacity, the economy is now showing increasing signs of overheating," the forecast indicated.


According to WIIW, Russian economy grew by 3.5% last year. However, high inflation & key bank rates raised to 16%, analysts estimate this year's growth will reach only 1.5%. "Russia is increasingly dependent on the war continuing enormous spending on it is like a drug for the economy," Vasily Astrov, Russia country expert at WIIW, pointed out.

Astrov indicated about 29% of the country's federal budget will be allocated for armaments in 2024. Generally, spending on Russian military industry has increased to 6% on country's GDP,  the highest level since collapse of the Soviet Union.

In addition, the Austrian Institute has lowered its economic growth forecast for Ukraine. This year, the figure may reach 3%, which is 1.2% points lower than WIIW experts had previously expected.

This pointed to a possible victory of Donald Trump in US presidential election, makes future of Western financial assistance to Ukraine, which is defending itself from Russian invasion, even less certain.

Background: In 2023, the European Union, affected by war, inflation and weakening export markets, managed to avoid recession despite the weakness of its two largest economies, Germany and France, and given that the EU had not experienced any significant growth since mid-2022.

[Tangsen]

Russian economy overheated becomes increasingly reliant on continuing war, study proves. Russia's economy has been noticeably overheating and is increasingly dependent on continuing the war, the expenses of which act like a narcotic on it.

"Operating at the limits of its capacity, the economy is now showing increasing signs of overheating," the forecast indicated.


According to WIIW, Russian economy grew by 3.5% last year. However, high inflation & key bank rates raised to 16%, analysts estimate this year's growth will reach only 1.5%. "Russia is increasingly dependent on the war continuing enormous spending on it is like a drug for the economy," Vasily Astrov, Russia country expert at WIIW, pointed out.

Astrov indicated about 29% of the country's federal budget will be allocated for armaments in 2024. Generally, spending on Russian military industry has increased to 6% on country's GDP,  the highest level since collapse of the Soviet Union.

In addition, the Austrian Institute has lowered its economic growth forecast for Ukraine. This year, the figure may reach 3%, which is 1.2% points lower than WIIW experts had previously expected.

This pointed to a possible victory of Donald Trump in US presidential election, makes future of Western financial assistance to Ukraine, which is defending itself from Russian invasion, even less certain.

Background: In 2023, the European Union, affected by war, inflation and weakening export markets, managed to avoid recession despite the weakness of its two largest economies, Germany and France, and given that the EU had not experienced any significant growth since mid-2022.

This conflict the biggest dumb ass are

U-krane 
E-rot 

[Tee tiong huat]

Russia’s frozen assets are generating billions. EU is getting ready to send them to Ukraine. Russian assets frozen in European accounts are generating billions of dollars in interest payments could be diverted to help repair Ukraine’s war-torn economy & European Union just took a step closer to doing that with Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, they froze nearly half of Moscow’s foreign reserves — some €300 billion ($327 billion). Around €200 billion ($218 billion) sits in European Union — mostly at Euroclear, a financial institution keeps assets safe for banks, exchanges and investors...

[Tee tiong huat]

Russia’s frozen assets are generating billions. EU is getting ready to send them to Ukraine. Russian assets frozen in European accounts are generating billions of dollars in interest payments could be diverted to help repair Ukraine’s war-torn economy & European Union just took a step closer to doing that with Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, they froze nearly half of Moscow’s foreign reserves — some €300 billion ($327 billion). Around €200 billion ($218 billion) sits in European Union — mostly at Euroclear, a financial institution keeps assets safe for banks, exchanges and investors...

[Tee tiong huat]

Russia’s frozen assets are generating billions. EU is getting ready to send them to Ukraine. Russian assets frozen in European accounts are generating billions of dollars in interest payments could be diverted to help repair Ukraine’s war-torn economy & European Union just took a step closer to doing that with Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, they froze nearly half of Moscow’s foreign reserves — some €300 billion ($327 billion). Around €200 billion ($218 billion) sits in European Union — mostly at Euroclear, a financial institution keeps assets safe for banks, exchanges and investors...

[Tee tiong huat]

Year by year, they wish their children will live a better life than them, this deal has been broken, there is more a sense of long-term pessimism. 

