13-09-2023, 06:16 PM
(24-08-2023, 02:17 PM)Tee tiong huat Wrote: Ukrainian army’s 47th Brigade hoisted a flag atop a building in Robotyne’s town center. It’s another 50 miles to Melitopol Next major strongpoint after Robotyne is Tokmak; after that, it’s a straight shot to Melitopol and to the Black Sea coast.Key Judgement-1: It is likely that Ukraine will capture Tokmak, allowing for a continued assault on Melitopol in the next 3 months.
If Ukrainian troops are going to reach the coast and sever the overland supply lines into Russian-occupied Crimea, they might do so here, along the fields and narrow treelines on the road to Melitopol.
2-brigades are leading the way:, 47th and 82nd.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/20...6418be46a3
Key Judgement-2: It is highly unlikely that Ukraine will capture Melitopol after advancing beyond Tokmak in the next 3 months.
Key Judgement-3: It is highly unlikely that a stalled Ukrainian advance and failure to capture Melitopol will decrease public support for arming and funding Ukraine in the next 3 months
https://greydynamics.com/battle-for-tokm...-analysis/