[Tee tiong huat]

KMT is losing some electoral advantage to Wang NPP in Taoyuan, Hsinchu, Miaoli. Polls show party losing support among young voters and Hakka communities.

TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — Recent polls suggest that Kuomintang (KMT) is losing its electoral advantage in the traditionally blue counties of Taoyuan, Hsinchu, and Miaoli. The KMT has maintained strong support among Hakka as well as Indigenous voters in these regions, however recent polling indicates that may be changing, the two primary reasons identified for this shift are increase in young voters influence to Taiwan People’s Party, also termed the Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) or third-party effect.

Prior to previous presidential election over the past 4-years, President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) also worked hard to court Hakka voters, and her efforts appear to have been effective.

According to recent TVBS poll, KMT still commands a lead in these 3-counties. However, support for Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) fell 37% to 32% in region following his registration with Central Election Commission with Jaw Shaw-kang (趙少康) as his running mate in late November.

In contrast, support for both Lai Ching-te (賴清德) and Ko Wen-je increased in the same period. Support for Lai increased 25% to 28%, while Ko’s support increased by 23% to 30%.

Ko was born in Hsinchu, and in 2022 municipal election in Hsinchu City, his party’s candidate, Ann Kao (高虹安) was elected to office of mayor. Recent polling confirm that TPP has successful in organizing voter support in the region.

UDN report suggested KMT is concerned about voter turnout in these three counties, particularly flagging support among Hakka communities. However, as with other regions of Taiwan, KMT is also worried about increasing number of young voters turning away from blue camp.

According to poll released by TVBS on Dec. 13, Lai is still leading nationally 36% of voter support, with Hou trailing by only 4 points at 32%. Meanwhile, Ko measured 22%
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5060568

[Tee tiong huat]

Taipei, Dec. 16 (CNA) The mercury could dip below 10 degrees Celsius on Saturday and Sunday due to a continental cold air mass, prompting cold surge advisories to be issued across parts of the country, according to the Central Weather Administration (CWA).

Advisories have been issued in New Taipei, Keelung, Taoyuan, Hsinchu, Yilan, Kinmen and Miaoli, while, rainfall is expected in some areas north of Taoyuan and in northeastern parts of the country on Saturday, with sporadic showers likely to occur in other regions, the admin said.

A strong wind advisory has also been issued for most of Taiwan, with regions north of Tainan and outlying Orchid Island, Green Island, Matsu, Kinmen and Penghu predicted to see winds up to 105 kilometers per hour. In coastal areas in eastern, central and southern Taiwan could experience high waves due to the strong winds.

[Tee tiong huat]

KMT is losing some electoral advantage to Wang NPP in Taoyuan, Hsinchu, Miaoli. Polls show party losing support among young voters and Hakka communities.

TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — Recent polls suggest that Kuomintang (KMT) is losing its electoral advantage in the traditionally blue counties of Taoyuan, Hsinchu, and Miaoli. The KMT has maintained strong support among Hakka as well as Indigenous voters in these regions, however recent polling indicates that may be changing, the two primary reasons identified for this shift are increase in young voters influence to Taiwan People’s Party, also termed the Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) or third-party effect.

Prior to previous presidential election over the past 4-years, President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) also worked hard to court Hakka voters, and her efforts appear to have been effective.

According to recent TVBS poll, KMT still commands a lead in these 3-counties. However, support for Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) fell 37% to 32% in region following his registration with Central Election Commission with Jaw Shaw-kang (趙少康) as his running mate in late November.

In contrast, support for both Lai Ching-te (賴清德) and Ko Wen-je increased in the same period. Support for Lai increased 25% to 28%, while Ko’s support increased by 23% to 30%.

Ko was born in Hsinchu, and in 2022 municipal election in Hsinchu City, his party’s candidate, Ann Kao (高虹安) was elected to office of mayor. Recent polling confirm that TPP has successful in organizing voter support in the region.

UDN report suggested KMT is concerned about voter turnout in these three counties, particularly flagging support among Hakka communities. However, as with other regions of Taiwan, KMT is also worried about increasing number of young voters turning away from blue camp.