Russia enlists 30,000 Soldiers for Ukraine Conflict to replace those missing, kill & those missing) is now turn to 100,000. Ukraine's main military intelligence arm, has recently reported Russia / Putin's is enlisting 100,000 soldiers Although this recruitment of soldiers suffices to compensate for frontline losses. Russia have initiate larger-scale mobilization to build reserve. This recruitment is in response to significant casualties Russia has sustained in Ukraine conflict. Info observations made by Institute study of war(ISW), corroborates Russia's efforts to maintain operational rotations in Ukraine. Targeting by year 2025, to hitt 500k Casualty.

Russia deploys 100,000 citizens in occupied Melitopol, aiming to ‘extinguish Ukrainian resistance
https://english.nv.ua/nation/moscow-atte...ens-50388516.html

One of largest Russian oil refineries on fire

A big fire broke out in the Russian city of Volgograd on the night of 2-3 February, with petroleum burning 2-day/2-night, burning over an area of 300 square metres.

Source: Kremlin-aligned Russian news agency RIA Novosti with reference to the Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations. Updated at 06:30: Local media reported that a fire had broken out at the LUKOIL-Volgogradneftepererabotka oil refinery in Volgograd.
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/02/3/7440209/

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Danish newspaper, citing Ministry of Defence of the country, reports the delivery of F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine by Denmark has been delayed for six months. Source: European Pravda, citing Bloomberg. The Details: Copenhagen was supposed to deliver the first six aircraft by the new year of 2024, but instead, their delivery is expected in the second quarter, the ministry informed the newspaper.. 

The article states that the delivery schedule has always depended on the fulfilment of several conditions, including the successful training of Ukrainian pilots and the availability of sufficient logistics and infrastructure for servicing the F-16s in Ukraine, as stated by the ministry without providing more detailed information.

Berlingske reported that, currently, six Ukrainian pilots are undergoing training on these fighters in Denmark. In August, Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen promised to send 19 F-16 aircraft to Kyiv.

Background:
On 5 January, it was reported that Norway had completed the delivery to Denmark of two F-16 fighter jets intended for training Ukrainian pilots.

Norway announced this week that it would send two F-16 fighter jets to Denmark to train Ukrainian pilots in their use and confirmed that it would send 10 instructors to Denmark to help with the training.
Belgium will also send two two-seat F-16 fighter jets and about fifty personnel to Denmark between March and September to train Ukrainian pilots.

Ukrainian pilots are or will be trained in the USA, Romania, Denmark, France and the UK. Last year, six Ukrainians completed basic training, including learning English, before Christmas.
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/01/6/7436123/

Russian dissident revealed on interview with French business magazine Challenges..Published on Jan. 30, a Swiss-based company Destinus had been working on military drones in parallel with its commercial work and providing drones to the Ukrainian armed forces for almost a year....

47-year-old Kokorich said Destinus is “already among the main drone producers in Europe” and “Ukraine is one of our main customers.” Kokorich, a former head of Russia’s space startup Dauria Aerospace, founded Destinus in 2021.  
He left native Russia & moved to US after Putin came to power. Not withstanding his technology background, increasingly found that his nationality worked against him, so he moved to Switzerland where it was less of a problem. 

Destinus was set up ostensibly to design and develop commercial hypersonic cargo and passenger aircraft, demonstrating its first prototype hydrogen-powered hypersonic plane at the Paris airshow last year.

Drones for Ukraine
Kokorich said his company had supplied hundreds of low-cost drones to Ukraine. His factories currently produce three drone models. UAVs are delivered to Ukraine as separate components for assembly at undisclosed military locations.

The Destinus founder was at pains to point out that these drones were not originally designed as weapons: “All our commercial drone projects are dual-use and not purely military.”

The first model produced was Lord UAV, a propeller-driven intelligence, jamming and electromagnetic interception model also capable of striking ground targets. The Lord has a range of 750 to more than 2,000 kilometers, depending on the version used, which is greater than many of UAVs available to Ukrainian forces, such as Ukrjet UJ-22, UJ-25 Skyline and UJ-26 Beaver, whose maximum ranges are 1,000 kilometers or less.

