[Manthink]

Despite all the drama that is happening now, the chances of the two state solution is gradually increasing.

The only impediment to this approach has always been US assertiveness which emboldens the Israelis to think they can get away with the current approach of not recognizing, not assimilating and just going for unofficial land expansion.

US influence in the Middle East is depleting very rapidly - lost Iraq, lost Egypt, failure to put down Iran and Syria, wobbling with Saudi and Gulf Council Nations . They tried to reverse the decline by brokering Israel to reconcile with Saudi, probably promised a lot of goodies to both countries in the process as well.

Unfortunately for the US, Palestine and all the other Middle East countries are not pushovers. They aren’t going to watch the “betrayal of Palestine” just so for the US to claw back some lost influence in the region, hence the start of the drama now.

With things now, any Saudi-Israel reconciliation is in the bin for the foreseeable future and the US explicitly supporting Israel will inadvertently bring her into conflict with all other Middle East Muslim countries.

Regardless of the outcome of the war, whatever visages of influence the US has in this region will be further expunged. Going forward, US will be left with only Israel in the entire region. This is very bad for them in their global contest for supremacy with China.

This is yet another nail into the coffin of US geopolitics and combined with no signs of them resolving any of their own critical domestic issues, the level of support they can provide to Israel will taper over the mid to long term. The Israelis will eventually then have no choice but to accept and start serious negotiations on the two state solution.

If Israel insists on taking on the world (basically by violating all applicable UN resolutions) without adequate US support, then she will be going down the path of the ancient Kingdom of Israel and the middle ages Kingdom of Jerusalem - that of oblivion.

I don't know anyone one can read the sign on the Wall...the era of US-lead "Rule-based Order" is coming to an end...very quickly.

And it all began not so long ago from 9/11 that lead America to start or participate directly or indirectly in wars from Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan to Libya and attempted with playing the same game in Korea and at the Taiwan straits using Ukraine as a template for Washington's "Forever War"...

If I am an Israeli, I would seriously look at alternative options other than being America's "friend"...