According to poll released by TVBS on Dec. 13, Lai is still leading nationally 36% of voter support, with Hou trailing by only 4 points at 32%. Meanwhile, Ko measured 22%
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5060568

Taiwan People’s Party presidential candidate Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) Sat Dec16.  

He claims that voters would abandon him in favor of Kuomintang (KMT) candidate Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) by saying 70% of voters did not want the KMT to run the country.


Taiwan elections sometimes feature strategic voting in a so-called “dump/save effect” (棄保效應), when supporters of a candidate polling is in 3rd place, so he is end up giving their/his vote to the one in second place to try defeat frontrunner.

Ko has been running 3ird in most opinion polls for voters might decide to turn away from him and instead back Hou as the candidate most likely to defeat the presidential frontrunner, Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate Lai Ching-te (賴清德).

Noted, 65% voters wanted to oust DPP to achieve a change of govt, but 70%, he says they voters did not want the KMT to take its place, Ko told reporters Saturday. He did not quote his sources for the percentages, but told the media to go and conduct their own surveys, the Liberty Times reported
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5060903

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Fifteen Kuomintang (KMT) mayors and county magistrates have signed a letter of support for their party’s latest proposal to collaborate with Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) in the upcoming presidential election, despite TPP having already rejected the idea.

KMT Chair Eric Chu (朱立倫) proposed using methods used by German or Japanese political parties to decide nature collaboration between his party & TPP. Chu’s proposal would see a mixture of party membership support & votes from both parties’ legislators decide whether TPP’s Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) or the KMT’s Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) leads the presidential ticket.

KMT leadership issued a statement (Sat Nov. 4) saying they wanted to see presidential ticket formed as soon as possible.“We hope that in an election campaign to unseat (DPP) Democratic Progressive Party, when Chairman Ko makes his decision, he will choose to walk with us,” the statement said.
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5033411

Kuomintang (KMT) presidential candidate Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) rejected criticism of cross-strait services trade on Sunday (Dec. 17).

He indicated he believes Taiwan should trade with China, he said Taiwan should “not put all its eggs in one basket, some eggs should be placed in largest basket” next to Taiwan. CNA reported.

So, responding to criticisms leveled at him, says the possibility of restarting negotiations on the Cross-Strait Service Trade Agreement (CSSTA)

He refer to the green, Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate Lai Ching-te (賴清德). Lai said if implemented the agreement would bind Taiwan’s economy to China’s.

Hou said, “trade cannot take one sides”, it must be global. He went on to criticize DPP’s track record on international trade agreements.
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5061372

[Tee tiong huat]

Taipei, Dec. 16 (CNA) The mercury could dip below 10 degrees Celsius on Saturday and Sunday due to a continental cold air mass, prompting cold surge advisories to be issued across parts of the country, according to the Central Weather Administration (CWA).

Advisories have been issued in New Taipei, Keelung, Taoyuan, Hsinchu, Yilan, Kinmen and Miaoli, while, rainfall is expected in some areas north of Taoyuan and in northeastern parts of the country on Saturday, with sporadic showers likely to occur in other regions, the admin said.

A strong wind advisory has also been issued for most of Taiwan, with regions north of Tainan and outlying Orchid Island, Green Island, Matsu, Kinmen and Penghu predicted to see winds up to 105 kilometers per hour. In coastal areas in eastern, central and southern Taiwan could experience high waves due to the strong winds.

Taipei sees 11 deaths over 2 days after cold snap want heart failure strikes after temperature drops sharply, majority of deceased elderly a cold snap swept through the city between Saturday (Dec. 16) and Sunday (Dec. 17).

CNA reported majority of the deceased were elderly, and all died from sudden heart failure. According to Taipei City Fire Dept, 4-people died on Saturday and seven on Sunday. Taiwan’s Central Weather Admin issued cold temperature warnings for north on Sunday and said temperatures would drop as low as 10 C. 