Two other models are also at various stages of development and will soon go into full production and be provided to Kyiv....


https://www.kyivpost.com/post/27513

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A Swiss-based company Destinus, best known for designing hypersonic rocket-propelled aircraft, has opened up to the French business magazine Challenges about its support to Ukraine’s military.
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/27513

[Tee tiong huat]

Zelensky appointed Ivan Fedorov as new governor of Zaporizhzhia. President's Office announced on Feb. 4. Fedorov, a former mayor of now-occupied city of Melitopol in Zaporizhzhia replace Yurii Malashko. A separate decree issued by President's Office notified of his dismissal held since Feb 2023. After Russia occupied Melitopol in March 2022, Fedorov refused to collaborate with Russian forces & continued to be the city's mayor in exile, he as governor, he would focus on strengthening defense capabilities & support the military, & helping residents internally displaced peole, advocating for those remain in Russian occupation.

“Now, I take responsibility for consolidating joint actions of the communities of Zaporizhzhia@regional level,” he pledged to rebuild the region under Russian occupation after liberation & announcement comes a month after Zelensky appointed new governors for Donetsk and Rivne oblasts.

[Tee tiong huat]

Ukraine's SBU behind drone strike on key Russian oil refinery supplying army, by attack on one of Russia's largest oil refineries, Lukoil, in Volgograd overnight on Feb. 3,  SBU struck with two drones, hitting primary oil refining unit, "without which the plant will lose a significant part of its production capacity."

"The SBU continues to systematically destroy the infrastructure used by Russia to wage war in Ukraine," the NV source said. "By attacking oil refineries that support Russia's military-industrial complex, we not only disrupt fuel logistics for enemy vehicles but also reduce funds flowing into the Russian budget."
https://english.nv.ua/nation/ukraine-sbu...89674.html

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The Air Forces told about women among Ukrainian pilots training to fly F-16s 05.02.2024 

There are currently no women among the Ukrainian pilots training to fly the F-16.. Yurii Ihnat, a spokesman for the Ukrainian Air Forces, "It's only on TikTok where there are such fake videos. There are no women among the trainees. But we are not giving up on this. We have Kharkiv Air Forces University where women study. Everyone can become a defender of our sky," Ihnat emphasized. said this on air of the nationwide telethon 'United News', Ukrinform reported.  

[Tee tiong huat]

The Air Forces told about women among Ukrainian pilots training to fly F-16s 05.02.2024 

There are currently no women among the Ukrainian pilots training to fly the F-16.. Yurii Ihnat, a spokesman for the Ukrainian Air Forces, "It's only on TikTok where there are such fake videos. There are no women among the trainees. But we are not giving up on this. We have Kharkiv Air Forces University where women study. Everyone can become a defender of our sky," Ihnat emphasized. said this on air of the nationwide telethon 'United News', Ukrinform reported.  

https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/382...-f16s.html

☆》When there is a will there is a way. The will to stop been bully is very strong, is with the innocent Ukrainian folks. ☆》 @Follow the Will. Follow the way the will go. It will match the Russian halfway ....Ukraine will not give up halfway, to protect their sovereignty against invaders and aggressors.

Putin is though, must ask Ukraine folks for their permission (no), this other this way.  It's God to guard him N guide him. OMG.

This is solid real f-16s flying be a pilot gal.
https://youtu.be/qlPU-YfCXO4?si=NmCEvPEYX1l-XtWg

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A biggest drop occurred at Rosneft, a Russian state-owned oil & gas company, whose refinery suffered a Ukrainian drone attack on the night of 24-25 January.
Source: Kremlin-Russian newspaper Kommersant,
reducing refining rate yr-on-yr to 170,000 tonnes of oil per day. Main reason for the drop in production was shutdown of the Tuapse refinery after it was attacked by Ukrainian UAVs. Drone strike on Tuapse refinery cuts Rosneft's refining capacity by 10%. 
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/27513

[Tee tiong huat]

A biggest drop occurred at Rosneft, a Russian state-owned oil & gas company, whose refinery suffered a Ukrainian drone attack on the night of 24-25 January.
Source: Kremlin-Russian newspaper Kommersant,
reducing refining rate yr-on-yr to 170,000 tonnes of oil per day. Main reason for the drop in production was shutdown of the Tuapse refinery after it was attacked by Ukrainian UAVs. Drone strike on Tuapse refinery cuts Rosneft's refining capacity by 10%. 
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/27513

U.S. production of 155mm artillery shells is slated to rise from 28,000 last October—the most recent month for which hard numbers have been released—to roughly 37,000 in April and about 60,000 in October 2024, according to a slide shared at a CSIS think tank event. Ammo shortage forces Ukraine to prioritize front line sectors - ISW

The Army hopes to rapidly increase production in 2025, from just under 75,000 shells that April to 100,000 in October,  planned increase is due in part to a new factory the Army is building in Texas, which will “have an entirely new way of making the shell, using entirely new tech we've never used before,” Bush said.

