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05-06-2024, 04:43 PM
The Russians Rolled the Thermobaric Rocket Launchers Toward Chasiv Yar. It Didn’t Help—The Ukrainians Counterattacked, Anyway. After mths of fighting, Russians still struggling to gain a toehold in Ukraine’s 266th biggest population ctr.
Shortly after finally capturing ruins of Avdiivka following a bloody, 5-mth battle that culminated in Feb, Russian eastern forces took aim at another eastern prize: the industrial town of Chasiv Yar, which had a pre-war population of around 12,000.
Exposed on very edge of line of contact west of Bakhmut, depending on north-south canal—a canal with two easy crossing points—for its defense, Chasiv Yar is vulnerable, easternmost canal district, on far side of the canal from the town center, is even more vulnerable. Chasiv Yar should’ve easy picking for nearly 500,000-strong Russian force. Instead, it—like many other front-line towns—has become an attrition trap for the Russians. They’ve made incremental gains that can be measured with a yardstick, but at the cost of thousands of casualties. Ukrainian casualties are much lighter.
Russian strategy mths-long battle for Chasiv Yar is under intensive close air support, Russian troops from 200th Arctic Motor Rifle Brigade, 299th Air Assault Regiment, 11th Air Assault Brigade & other units attack in order to secure a foothold for a direct assault on ctr of Chasiv Yar—while also attacking the village directly to the north. It’s not going well for Russians, even recent introduction Russian TOS-1 & TOS-2 thermobaric rocket launchers to Chasiv Yar sector hasn’t decisively tilted local balance of power. As of Tuesday, the Ukrainian 41st Mechanized Brigade, 241st Territorial Defense Brigade and Presidential Brigade remain in control of Chasiv Yar, the canal district and Kalinina, Russians managed to briefly push back Ukrainians in Kalinina in recent days, but Ukrainians counterattacked despite heavy shelling from Russian 200th Arctic Brigade and reversed the Russians’ gains.
Ukrainian Ctr for Defense Strategies has been pessimistic about canal district, in particular. “The enemy will soon capture the canal neighborhood in Chasiv Yar.”
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/20...450afb379d
Shortly after finally capturing ruins of Avdiivka following a bloody, 5-mth battle that culminated in Feb, Russian eastern forces took aim at another eastern prize: the industrial town of Chasiv Yar, which had a pre-war population of around 12,000.
Exposed on very edge of line of contact west of Bakhmut, depending on north-south canal—a canal with two easy crossing points—for its defense, Chasiv Yar is vulnerable, easternmost canal district, on far side of the canal from the town center, is even more vulnerable. Chasiv Yar should’ve easy picking for nearly 500,000-strong Russian force. Instead, it—like many other front-line towns—has become an attrition trap for the Russians. They’ve made incremental gains that can be measured with a yardstick, but at the cost of thousands of casualties. Ukrainian casualties are much lighter.
Russian strategy mths-long battle for Chasiv Yar is under intensive close air support, Russian troops from 200th Arctic Motor Rifle Brigade, 299th Air Assault Regiment, 11th Air Assault Brigade & other units attack in order to secure a foothold for a direct assault on ctr of Chasiv Yar—while also attacking the village directly to the north. It’s not going well for Russians, even recent introduction Russian TOS-1 & TOS-2 thermobaric rocket launchers to Chasiv Yar sector hasn’t decisively tilted local balance of power. As of Tuesday, the Ukrainian 41st Mechanized Brigade, 241st Territorial Defense Brigade and Presidential Brigade remain in control of Chasiv Yar, the canal district and Kalinina, Russians managed to briefly push back Ukrainians in Kalinina in recent days, but Ukrainians counterattacked despite heavy shelling from Russian 200th Arctic Brigade and reversed the Russians’ gains.
Ukrainian Ctr for Defense Strategies has been pessimistic about canal district, in particular. “The enemy will soon capture the canal neighborhood in Chasiv Yar.”
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/20...450afb379d
