There will be global recession and everything will deflate.
Financial markets and real estate have past peaks in most countries. We are in for a major correction lasting a couple of years. Time to give back the gains made by some. Keep your cash.šš»
The property market cannot defy gravity. Assets will deflateĀ everywhere in near future. Why pay more now and suffer a decline in value just for the "long term"?
Hot money coming into Singapore is just part of the buying frenzy. It will evaporate/reverse-out once it is clear the trend has reversed.
During the Asian Financial Crisis, prices of many propertiesĀ here halved between the 1996 peak and 1998 low.
So it's not true that Singapore property market is unique. It's a small boat in a global ocean; we get whacked in any storm out there.
I go with common sense and watch human physiology driven by herd instinct.
Most people in Singapore have made money from property. That's because of steady economicĀ growth over 60 years ( 1962 to 2022).
Few wealthy people here have made money from real businessĀ or investment. Most are OK financially because of propertyĀ (HDB/private) held for many years
We are a stable place (currency/security) in a region with weak currencies due to inflation and government overspending.
But in a correction, we will also get hit.
Some say "Buy for the long term" But we are all dead in long term. So why not wait to buy in bad times which are coming?
Most economies are now near the end of a very long bullish cycle. We are in for geopoliticalĀ tensions, maybe wars, high inflation and food shortages. It's going to be a major global downturn during which we can justĀ hope to hold on and survive.
Good luck; stay coolš»ššš
Mano Sabnani
Friday 17 June 2022 @1415 hrs.