Temperatures dropped sharply in the north over two days, down from over 30 C on Friday, fire dept said although it had not been proven the deaths were directly linked to cold weather??, it warned elderly (aged over 65) & those with heart conditions to beware of the situation. The department said large fluctuations in temperature can cause sudden strokes and heart problems, fire dept also reminded people to accompany vulnerable family members and friends to make sure they are safe and cared for.

[Tee tiong huat]

Taipei, Dec. 16 (CNA) The mercury could dip below 10 degrees Celsius on Saturday and Sunday due to a continental cold air mass, prompting cold surge advisories to be issued across parts of the country, according to the Central Weather Administration (CWA).

Advisories have been issued in New Taipei, Keelung, Taoyuan, Hsinchu, Yilan, Kinmen and Miaoli, while, rainfall is expected in some areas north of Taoyuan and in northeastern parts of the country on Saturday, with sporadic showers likely to occur in other regions, the admin said.

A strong wind advisory has also been issued for most of Taiwan, with regions north of Tainan and outlying Orchid Island, Green Island, Matsu, Kinmen and Penghu predicted to see winds up to 105 kilometers per hour. In coastal areas in eastern, central and southern Taiwan could experience high waves due to the strong winds.

Taipei sees 11 deaths over 2 days after cold snap. Heart failure strikes after temperature drops sharply, majority of deceased elderly. Cold snap swept through the city between Saturday (Dec. 16) and Sunday (Dec. 17).

[Tee tiong huat]

Taipei, Dec. 16 (CNA) The mercury could dip below 10 degrees Celsius on Saturday and Sunday due to a continental cold air mass, prompting cold surge advisories to be issued across parts of the country, according to the Central Weather Administration (CWA).

Advisories have been issued in New Taipei, Keelung, Taoyuan, Hsinchu, Yilan, Kinmen and Miaoli, while, rainfall is expected in some areas north of Taoyuan and in northeastern parts of the country on Saturday, with sporadic showers likely to occur in other regions, the admin said.

A strong wind advisory has also been issued for most of Taiwan, with regions north of Tainan and outlying Orchid Island, Green Island, Matsu, Kinmen and Penghu predicted to see winds up to 105 kilometers per hour. In coastal areas in eastern, central and southern Taiwan could experience high waves due to the strong winds.

...continuously observed. From Saturday until Sunday (Dec. 24), cold front will slightly weaken. However, from Sunday night to Monday (Dec. 25), the cold front will strengthen again.

Northern Taiwan will continue to experience cold and wet conditions, while the central and southern parts of the country will be relatively colder in the morning and evening. Wu said it is advisable to remain vigilant and keep warm.

WeatherRisk Director Chia Hsin-hsing (賈新興) wrote on Facebook.

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...continuously observed. From Saturday until Sunday (Dec. 24), cold front will slightly weaken. However, from Sunday night to Monday (Dec. 25), the cold front will strengthen again.

Northern Taiwan will continue to experience cold and wet conditions, while the central and southern parts of the country will be relatively colder in the morning and evening. Wu said it is advisable to remain vigilant and keep warm.

WeatherRisk Director Chia Hsin-hsing (賈新興) wrote on Facebook.

WeatherRisk Director Chia Hsin-hsing (賈新興) wrote on Facebook that fm Tuesday afternoon to Monday, conditions will be damp and cold in Hsinchu and areas north, including Yilan. Chia predicted that from late Wednesday night to early Thursday morning, open areas north of Miaoli may experience temperatures of 8 C or below, with Taipei Main Station approaching temperatures near 10 C.

Chia predicted that from late Thursday night to Friday noon, there is a chance of snow or sleet in mountainous areas above 2,000 meters in northern Taiwan, including on Taipingshan, Lalashan, and Shei-Pa National Park.

[Tee tiong huat]

Kuomintang (KMT) presidential candidate Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) rejected criticism of cross-strait services trade on Sunday (Dec. 17).

He indicated he believes Taiwan should trade with China, he said Taiwan should “not put all its eggs in one basket, some eggs should be placed in largest basket” next to Taiwan. CNA reported.

