[Tee tiong huat]

Trump and Harris campaign in key states

On the campaign trail: Vice President Kamala Harris will be joined by Republican former Rep. Liz Cheney in Ripon, Wisconsin — the birthplace of the GOP, while former President Donald Trump holds a rally in Michigan. Both candidates are continuing to make their pitches to voters in key battleground states with less than five weeks until Election Day.

• Trump’s legal woes: A new filing released Wed provides fullest picture yet of 2020 election case against Trump, outlining a special counsel Jack Smith describes as former president’s “private criminal conduct.” Track four criminal cases Trump faces while running for president here.

• Election resources: With voting already underway in several states, visit CNN’s voter handbook and read up on the 2024 candidates and their proposals on key issues.
https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/t...index.html

[Tee tiong huat]

Vice President Harris edged out her rival, former President Trump, by 2 points in a national...
Poll released Thursday. Latest news from The new NPR/PBS News/Marist survey found Harris outpacing the former president 50 percent to 48 percent among likely voters nationally, a lead within the poll’s margin of error. The Democratic nominee had a 3-point lead, 50 percent to 47 percent, among registered voters.

[Tee tiong huat]

U.S.A. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS 2024

Allan Lichtman, the historian renowned for accurately predicting 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, has shared his prediction for this year's White House race. He forecasts that Vice President Kamala Harris will win. In a video first reported by The New York Times, Lichtman explained that his prediction is based on a set of thirteen "keys" or true-false questions assessing the strength and performance of the incumbent party in the White House.

[Tee tiong huat]

White House race. He forecasts that Vice President Kamala Harris will win. In a video first reported by The New York Times, Lichtman explained that his prediction is based on a set of thirteen "keys" or true-false questions assessing the strength and performance of the incumbent party in the White House.

Allan Lichtman, the historian renowned for accurately predicting 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, has shared his prediction for this year's.
https://youtu.be/GL9NxstV9JE?si=78qyHca7Ngd41mTf

[Tee tiong huat]

Allan Lichtman, the historian renowned for accurately predicting 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, has shared his prediction for this year's.
https://youtu.be/Bl9JsiPBNh8?si=Nkmgdyp2h05la3Yb

[Tee tiong huat]

Synopsis: -- On November 5, voters in the US will choose their next president in an election mkt by significant changes. After President Joe Biden's exit from race, Vice-President Kamala Harris has emerged as Democratic nominee. Polling data indicates a close contest, especially in battleground states critical for securing electoral votes. Election day counting day is nearer, nation anticipates whether it will see its first woman president or a second term for Donald Trump.

Voters in the United States will go to the polls on November 5 to elect their next president. This election has taken an unexpected turn as President Joe Biden ended his campaign in July and endorsed Vice-President Kamala Harris. The pivotal question now is whether America will elect its first woman president or grant Donald Trump a second term.

Harris Leads in National Polls since Harris entered race at the end of July, she has been ahead of Trump in the national polling averages. Following a televised debate in Pennsylvania on September 10, which drew over 67 million viewers, Harris experienced a slight increase in her lead. Her advantage grew from 2.5 percentage points on debate day to 3.3 points just over a week later. However, this boost was influenced by Trump's performance, as his average fell by half a percentage point during the same period.

Tight race ahead of US Presidential Election 2024: Current polls show who's ahead—Harris or Trump?

US Presidential Election 2024: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump are competing to be in White House for next 4-years. But who gets seal their fate in America?.

Oct 04, 2024. While these national polls are useful for gauging overall candidate popularity, they may not accurately predict election outcomes due to U.S. electoral college system. This system allocates a total of 538 electoral college votes, with candidates needing 270 to win. Each state has a number of votes based on its population, but most states typically vote for the same party, meaning that only a few battleground states ultimately determine the election.

[Tee tiong huat]

[Tee tiong huat]

It a close races, one battle-tested by campaigns big and small every election. And it’s a playbook that former President Donald Trump’s campaign has tossed aside. Targeting irregular voters, teaching supporters to surveil polling places and bombarding states with voting-related lawsuits – this is machine Trump campaign has built for an election, many expect to hinge on just tens of thousands of ballots cast across 7 battleground states. It’s a gamble, Trump’s campaign internally acknowledges, one they insist is built on data they have collected over nearly a decade & tested for the past 6-months.

That & tens of mil of dollars injected lately by a super PAC aligned with tech billionaire Elon Musk, Trump’s most vocal influential supporters.
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/04/polit...index.html

[Tee tiong huat]

US election polls: Who's ahead - Harris or Trump?
Voters in the US go to the polls on 5 November to elect their next president.

