Dow Index futures will move sharply at 8:30pm tonight- here's why.
#1
Cool 

CPI number going to be released.

Many bulls have cheong in ahead of the number....
If bad, will be ugly. ..

I suspect if good, it may rally but profit taking will set in.

CPI Live stream below with commentary.


I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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#2

Quote:If bad, will be ugly. ..

if good, it may rally


Isn't this 废话?
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#3

ah butt now smart, wun say the exact
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#4

If oil prices keep gg higher, inflation will be bad. 


.
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#5

German bank already mention Recession in 2023
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#6

(13-09-2022, 03:53 PM)WhatDoYouThink? Wrote:  ah butt now smart, wun say the exact

If can tell bet big on Dow futures to huat big big!!!

This is what I predict.....not that I have crystal ball just for fun based on how market move. Market move 3 days in a row in anticipation ..here is the logic

1. Analysts predict 8.1% but traders  are betting it will go below 8% they go in big ....

2. I believe it is below 8%. Reason is there are proxy numbers like commodities index, material index that can be used to derive the CPI. Based on how much traders bet the number should be around  7.6%...

3. When number announce to be below 8%, likely there is a big rally of 400pts.

4. But short term traders already bet big last few days using proxy numbers will sell on the news. ....as they take profits the Dow gains will be wiped out ....to around +100pts.

If we get number above 8.1% ....Dow will drop more than 500pts because all the traders now cut loss and rush out.
But I don't expect this to happen.

My prediction
CPI = 7.6% 
Dow Imdex = +100pts at close.
Dow Imdex peak is +430pts.

Okay that's my scenarios. LETS GO!

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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#7

30 more minutes before chi ba boom

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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#8

(13-09-2022, 05:53 PM)sgbuffett Wrote:  If can tell bet big on Dow futures to huat big big!!!

This is what I predict.....not that I have crystal ball just for fun based on how market move. Market move 3 days in a row in anticipation ..here is the logic

1. Analysts predict 8.1% but traders  are betting it will go below 8% they go in big ....

2. I believe it is below 8%. Reason is there are proxy numbers like commodities index, material index that can be used to derive the CPI. Based on how much traders bet the number should be around  7.6%...

3. When number announce to be below 8%, likely there is a big rally of 400pts.

4. But short term traders already bet big last few days using proxy numbers will sell on the news. ....as they take profits the Dow gains will be wiped out ....to around +100pts.

If we get number above 8.1% ....Dow will drop more than 500pts because all the traders now cut loss and rush out.
But I don't expect this to happen.

My prediction
CPI = 7.6% 
Dow Imdex = +100pts at close.
Dow Imdex peak is +430pts.

Okay that's my scenarios. LETS GO!

It will be above 8, Dow will drop at 830 then 930 collapse.
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#9

Dow futures rise non stop for 4 days towards the number

[Image: 2FWqhQi.jpg]

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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#10

830pm guys....

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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#11

(13-09-2022, 07:57 PM)sgbuffett Wrote:  30 more minutes before chi ba boom

no matter what CPI number, it will never go down to 2.0 by end of the year.
It means USA interest rate will stay high above 3% to 4% from end of the year onwards

3% to 4% will be bad for equity and Dow index should go much lower from end of the year onwards.
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#12

(13-09-2022, 08:06 PM)sgbuffett Wrote:  830pm guys....

Before CPI = 2.0, USA interest rate should be above 3%.

FED wants to see CPI = 2.0 , when will it happen ?
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#13

Live stream of the number with commentary.
12 min more

Traders are very excited ....



I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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#14

(13-09-2022, 03:47 PM)Blasterlord2 Wrote:  Isn't this 废话?

Rotfl
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#15

(13-09-2022, 05:53 PM)sgbuffett Wrote:  Okay that's my scenarios. LETS GO!


[Image: F404-E4-C3-4850-424-F-9231-1-C22776-A4-C18.jpg]
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#16

Bad ..8.3% vs 8.1% expected  .  Dow PLUNGE.

[Image: SJ63ONg.jpg]

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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#17

(13-09-2022, 08:34 PM)Ahnya Wrote:  Shorted.
Made nearly 700 points,  then it gostan and hit my trailing stop.
But I not serious trader.  Play small small contract 
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#18

Disappointing. 
Market drop.
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#19

The bearish investors are selling to the relief rallies to collect cash for recession next year.

if USA interest rate is above 3.5% to 5%, the S&P should be below 3900 to 3000.

Then they will buy into equity.
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#20

Ah butt has once again proved that he has jinxed the market again.
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#21

How many points will next rate hike be ?
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#22

As long as FED does not pivot to cut rate, the USA equity cannot have real rally.

If FED is determined to see CPI = 2.0, it is better to be involved in USA equity when CPI has dropped to 3.0 downwards.

It is too early now because CPI is still high at 8.3 now.
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#23

Its just a correction from the recent Climb.

Good opportunity to buy (for me )
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#24

(13-09-2022, 08:52 PM)Ahnya Wrote:  How many points will next rate hike be ?

high chance of 0.75% on 21 Sept 2022.
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#25

(13-09-2022, 07:58 PM)Zannn Wrote:  It will be above 8, Dow will drop at 830 then 930 collapse.

Only if Sgbuffet heed this.
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#26

(13-09-2022, 05:53 PM)sgbuffett Wrote:  If can tell bet big on Dow futures to huat big big!!!

This is what I predict.....not that I have crystal ball just for fun based on how market move. Market move 3 days in a row in anticipation ..here is the logic

1. Analysts predict 8.1% but traders  are betting it will go below 8% they go in big ....

2. I believe it is below 8%. Reason is there are proxy numbers like commodities index, material index that can be used to derive the CPI. Based on how much traders bet the number should be around  7.6%...

3. When number announce to be below 8%, likely there is a big rally of 400pts.

4. But short term traders already bet big last few days using proxy numbers will sell on the news. ....as they take profits the Dow gains will be wiped out ....to around +100pts.

If we get number above 8.1% ....Dow will drop more than 500pts because all the traders now cut loss and rush out.
But I don't expect this to happen.

My prediction
CPI = 7.6% 
Dow Imdex = +100pts at close.
Dow Imdex peak is +430pts.

Okay that's my scenarios. LETS GO!

Now Dow down 500+pts...after inflation came in at 8.3% higher than expected 8.1%

[Image: LIt2CJa.jpg]

I, being poor, have only my dreams; I have spread my dreams under your feet; Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
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#27

(13-09-2022, 08:58 PM)Zannn Wrote:  Only if Sgbuffet heed this.

you are always ah butt's checker!  Big Grin
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#28

(13-09-2022, 09:07 PM)TalkingRabbit Wrote:  you are always ah butt's checker!  Big Grin

Can see -900 for Dow before 12am
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#29

Rate hike = Recession = Rate cut

Pop bubble, Blow bubble.. rinse, repeat
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#30

(13-09-2022, 09:20 PM)Zannn Wrote:  Can see -900 for Dow before 12am

am looking at ~31500
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