So, responding to criticisms leveled at him, says the possibility of restarting negotiations on the Cross-Strait Service Trade Agreement (CSSTA)

He refer to the green, Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate Lai Ching-te (賴清德). Lai said if implemented the agreement would bind Taiwan’s economy to China’s.

Hou said, “trade cannot take one sides”, it must be global. He went on to criticize DPP’s track record on international trade agreements.
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5061372

Taiwan presidential race tightens between Hou and Lai as Ko sinks..Hou has narrowed gap with Lai significantly, leaving Ko behind.

Lai’s bump -- Most of the polls also have Lai rising and hitting new highs. If this is the case then there are two likely causes for this. One could be the addition of former representative to the U.S., Hsiao Bi-khim (蕭美琴), to the ticket as the DPP’s vice presidential pick. She is widely respected and a draw with younger voters, with even former President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) speaking highly of her capabilities as a formidable opponent to his own KMT.

The other is that pan-green voters may have grown alarmed at the sharp deep-blue shift in the KMT with the introduction of Jaw and the possibility of Han becoming legislative speaker. Widespread fear and dislike of Han among pan-green voters and many independents drove them to a record turnout in the 2020 national elections to re-elect the DPP in a landslide victory.

Though there is some controversy in Hou Yu-ih’s past, in general, he previously did not inspire fear or alarm, and appealed to many light-green voters and independents in his two runs for New Taipei City mayor. Now he is taking deep blue stances that while excellent for consolidating his base, may be helping to consolidate Lai’s as well. There is one wrinkle in this picture, however. While most polls continue to show Lai’s support rising, the well-respected outlet Formosa is showing a different picture than the others.

Formosa polling showed Lai’s support spike in late November, then recently has been sliding back down into roughly the same band he had been polling in since August. This suggests my theories are wrong, or at least did not stick. The poll of polls was created to cut out noise and volatility from individual polls, but it does bear watching whether other polls start showing similar results.

[Tee tiong huat]

Taiwan presidential race tightens between Hou and Lai as Ko sinks..Hou has narrowed gap with Lai significantly, leaving Ko behind.

TAICHUNG (Taiwan News) — Up until late November there was a lot of talk of Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate Lai Ching-te (賴清德) winning the upcoming 2024 presidential election “lying down,” but no one thinks that now.

The Kuomintang (KMT) and their candidate Hou Yu-ih’s (侯友宜) camp pivoted to their base by nominating 2020 KMT presidential candidate Han Kuo-yu (韓國瑜) to head up their legislative party list and presumed candidate for legislative speaker and then picked media personality and Broadcasting Corporation of China Chair Jaw Shaw-kong (趙少康) as their vice presidential candidate. Both are controversial figures, but both have strong followings in the pan-blue camp.

Almost overnight in the Taiwan News Poll of Polls (TNPoP), Hou jumped roughly nine points, positioning him in second place and leaving Taiwan People's Party (TPP) candidate Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) in the dust in third place. Reason was simple, pan-blue base consolidated around Hou, with his support among self-identified KMT supporters jumping from roughly two-thirds to around 90% in a flash.

As things stand right now it looks like more of a battle by the pan-greens and pan-blues to consolidate their bases and battle it out to poach Ko supporters and the remaining undecided voters.

Of seven polls currently being tracked for upcoming TNPoP release on Dec. 20, all are broadly in agreement with Lai in first, Hou second, and Ko pulling up the rear.
Six of the polls have Lai leading Hou by 3.1% to 5.2%, with five in the 3.1% to 4.2% range. All but one of the polls has Ko’s support at around 20% plus or minus one or two points.
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5062287

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Presidential race tightens between Hou and Lai as Ko sinks..Hou narrowed gap with Lai leaving Ko behind.

Ko campaign left scrambling -- Ko camp has been alarmed by turn in polls and that Hou is now the clear challenger to Lai. They are deeply concerned about the “dump/save effect” (棄保效應) supporters, see him sinking in polls, may strategically switch their votes to one or the other candidates with better shot winning. Does Ko have a chance@this point?