The election was initially a rematch of 2020 but it was upended in July when President Joe Biden ended his campaign and endorsed Vice-President Kamala Harris. The big question now is - will America get its first woman president or a second Donald Trump term?. As election day approaches, we'll be keeping track of the polls and seeing what effect the campaign has on the race for the White House.

Who is winning in swing state polls?
Right now, the polls are very tight in the seven states considered battlegrounds in this election with just one or two percentage points separating the candidates. That includes Pennsylvania, which is key as it has the highest number of electoral votes of the seven states and therefore winning it makes it easier to reach the 270 votes needed. In a sign of how the race has changed since Harris became the Democratic nominee, on the day Biden quit the race he was trailing Trump by nearly five percentage points on average in these seven states.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj4x71znwxdo

[Tee tiong huat]

Polls: Who's ahead: Harris or Trump?
Voters in US go to the polls on 5 November to elect their next president.

Election was initially a rematch of 2020 but it upended in July when President Joe Biden ended campaign & endorsed Vice-President Kamala Harris. The big question now is - will America get its first woman president or a 2nd Donald Trump term?

As election day approaches, we'll be keeping track of the polls and seeing what effect the campaign has on the race for the White House.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj4x71znwxdo

[Tee tiong huat]

U.S.A. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS 2024

Harris and Trump neck-and-neck in polls with  early voting under way now...

[Tee tiong huat]

Harris and Trump neck-and-neck in polls with  early voting under way now...

Early Voting Has Started. Here’s What to Watch.

By mail & in person, surged in 2020 presidential election — driving a massive increase in overall turnout, helping Joseph R. Biden Jr. secure his victory. This year, tracking how early vote will unfold without pandemic-era restrictions, & what it can tell us about effects of new laws in some competitive states.
[size=11]Absentee ballots requested so far
Ballots requests as a percentage of voters, compared with total requests in 2020.

[size=11]Total
requests
Percentage
of voters
[size=11]2020[/size]U.S.48,162,63424
Mont.
460,639
72
Mich.
1,987,357
26
Fla.
3,035,899
23
Pa.
1,504,576
19
Md.
725,084
18
Neb.
194,752
17
N.J.
991,789
17
S.D.
88,702
16
Minn.
522,784
15
Idaho
135,448
15
Wis.
483,038
14
Ill.
1,039,631
13
Maine
106,757
12
Ohio
767,830
11
N.D.
59,395
10
Va.
456,728
8
Alaska
40,503
7
Iowa
117,058
7
R.I.
41,566
6
Del.
35,624
5
N.C.
280,436
4
Okla.
84,225
4
Ga.
215,638
3
Conn.
59,588
3
Ind.
96,414
2
S.C.
73,281
2
Ky.
48,622
2
Wyo.
1,334
<1
Texas
14,035
<1
[/size]
Notes: Data is for ballots requested or sent, depending on the available data in each state.[/size]
The strength of early voting in this election will be important for the campaigns of both former President Donald J. Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. In 2020, about 60 percent of Democrats and 32 percent of Republicans voted by mail, according to a study by the M.I.T. Election Data and Science Lab.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024...-2024.html

[Tee tiong huat]

Absentee ballots requested so farB allots requests as a percentage of voters, compared with total requests in 2020. Total requests Percentage of voters 2020 U.S.48,162,63424
Mont -.460,639 (72) 
Mich - 1,987,357 (26)
Fla.- 3,035,899 (23)
Pa.- 1,504,576 (19)
Md.- 725,084 (18)
Neb.- 194,752 (17)
N.J. - 991,789 (17)
S.D. - 88,702 (16)
Minn.- 522,784 (15)
Idaho  - 135,448 (15)
Wis.- 483,038 (14)
Ill. - 1,039,631 (13)
Maine - 106,757 (12)
Ohio -767,830 (11)
N.D. - 59,395 (10)
Va. - 456,728 (8)
Alaska - 40,503 ()7
Iowa - 117,058 (7)
R.I. - 41,566 (6)
Del. - 35,624 (5)
N.C. - 280,43 (4)
Okla. - 84,225 (4)
Ga. - 215,638 (3)
Conn. - 59,588 (3)
Ind. - 96,414 (2)
S.C. - 73,281 (2)
Ky. - 48,622 (2)
Wyo. - 1,334 (<1)
Texas - 14,035....
Notes: Data is for ballots requested or sent, depending on available data in each state.
Strength of early voting in this election will be important for campaigns of both former President Donald J. Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. 

