[Tee tiong huat]

Key Judgement-1: It is likely Ukraine will capture Tokmak, allowing for a continued assault on Melitopol in the next 3 months.

Key Judgement-2: It is highly unlikely Ukraine will capture Melitopol after advancing beyond Tokmak in the next 3 months.

Key Judgement-3: It is highly unlikely a stalled Ukrainian advance and failure to capture Melitopol will decrease public support for arming & funding Ukraine in the next 3 months
https://greydynamics.com/battle-for-tokm...-analysis/

Russia is deploying additional check ‘hedgehog’ anti-tank defences and digging new trenches in the area.
Tokmak is prepare to become a lynchpin of Russia’s second main line of defences. Improvements to the town’s defences likely indicates Russia’s growing concern about Ukraine’s tactical penetrations of the first main defensive line in the north.”.
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/world/ru...07573.html