The availability of ammunition, especially large artillery shells like 155mm, has kept Ukraine from matching Russia’s volume of fire. Currently, Ukrainian forces fire around 2,000 shells per day, about one-fifth the Russian output.

Read also: U.S. Senate may vote on Ukraine aid package Feb 7 - Ambassador Markarova
The massive use of the munitions like 155mm shells may trigger a rethinking of how much the U.S. needs in its own stockpiles, Bush said.

“If larger stockpiles are a way to mitigate risk for an extended conventional conflict, then that needs to be looked at,” he said. U.S. has not needed to increase production of smaller artillery shells, tank shells, or mortar rounds for Ukraine, as the U.S. has been able to meet Ukraine’s needs without significantly running down its own stockpiles, Bush said.

As reported, Estonia's Permanent Representative to NATO, Juri Luik, believes the European Union will not be able to provide Ukraine with a million rounds of ammunition by March, but will be able to complete these deliveries by the end of the year

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INSIGHTS & ANALYSIS. -- Black Sea Successes and Ukraine’s Path to Victory. February 5, 2024. Ukraine’s operational success in the Northwestern Black Sea offers a beacon of light which, with Western support, could chart the way to eventual victory over Russia. UN and Turkey, collapsed after Russian obstruction,  ultimate destruction by Kremlin in July, followed by a renewed drone and missile campaign on Ukrainian port infrastructure. Russia struck historic heart of Odesa too. Yet Ukraine pushed back forcefully at Russia’s attempt to resume its blockade and opened a unilateral maritime corridor hugged the shore all the way to NATO territory, this corridor started with some traffic, substantially increased shipment in volumes, reaching 20 mill tons of agricultural & non-agricultural cargoes in first 6-months, thus nearing pre-war levels.
It's on course to surpass numbers achieved under the grain deal, which saw some 30 mil tons annually,

How did this happen?
Ukraine organized a highly effective campaign against Russian in Crimea Black Sea Fleet, combined with Ukrainian audacity mix of domestic and Western capabilities, including drones and long-range Anglo-French cruise missiles. This sustained campaign, a continuation of Ukraine’s 2022 operations saw the sinking of flagship Moskva & recovery Snake Island in 2022, after led to destruction of Black Sea Fleet HQ in Sevastopol with senior commanders planning meeting and some 20% of the fleet distroy. August, then drones traveled 800km (500 miles) to hit a Russian ship near Novorossiysk, in the Northeast where a growing number of Russian vessels were seeking safety. Kyiv said Russian ports potentilally is considered a military threat. The result now Russian naval vessels are no longer safe, as the sinking of the missile corvette Ivanovets on January 31 underlined. Thus Kremlin’s grip on Ukraine and the Black Sea’s international waters has loosened.

As nternational community stood in the face of Russian threats on navigation and food security, Kyiv called Kremlin’s bluff & restored order, improvement of air defense in the region has front with Ukraine bringing down Russian aircraft in the South — including three Su-34 bombers in a missile ambush — a deterrent to Moscow’s aerial campaigns. As a result, while Ukraine’s land counteroffensive faltered and in the fall, it now holds the initiative in Northern Black Sea and can claim operational success in sea warfare. There r key lessons to be drawn from...

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https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/f...kraine-war

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Republicans in US Senate defeated a bipartisan bill to bolster US-Mexico border security & to fund Ukraine’s defence, but senators said might still separately approve aid for Ukraine and Israel, without tying it to the border crisis. 

while German govt is examining the possibility of nationalising Russian oil company Rosneft’s ops in Germany. Berlin took control of them following Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine. Germany is not big enough to make up the difference should US fail to deliver weapons to Ukraine, the German chancellor, Olaf Scholz, has said ahead of a trip to Washington. “That is, I believe, the real danger we currently face.”