In 2020, about 60% of Democrats & 32% of Republicans voted by mail, according to study by M.I.T. Election Data & Science Lab.

Despite Mr. Trump’s frequent false claims that mail-in voting is rife with fraud, Republicans have made efforts to encourage early voting in this election. In Pennsylvania, the party has pledged more than $10 million to persuade Republicans to vote by mail in November. But so far, the number of ballot requests made by registered Democrats in the state have far outpaced requests made by Republicans.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024...-2024.html

[Tee tiong huat]

Harris weighs more breaks with Biden as he keeps injecting himself into the campaign. Top aides to Kamala Harris are heading into the final month of the 2024 presidential race still wrestling with how much distance she can credibly claim from Joe Biden as she looks for more ways to weave in breaks with him on the campaign trail.

She keeps getting pulled back to his side for official business @White House — as he keeps injecting himself into the conversation. Aides are looking at rolling out new plans & promises for what Harris would do as president, in part to directly demonstrate notable differences, like in her recent more blunt speeches about abortion rights & tackling the southern border.“ The challenge” of having so little time left in such a short race, one adviser to the vice president told CNN, is “when you’re trying to reach undecided low-intensity voters, how do you actually communicate difference with Biden?”

Running as an extension of president is not a strong position, Harris aides know, asserting what she stands for is. Neither aides in her 
campaign nor Biden White House would commit to another joint campaign event between now and the election. Harris wants to create space, top aides say, but not too much space. She wants to be loyal — but she also wants to win. She is still planning to lean on Biden, who is flying to Milwaukee on Tuesday for an event trumpeting more projects made possible by admin efforts, to buck up union members or to park himself in battleground Pennsylvania for political stops in final weeks. But no one on vice president’s team is upset that Biden is headed to spend a whole week of October overseas on a non-pressing diplomatic trip to Germany & Angola. Some wish he’d go away for longer.

Meanwhile. Donald Trump’s offensive, lies, lack of plans or legal problems can shake his support.
I’ll go to my grave not understanding why know it’s a fact that this is going to be a margin-of-error race,” is Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz’s line voicing this sentiment on the trail.

This former president & his running mate, Ohio Sen. JD Vance, are trying to make Harris out to be the incumbent, talking as if she had been the one signing executive orders for past 3-years. The balance is tricky for a vice president squeezed between battered voters desperate for change. Republicans responding to her every proposal by asking why hasn’t implemented them already as
incumbent president whose numbers have going up with some of core constituencies she needs.

While President Biden’s and his vice-president, Harris’ (both) they has separate appearances surveying Hurricane Helene damage on Wednesday is like much of what’s to come: “singing from the same song sheet,” as Biden put it on Friday — but rarely having them side by side.

A song for both to remember arhh.
https://youtu.be/exjLe4xQsE8?si=cdA5LLuAvQX48W8V

[Tee tiong huat]

A song for both to remember arhh.
https://youtu.be/exjLe4xQsE8?si=1IifkAUKFvFTnlL5

[Tee tiong huat]

Kamala Harris has embarked on a week-long media blitz, hurtling from TV studios late-night shows to podcast interviews as she seeks to gain an edge over Donald Trump in  US election’s key battleground states remain nail-bitingly close. The vice-president’s decision to face a raft of largely friendly media outlets came as the campaigns entered the final 30 days. More than 1.4 million Americans have already cast their ballots in early voting across 30 states.

Democratic nominee’s whirlwind media tour has been carefully crafted for maximum reach and minimum risk. Harris has talked to CBS News show 60 Minutes, along with popular podcast Call Her Daddy. On Tuesday she hits media capital, New York, for appearances on ABC News’s daytime behemoth. View & Howard Stern Show, followed by a recording with late-night host Stephen Colbert. The first of a flurry of comments from Harris was put out by 60 Minutes on Sunday before a full broadcast on Monday. Harris will appear alone, after Trump declined to be interviewed by the election special which has been a staple of US election coverage for more than half a century.

In a short clip released by 60 Minutes, Harris was asked whether the Biden-Harris administration had any sway over the actions of Benjamin Netanyahu, the hardline prime minister of Israel who appears not to listen to Washington. Asked whether US had a “real close ally” in Netanyahu, she replied: “With all due respect, the better question is: do we have an important alliance between American people & the Israeli people? & the answer to that question is yes.”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024...und-states

[Tee tiong huat]

Who is winning in swing state polls?
Right now, polls are very tight in the seven states considered battlegrounds in this election with just one or two percentage points separating the candidates.