Some have attributed Ko’s slumping poll numbers to his erratic behavior during the opposition unity ticket negotiations. That might be true, or be a factor, but it is also possible that “dump/save” may already be happening. The Ko campaign has been taking two approaches to handling this. One is to try and counter all the “dump/save” talk by releasing internal polling that shows Ko is in second place and has not lost any support at all.

Since no independent poll shows that, no one is buying it. Even CNews, the one polling outfit that had Hou only leading Ko by the margin of error since late November, now shows Hou with a widening lead over Ko.

The other approach has been to try and expand their support into demographics they have failed to reach so far, or have lost. These attempts have so far failed, and have come across as a bit bizarre. 

For eg, after spending much year working to cooperate with KMT and continuing to do so in some legislative races, as well as talking up dialogue with China, Ko abruptly stated “at heart in essence I am deep green.” Nobody was buying this, either, he has since appeared in public with an ROC flag pin like KMT politicians sport, and compared himself to one-party state-era leader Chiang Ching-kuo (蔣經國), possibly to mend fences for that comment.

Then at a rally, he called on his supporters to help him implement a “55 plan” to reach out to older voters. Formosa polling shows Ko’s support is almost entirely under 50, with only 11% supporting him in the 50-59 demographic, 3.8% support with the 60-69 set, and 1.6% support among those over 70. One could probably find higher polling support for being poked with a sharp stick.

The “55 plan” involves his supporters committing, spending five minutes a day, 5-days a week explaining to their elders why they should vote for Ko. Someone forgot to tell Ko that in traditional Taiwanese society, it is elders who believe they have right to tell the young how to vote, not the other way around, so the effect will be limited at best.

It is a long shot on theoretically possible. A lot can happen between now & election day on Jan. 13. He has been written off multiple times in the past and has managed to bounce back. He has the steepest hill to climb to win, however.

[Tee tiong huat]

All is in Mandarin word...
https://cnews.com.tw/232171218a02/

[Tee tiong huat]

Does Ko have a chance@this point?.with about 20% from the voter's?. As Hou / Lai fight. Ko sinks... Ko campaign has been trying others approaches to handling. Eg: One try counter all the “dump/save”...

[Tee tiong huat]

All is in Mandarin word...
https://cnews.com.tw/232171218a02/

"Ko abruptly stated “@heart in essence, (he) I'm in deep green.” 

Nobody was buying this, either, he has since appeared in public with an ROC flag pin like KMT politicians, and compared himself to one-party state-era leader Chiang Ching-kuo (蔣經國), possibly to mend fences for that comment.

Then at a rally, he called on his supporters to help him implement a“55 plan” to reach out to older voters. His “55 plan” involves supporters committing, spending 5-minutes a day, 5-days a week??? explaining to their elders why should vote for Ko. Someone forgot to tell Ko that in traditional Taiwanese society, it is elders who believe they have right to tell the young how to vote, not the other way around, so the effect will be limited at best.

Formosa polling shows Ko’s support is almost entirely under 50, with only 11% supporting him in the 50-59 demographic, oni 3.8% support in the 60-69 set, & less in @1.6% among those over 70. One probably find polling support for being poking with a sharp stick.

[Tee tiong huat]

Taiwan Weather is going worst...
https://youtu.be/Qujoi-O-41M?si=dn_5HO8TzxDYkzCo

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By Matthew Strong, Taiwan News, Staff Writer
2023/12/20 15:49 -- My Formosa poll shows Lai ahead in Taiwan presidential race.

TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate Lai Ching-te (賴清德) has increased his lead to more than 4%, according to a My Formosa poll published Wednesday (Dec. 20).

The vice president’s support rose slightly to 35.2% from 35.0% in the previous My Formosa survey, while Kuomintang (KMT) candidate Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) lost ground to 30.6% from 31.7%. Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) candidate Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) remained in third place at 19.6%, but rose from 18.2%.