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US Senate to vote on standalone foreign aid package including Ukraine After failure of previous bill included border security measures, new bill military assistance for Ukraine and Israel and humanitarian funds for Gaza and West Bank. 

Senate will reconvene Thursday to vote on a supplemental funding bill that would send billions of dollars to Ukraine and Israel, after a bipartisan border and national security package failed to advance on Wednesday.

Like the bipartisan bill, the foreign aid package would include military assistance for Ukraine, security assistance for Israel and humanitarian assistance for civilians in Ukraine, Gaza and the West Bank. The bill would not include the US border security measures outlined in the bipartisan bill, although some Republican senators expressed interest in adding border provisions through an amendment process.
Senate held an initial vote on foreign aid package on Wednesday, in which 58 members supported advancing it. But 60 votes will ultimately be required to approve the bill, so there is currently not enough support to get the legislation passed in the Senate.

Republicans’ standalone Israel aid bill fails in House vote.

[Tee tiong huat]

Ukraine's army chief Valeriy Zaluzhnyi is dismissed from his post "within days," Zaluzhnyi, popular with public (thinking is more problematic for Ukrainian President himself) (I Think. He want to hang on to power). Amid a rift between leaders, was widely reported to have been called to a meet at president's office and wanted to suck him, (but was asked to step down.) He reportedly refused, he told CNN. A presidential decree is issued to dismiss the military commander.
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/01/ukraine-...raine.html

[Tee tiong huat]

Ukraine's army chief Valeriy Zaluzhnyi is dismissed from his post "within days," Zaluzhnyi, popular with public (thinking is more problematic for Ukrainian President himself) (I Think. He want to hang on to power). Amid a rift between leaders, was widely reported to have been called to a meet at president's office and wanted to suck him, (but was asked to step down.) He reportedly refused, he told CNN. A presidential decree is issued to dismiss the military commander.

Ukraine's army chief Valeriy Zaluzhnyi is dismissed from his post "within 1-day," Zaluzhnyi, popular is with Ukraine public since Feb 2022 till this week. Feb-2024
https://youtu.be/DoK8w4AyA8o?si=Nig8iEBl9BKVdni3

[Tee tiong huat]

Ukraine / EU agrees $54 billion aid package for Kyiv. 

Ukrainian President Zelensky wanted to sacked Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. CNBC's live blog developments on war in Ukraine. While EU leaders on Thursday agreed a 50 billion euro ($54 billion) aid package for Ukraine, European Council President Charles Michel said on social media, overcoming weeks of opposition from Hungary.

Ukraine's army chief Valeriy Zaluzhnyi is expected to be dismissed from his post "within days," CNN.
Zaluzhnyi, popular with the public but (in think] more problematic Ukrainian President (himself). 

(I THINK. He want to hang on to power). Amid a rift between the leaders, was widely reported to have been called to a meeting at president's office and wanted to suck him, (but was asked to step down. 

He reportedly refused, a source told CNN. A presidential decree could be issued by the end of the week to dismiss the military commander.
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/01/ukraine-...raine.html

Kana sacks. Said move was "a huge mistake" by president. He, it will carry risks for country."We will have to pay for mistake." As opposition MP, Valentyn Nalyvaichenko from Batkivschina party, said military leadership during war "is something that we must preserve, support, not criticise, but help in every possible way". Ukraine's defence minister, Rustem Umerov, thanked Gen Zaluzhnyi in statement, saying" General Valerii Zaluzhnyi had one of most difficult tasks - to lead Armed Forces of Ukraine during the Great War with Russia. war does not remain same. War changes and demands change. Battles 2022, 2023 and 2024 are three different realities. 2024 will bring new changes, for which we must be ready. New approaches, new strategies are needed.


"Today, a decision was made on the need to change the leadership of the Armed Forces of Ukraine."I am sincerely grateful to Valerii Fedorovych for all his achievements and victories."

Will the First to criticise the shake-up. Kyiv's mayor Vitali Klitschko thanked Gen Zaluzhnyi for his service to Ukraine, hoped authorities would justify changes. Oleksii Honcharenko, an MP from opposition party led by former President Petro Poroshenko said.