That includes Pennsylvania, which is key as it has the highest number of electoral votes of the seven states and therefore winning it makes it easier to reach the 270 votes needed.

In a sign of how race has changed since Harris became Democratic nominee, on day Biden quit
race he was trailing Trump by nearly five% points on average in these seven states. National polls being carried out at the moment so we have less data to go on every poll has a margin of error that means the numbers could be higher or lower.

But looking at trends since Harris joined the race does help highlight the states in which she seems to be in a stronger position, according to the polling averages.

In chart can see that Harris has been leading in Michigan, Pennsylvania & Wisconsin since start of August - but the margins are still small.

All three had all been Democratic strongholds before, but Trump turned them red on path to winning presidency in 2016. Then Biden retook them in 2020 & if Harris can do the same this year then she will be on course to win the election.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj4x71znwxdo

[Tee tiong huat]

Hamala Harris’ visit to the border and speech outlining her economic vision captured the attention of a sizable share of Americans as September came to a close, according to new findings from The Breakthrough, a polling project that tracks how the public is following election news. But some emerging trends in the data hint at warning signs for the vice president’s campaign.

The share of Americans hearing anything at all about Harris has dropped each week since her presidential debate with former President Donald Trump in early September, and during that same time, the tone Americans use in describing what they’ve heard about her has grown more negative, reaching the lowest point of her campaign in the latest results.

Looking at what people say they have heard, read or seen about Harris, “lie” has emerged as a persistent top word that some Americans associate with her. In the latest data, it was the fourth-most mentioned word after “border,” “polls” and “campaign.” It ranked sixth in the previous week’s data and second the week of the ABC News presidential debate, after ranking no higher than 12th in earlier rounds of the survey and no higher than 20th prior to the Democratic convention in August.

[Tee tiong huat]

Harris plans more interviews as Trump event postponed by hurricane.
https://www.bbc.com/news/live/ckg0xk3dw55t

[Tee tiong huat]

New Poll Shows Kamala Harris Taking Slim Lead Nationally Over TrumpVice President Harris and Republican former president Trump -- who was doing a three-hit airwaves blitz of his own Tuesday -- are deadlocked as they scramble to get out the vote and reach the sliver of Americans who remain undecided.

[Tee tiong huat]

The latest on the 2024 presidential race

Final stretch: With less than four weeks until Election Day, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are racing to make their final pitches to voters as polls show the battle for the White House remains exceedingly tight nationwide and in the critical “Blue Wall” states.

• On the campaign trail: Trump is speaking about the economy at a pair of events today in the pivotal state of Pennsylvania. Harris joined President Joe Biden virtually for a briefing on the administration’s preparations for Hurricane Milton before traveling to Nevada. Harris emphasized that the administration has the proper resources to respond to the storm and will be supporting impacted communities. Vice presidential candidates, Gov. Tim Walz and Sen. JD Vance, are campaigning in Arizona today.

• Storms loom over race: Florida braces for another major hurricane,  Harris and Trump campaigns have been trading attacks over response and rhetoric surrounding the storms. In an interview with CNN Wednesday, Harris said it is “unconscionable.” that leaders spread misinfo about federal response, amid Trump’s false claims.

[Tee tiong huat]

Published: Oct. 10, 2024H...urricane Helene kills 11 people from one family

Florida emergency management officials give their final warnings as Milton’s outer bands start to lash the state’s coast
County.
https://www.wafb.com/video/2024/10/09/th...h-florida/

[Tee tiong huat]

Oct 9, 2024, presidential campaign news
Final stretch: Less than 4-weeks till Election Day, former President Donald Trump Vice President Kamala Harris are racing to make their final pitches to voters as polls show the battle for the White House remains exceedingly tight nationwide and in the critical “Blue Wall” states.

• On the campaign trail: Trump spoke about the economy at a pair of events today in the pivotal state of Pennsylvania. Harris joined President Joe Biden virtually for a briefing on the administration’s preparations for Hurricane Milton before traveling to Nevada. Harris emphasized that the administration has the proper resources to respond to the storm and will be supporting impacted communities. Vice presidential candidates, Gov. Tim Walz and Sen. JD Vance, campaigned in Arizona today.