Asked if they wanted a change in government, 33.4% of poll respondents said they wanted the DPP to stay in power, per the Liberty Times. The KMT received 30% support, while the TPP was favored by 15.5%. If there should be a change in the ruling party, then voters would cast their ballot for the opposition candidate riding highest in the polls, said 50.8% of respondents, though 38.5% disagreed.

The latest round of the My Formosa poll was conducted on Dec. 15, 18, and 19. The survey received 1,201 valid samples with a margin of error of 2.8%.

The 3-presidential candidates are scheduled to make their first TV appearances to present their ideas and policies @7 p.m. Wednesday Dec 20. Meanwhile, a presidential debate between the candidates will take place later to Dec. 30.
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5063188

[Tee tiong huat]

Lai gains near 4-point lead over Hou for Taiwan presidency. Support for third-place Ko remains unchanged at 17.7%

Formosa poll, Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate Lai Ching-te's (賴清德) lead over Kuomintang (KMT) candidate Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) has risen to nearly 4 percentage points.

Poll released Friday (Dec. 22), DPP ticket of Lai and Hsiao Bi-khim (蕭美琴) has risen to 37.3%, while KMT's Hou and Jaw Shaw-kong (趙少康) are trailing at 33.4%, a difference of 3.9 percentage points & Taiwan People's Party's (TPP) ticket of Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) and Cynthia Wu (吳欣盈) remained in 3rd place at 17.7%.

My Formosa began conducting the presidential poll on July 17 and will continue to run survey until Jan. 12, 2024, one day before presidential election. Each round of its published polls is based on surveys implemented over three days, but starting in 2024, each poll will be based on surveys taken over a two-day period.

Survey for 95th round polling was conducted fm Dec. 19-21, latest survey interviewed 1,470 people with confidence level 95% & a maximum sampling error of plus or minus 2.6%.

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The three presidential candidates yesterday clashed at the first platform presentation organized by Central Election Commission, with each vowing to secure cross-strait peace and take better care of young people.

New Taipei City Mayor Hou You-yi (侯友宜), the Chinese Nationalist Party’s (KMT) presidential candidate, was 1st to speak & wasted no time in criticizing Vice President William Lai (賴清德), Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) candidate.

Hou said that he would resume operations at the Special Prosecutors’ Division to investigate allegtions of corruption reported over the past seven years.

Hou vowed to uphold the Republic of China Constitution and oppose the independence of Taiwan and China’s “one country, two systems” policy.

He said that Lai has never given up being an independence activist.
https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/a...2003810933

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Frontrunner William Lai challenged to renounce independence in first Taiwan election debate
KMT candidate warns pro-independence stance could lead to war as presidential hopefuls lay out their policies in televised exchange
All three candidates say they would strengthen the island’s defensive capability while working for peace across Taiwan Strait

Cross-strait peace remains paramount issue in next month’s presidential election in Taiwan, all 3-candidates scrambling to assure voters that they are the best choice to achieve it, despite Beijing’s growing threats to attack island.

In campaign’s 1st televised policy presentation on Wednesday night, main opposition candidate Hou Yu-ih dared leading contender William Lai Ching-te to abandon his pro-independence stand, suggesting it would lead to war.

[Tee tiong huat]

Labor movement takes to the streets of Taipei ahead of elections. Protest organizers say none of the 3 presidential candidates satisfied their demands. An estimated 2,000 workers took part in a labor protest in Taipei City Saturday (Dec. 23), three weeks ahead of presidential and legislative elections.

Marchers called for an end to low wages, safeguards for pensions, improvements to long working hours, and a hike for employers’ contribution to occupational safety insurance. Protest leaders said they had submitted their demands to all three candidates, none of their replies had satisfied them, they ask their supporters not to vote for any specific candidate. As their demands, those activists said none of the 3-presidential candidates had gained their approval.