(Will Ukraine armed forces, General Valerii Zaluzhnyi be the best to come, be coming the next president.)
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-68244813

She (Baba Vanga) said to have predicted peace would not be reached till 2027. Only the 8th Ukrainian president will able to save his country from disaster.

[Tee tiong huat]

Russia army is using U.S. Starlink / Shipment comfirmed / Situation in Avdiivka.
https://youtu.be/4QXbRwSBzx4?si=sGGpibyp_eFsmhGR

[Tee tiong huat]

Bit by bit, year by year, and your ot their children will live a better life than you.’ Now deal has been broken, there is more a sense of long-term pessimism....

Russia Enlists 30,000 Soldiers Monthly for Ukraine Conflict....(to replace those missing, kill and those) 

Vadym Skibitskyi, deputy chief major general of Ukraine's main military intelligence arm, has recently reported that Russia is enlisting approximately 30,000 soldiers monthly. Although this recruitment of soldiers each month suffices to compensate for frontline losses, Russia would have to initiate a larger-scale mobilization to build a more substantial strategic reserve.

This rate of recruitment, which averages 1,000 to 1,100 people per day, is in response to the significant casualties Russia has sustained in ongoing Ukraine conflict. This info is in line with the observations made by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), which corroborates the scale of Russia's efforts to maintain operational rotations in Ukraine. Targeting by year 2025, to hitt 500k Casualty.

Skibitskyi's statements shed light on the high-casualty approach of the Russian military, particularly in strategic urban battles such as those in Bakhmut and Avdiivka. Analysts have observed the continuation of these tactics across various fronts, notably the United States' report in October about Russia employing "human wave" tactics. These involve deploying underprepared and poorly equipped troops into high-intensity combat scenarios, often resulting in significant losses.
https://armyrecognition.com/ukraine_-_ru...raine.html

Ukraine latest news: In reinforcing Avdiivka. And there are good reasons to believe it’s bolstering the eastern city—current the locus of Russia’s winter offensive—with one if many of the best brigades in the Ukrainian army.

Starting with 3rd Assault Brigade, Ukrainian ground-combat brigade that know for sure was in reserve in eastern Ukraine as of last week. Brig. Gen. Oleksandr Tarnavskyi, commander of Tavriya group of forces in Avdiivka, announced the reinforcement on Saturday. 

“We'r strengthen & blocking line, set up additional firing positions and use fresh effective forces,” Tarnavskyi wrote. “Logistical delivery continues.”
Ukrainian forces are accepting enormous risk. After 4-months of hard fighting, Russian troops from 2nd and 41st Combined Arms Armies finally breached Avdiivka—a key Ukrainian stronghold just five miles northwest of Russian-occupied Donetsk, earlier  mth as approached within a few hundred yards of main road by which Ukrainian garrison, centered on the 110th Mechanized Brigade, gets supplies into the city.

Tarnavskyi had two options. Pull back 110th Brigade’s survivors from exposed eastern part of city or consolidate Ukrainian line in central Avdiivka or just outside city and or: reinforce 110th Brigade and try to push much Russian force away fron the rail and away from garrison’s supply lines.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/20...-avdiivka/

[Tee tiong huat]

US Senate to vote on standalone foreign aid package including Ukraine After failure of previous bill included border security measures, new bill military assistance for Ukraine and Israel and humanitarian funds for Gaza and West Bank. 

Senate will reconvene Thursday to vote on a supplemental funding bill that would send billions of dollars to Ukraine and Israel, like the bipartisan bill, the foreign aid package would include military assistance for Ukraine, security assistance for Israel and humanitarian assistance for civilians in Ukraine, Gaza & West Bank. Bill would not include US border security measures outlined in bipartisan bill, although some Republican senators expressed interest in adding border provisions through an amendment process. Senate held an initial vote on foreign aid package on Wednesday, in which 58 members supported advancing it. But 60 votes will ultimately be required to approve the bill, so there is currently not enough support to get the legislation passed in the Senate.

Republicans’ standalone Israel aid bill fails in House vote.