• Storms loom over race: As Florida braces for another major hurricane, the Harris and Trump campaigns have been trading attacks over the response and rhetoric surrounding the storms. In an interview with CNN Wednesday, Harris said it is “unconscionable” that leaders spread misinformation about the federal response, amid Trump’s false claims.

• What to know to cast your vote: With early voting and by mail already underway in much of the country, read CNN’s voter handbook to see how to vote in your area and read up on the 2024 candidates and their proposals on key issues.

[Tee tiong huat]

Latest on the 2024 presidential campaign.
Trump rejects Fox News invite to debate Kamala Harris in late.

WASHINGTON – Republican former US president Donald Trump said on Oct 9 he will not debate Democratic Vice-President Kamala Harris, hours after Fox News invited the two presidential contenders to participate in a possible second debate on either Oct 24 or Oct 27. Trump and Ms Harris debated each other for the first time on Sept 10. He has said there would not be another debate before the Nov 5 election.

[Tee tiong huat]

As Trump delays transition process, Biden and Harris teams push forward with post-election planning. Former President Donald Trump’s team has blown past a pair of key deadlines for his presidential transition in a break from precedent that could have longterm national security ramifications.

With just over 100 days until a new president is inaugurated and less than a month until Election Day, delays in the transition planning could pose challenges for a peaceful transfer of power. In an environment of intense polarization and mistrust, Max Stier, the president and CEO of the nonprofit and nonpartisan Partnership for Public Service, starkly warned that transition activities are “optional at real risk.”

“You’re going to need to engage, and if you don’t engage, that will really put our country in jeopardy,” he said, in reference to Trump campaign has not yet entered formal transition agreements with the federal govt. Next president will face major issues at home & abroad: the aftermath of a devastating hurricane season, an escalating conflict in the Middle East and economic uncertainty aim of a presidential transition is to ensure new leadership is able to hit the ground running on day one.

[Tee tiong huat]

https://www.wafb.com/video/2024/10/09/th...h-florida/
https://www.youtube.com/live/6RC6x5m5j3Q...R3iFSbu73p

[Tee tiong huat]

https://www.wafb.com/video/2024/10/09/th...h-florida/
https://www.youtube.com/live/6RC6x5m5j3Q...R3iFSbu73p

https://www.youtube.com/live/6RC6x5m5j3Q...YSCyGDyDzU

[Tee tiong huat]

No other countries in the world can attack and destroy America. This is nature’s attack on America for all the crimes, atrocities and dozens Killed Overfight, many also sufferings, they are inflicted on humanities around the U.S.. This is karmic action in Middle Tennessee Tornado.

A long-track tornadic supercell ripped across central parts of Tennessee in overnight hours early Tues. Major damage occurred in Nashville area, where a tornado tracked north of downtown between 12:30 and 1:00 am. Parts of Putnam County, just to the east, were also hit hard.

Update: At least 24 fatalities and more than 200 injuries had been reported by early Wednesday, according to weather.com. The toll includes 18 people in Putnam County, 3 in Wilson County, 2 in Davidson County (which includes Nashville) and 1 in Benton County. (The Tennessee Emergency Management Agency said Tuesday afternoon 25 people had been killed statewide, but that number was later revised to 24 after one of the fatalities was determined to be not storm-related.)

City authorities in Nashville reported about 40 collapsed buildings.
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/at-lea...-tennessee

[Tee tiong huat]

https://youtu.be/pYZD1TAIwZY?si=dK39gS8bdx7voyYU

[Tee tiong huat]

The overnight tornadoes checked off several climatological boxes. When the U.S. gets tornadoes in March, they are most likely to occur across the South, albeit usually south of Middle Tennessee. Moreover, according to one analysis, a larger fraction of tornadoes occur at night in Tennessee (46%) than in any other state.

Article imagePercent of each state's tornadoes from 1950 through 2005 that occurred at night.

Last night’s tornadic supercell appears to have developed in a classic environment for late-winter and early-spring tornadoes across the South, with moderate instability but very strong vertical wind shear. Studies have shown that even modest amounts of instability can be enough to produce intense supercells and tornadoes if the shear is adequately strong.

Another March 3 tornado disaster
It’s worth comparing and contrasting this event to the deadly tornado that occurred one year ago today—March 3, 2019—in Lee County, Alabama. See the overview of this event posted here in Cat 6 last week by guest author Lee Grenci. In both the 2019 and 2020 events, a somewhat unremarkable severe set-up ramped up quickly, as a compact low intensified along a preexisting frontal zone, a pocket of unstable air moved toward it, and a long-lived tornadic supercell formed.