[Tee tiong huat]

Ko campaign truck gets stuck under Qing Dynasty gate in south Taiwan. Damage to Hengchun City Wall could incur NT$20Mil. Police work to free TPP campaign vehicle lodged under the Hengchun West Gate on Sunday.
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5065798

[Tee tiong huat]

Central Taiwan drops to 7.5 C as cold weather continues. Temperatures expected to rise by middle of week.
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5065707

[watchfirst9]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-5HeBMjsSkc

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vBs1GQhdbew

[Tee tiong huat]

Taiwan presidential candidates to hold 2nd platform presentation event. Each candidate will have three 10-minute rounds to share party policies. The second televised presidential policy presentation event for the three is scheduled for Tuesday (Dec. 26) at 2 p.m. that is today.

[Tee tiong huat]

First of all, the fix you mentioned here is caused by his own doing. No one actually will or going to fix him. You should see that early this year he wanted to via for the Presidency under KMT, and he has requested to have a poll within the party. And he loss the supports from KMT party members. 

And when the announcement was made of his loss, he said he will give full support to the winner which is Hou, but after a month later he than announced that he wants to proceed with the campaign for Presidency due to the independent poll found that he may have a chance to win over the Pan Green Lai. 

Upon his announcement, many Taiwanese already said that he has no integrity and that he go back on his words for not vying for the Presidential post. How will anyone "fix" him then? He merely bring his Presidential dream to a suicide by himself. Why suggest that he will be fixed? 

Everyone has their supporters, but these supporters in numbers for Terry Guo is not as many as Hou or KP, let alone DPP Lai. Terry Guo is to take away the votes from the Pan Blue, he is not going to win the PAn Green supporters to vote for him. That's the current situation in Taiwan.

This one is starting to be smarter, he is (yes), he is rather very smart,   can read the poli and withdrawal and not to fight to the end.
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5032003

[Tee tiong huat]

Lai gains near 9.5-point lead over Hou for Taiwan presidency. 20-29 and 30-39 demographics shift support from Hou to Lai
support rate of 29.4%.

In terms of age groups, Lai has the lead among those aged 20-29 (34.8%), 30-39 (31%), 40-49 (38.4%), 60-69 (48.4%), and over 70 (45.2%). However, Hou leads in the 50-59 age group with 37.2%.

There has been a significant shift in the young voter demographic. Previously, most of those aged 20-29 and 30-39 favored Ko, but now they have turned to support Lai.

When asked whether the president should be from a different party for the "better development of the country in the next four years," 36.1% believe the DPP should remain in power, 26.9% want to see the KMT take over, and only 14.1% believe the TPP should be in charge.

Survey for 95th round of polling was conducted on Dec. 21, 22, and 25 in Taiwan's 22 counties and cities. This latest survey interviewed 1,349 adults, 20 years old and over, with a confidence level of 95% and a maximum sampling error of plus or minus 2.7%.
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5066367

[Tee tiong huat]

Taiwan presidential candidates clash on future of trade with China. Hou Yu-ih and Lai Ching-te disagree on impact of expanding cross-strait trade. Lai said the KMT’s plans to restart negotiations on ECFA’s controversial services trade agreement would mean a large number of Chinese students in Taiwan, and would “lock Taiwan’s economy to China’s,” per Tai Sounds.

Lai criticized Hou’s status in politics as that of an “outsider” and “layman,” and said his policies only reflect those of former President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九). Lai also launched criticisms of the KMT’s legacy and said the party had done great harm to Taiwan
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5066517

[Tee tiong huat]

Diplomatic allies are a myth, and even if Taiwan lost all of them, it would not be as important as the substance of relationships with other countries, Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) presidential candidate Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) said Wednesday (Dec. 27).

Due to pressure from China, Taiwan has only 13 official allies left, most of them island nations in Pacific and Caribbean. Paraguay is its only ally in South America, Eswatini in Africa, and the Vatican in Europe. During an interview for a podcast, Ko said number of allies was not important, only substance of the relationship. Asked whether he thought it did not matter if Taiwan had not a single ally left, he said he agreed with statement. Country was losing allies be'cos relations with China were tense, he said.