Breaking down the House endgames for the Senate's foreign aid plan

Bill assisting Ukraine, Israel & Taiwan is set to pass as soon as Tuesday. Then comes a multi-front battle across Capitol to determine its fate. Senate is set to approve $95B national security funding package as soon as Tuesday, delivering long-stalled aid to Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan. Then House will take its turn — and there will be a multi-directional battle to decide the fate of the bill.

That’s b'cos GOP’s thin margin of control leaves Speaker Mike Johnson with few politically palatable choices as he considers Senate aid bill that many in his party want to scrap. But if Johnson tries to ignore the bill, a potential rebellion could begin to brew among rank-and-file members in the ideological middle who still want to see Ukraine aid pass.

Several players or blocs are positioned to grab power over the aid measure once it reaches the House — starting with Johnson himself. it’s hard to see that type of response quieting the eagerness among establishment and centrist Republicans to vote on the legislation anyway.

“There's a general belief we need to get it done” shared by House Republicans."
https://www.politico.com/live-updates/20...s-00141063

[Tee tiong huat]

Breaking down the House endgames for the Senate's foreign aid plan

Bill assisting Ukraine, Israel & Taiwan is set to pass as soon as Tuesday. Then comes a multi-front battle across Capitol to determine its fate. Senate is set to approve $95B national security funding package as soon as Tuesday, delivering long-stalled aid to Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan. Then House will take its turn — and there will be a multi-directional battle to decide the fate of the bill.

That’s b'cos GOP’s thin margin of control leaves Speaker Mike Johnson with few politically palatable choices as he considers Senate aid bill that many in his party want to scrap. But if Johnson tries to ignore the bill, a potential rebellion could begin to brew among rank-and-file members in the ideological middle who still want to see Ukraine aid pass.

Several players or blocs are positioned to grab power over the aid measure once it reaches the House — starting with Johnson himself. it’s hard to see that type of response quieting the eagerness among establishment and centrist Republicans to vote on the legislation anyway.

“There's a general belief we need to get it done” shared by House Republicans."
https://www.politico.com/live-updates/20...s-00141063

The Bill, which could see a final Senate vote in the early hours Tuesday morning, does not include changes to US immigration policy.

Johnson had previously stated that Senate's first Bill - which included some of the harshest immigration curbs in decades but which he said still did not go far enough - would be "dead on arrival" in his chamber.

His rhetoric matched that of former president Donald Trump, who forcefully called for Bill to be rejected as he runs for office again and seeks to exploit Joe Biden's perceived weakness on immigration

Despite months of bipartisan negotiations over the Bill, Senate Republicans ultimately voted to block it from proceeding. Another Bill excluding immigration provisions however gained enough support from Republicans to move forward in the Democratic-controlled Senate, making it almost certain it will pass a final simple-majority vote around midweek.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/world/us...en-4119496

[Tee tiong huat]

Russian occupation authorities brought about 100,000 Russian citizens to the temporarily occupied Melitopol to suppress Ukrainian resistance, Mayor Ivan Fedorov reported on Telegram on Jan. 30.
150,000 people lived in Melitopol before the full-scale Russian invasion. Within six months after the occupation, more than half of Melitopol’s residents left the city for the government-controlled territory and abroad, leaving 60,000-70,000 people in the city, said the official.. Since then, the city has been flooded with freeloaders and migrant workers from Russia.” 

According to many local resident, population has become larger than it was before the occupation, exceeding 150,000. Mostly, these are the people who arrived.” Fedorov believes Russian administration is trying to “extinguish Ukrainian resistance, which continues in the temporarily occupied territories” & to they Russia want to change the gene pool to make life more difficult for locals.
https://english.nv.ua/nation/moscow-atte...88516.html

Russian troops want to achieve an operational encirclement of Avdiivka, with the front line near the city moving in both directions. Spokesperson for the defense forces of the Tavria sector, said this on Ukrainian television, Ukrinform reports.

"Situation is dynamic. We see enemy's intentions. We see where he wants to advance to cut the logistical artery of supply in Avdiivka and achieve some kind of operational encirclement. But there countermeasures, combat engagements & the combat engagement line is moving not only in one direction, as someone may think so," Lykhovii said.

According to him, invaders earlier used tactics small infantry groups, whereas in recent days enemy has been increasingly using armored vehicles, tanks and infantry fighting vehicles.