Turning to defense matters, he said if he were elected president, he would not change govt’s national security team during his first six mths or one year in office. There was no need for new president to change all kinds of things from the first day in power, be'cos that could be dangerous, according to Ko, he named heads of military, the military intelligence agency, and the National Security Bureau (NSB) as the officials he wanted to leave in place, position of foreign minister was less important, Ko was quoted as saying. Opinion polls for the Jan. 13 elections have shown TPP chair as a distant third behind Vice President Lai Ching-te (賴清德) of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and Kuomintang (KMT) candidate Hou Yu-ih
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5067265

[Tee tiong huat]

Lai leaps to 11-point lead over Hou for Taiwan presidency. Lai now leads in all age demographics and most counties, cities

In the latest My Formosa poll, Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate Lai Ching-te's (賴清德) lead over Kuomintang (KMT) candidate Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) has jumped to 11 percentage points, with 16 days to go before the 2024 presidential election.

In the poll released Thursday (Dec. 28), the DPP ticket of Lai and Hsiao Bi-khim (蕭美琴) has risen to 40%, while the KMT's Hou and Jaw Shaw-kong (趙少康) are trailing at 28.9%, a difference of 11.1 percentage points, the largest gap between the two candidates seen in recent polls. The Taiwan People's Party's (TPP) ticket of Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) and Cynthia Wu (吳欣盈) remained in third place at 17.6%.

Compared to the previous poll, support for Lai has increased by 1.3 percentage points, hitting the 40% mark, while backing for Hou fell by 0.8 percentage points. Meanwhile, support for Ko rose by 1 percentage point.

In terms of age groups, Lai has the lead in all age groups. Hou only challenges Lai in the 50-59 age category at 37.2% to Lai's 37.3%, a slim margin of 0.1 percentage points.

Support for Ko among those aged 60 and over is down to single digits. Among respondents aged 60-69, only 5.3% support Ko, while only 4.4% of people aged 70 and over back Ko.

In terms of regions, Lai has the lead in most of the country, with support in Yunlin, Chiayi, and Tainan surpassing 50% at 52.6%. Hou only maintains an edge in Keelung, Yilan, Hualien, Taitung, Penghu, Kinmen, and Matsu at 40.1% to Lai's 30.6%.

Backing for Ko ranges between 16% and 19% depending on the region
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5067543

[cheekopekman]

Lai leaps to 11-point lead over Hou for Taiwan presidency. Lai now leads in all age demographics and most counties, cities

In the latest My Formosa poll, Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate Lai Ching-te's (賴清德) lead over Kuomintang (KMT) candidate Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) has jumped to 11 percentage points, with 16 days to go before the 2024 presidential election.

In the poll released Thursday (Dec. 28), the DPP ticket of Lai and Hsiao Bi-khim (蕭美琴) has risen to 40%, while the KMT's Hou and Jaw Shaw-kong (趙少康) are trailing at 28.9%, a difference of 11.1 percentage points, the largest gap between the two candidates seen in recent polls. The Taiwan People's Party's (TPP) ticket of Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) and Cynthia Wu (吳欣盈) remained in third place at 17.6%.

Compared to the previous poll, support for Lai has increased by 1.3 percentage points, hitting the 40% mark, while backing for Hou fell by 0.8 percentage points. Meanwhile, support for Ko rose by 1 percentage point.

In terms of age groups, Lai has the lead in all age groups. Hou only challenges Lai in the 50-59 age category at 37.2% to Lai's 37.3%, a slim margin of 0.1 percentage points.

Support for Ko among those aged 60 and over is down to single digits. Among respondents aged 60-69, only 5.3% support Ko, while only 4.4% of people aged 70 and over back Ko.

In terms of regions, Lai has the lead in most of the country, with support in Yunlin, Chiayi, and Tainan surpassing 50% at 52.6%. Hou only maintains an edge in Keelung, Yilan, Hualien, Taitung, Penghu, Kinmen, and Matsu at 40.1% to Lai's 30.6%.

Backing for Ko ranges between 16% and 19% depending on the region
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/5067543

Looks like Lai is winning liao lah!  Lai ah Lai ah!