SG Talk

(28-11-2024, 12:08 PM)MasterLeong888 Wrote: [ -> ]HK market not for trading its for value investing
HSI PE 10 yield 3.5%
SPY PE 30

HK market is super cheap now
buy to hold for long term 5 to 10 years sure make big money

Ah Butt is not for the long run! 5 to 10 years is too long to get his money stuck in there..he doesn't enjoy waiting for the Bbs to push it up!

He enjoys following the money trial...more sexciting..tiok boh Butt

(28-11-2024, 11:51 AM)p1acebo Wrote: [ -> ]Whatever sgbuffet says, just do the reverse and you will be ok

well said.

don't fight the fed means don't fight the sgbuffet !

(28-11-2024, 12:32 PM)forum456 Wrote: [ -> ]well said.

don't fight the fed means don't fight the sgbuffet !

Nice titties 

Why choose such a tough job to do? Reward/risk ratio is very high if one is not gd at it at all

This research is very interesting. I did the anakysis for more recent data.

There are more short term trading opportunities in HK market than in any other major market in the world

My initial analysis shows that the short term vs kongvterm vokatility relationships are broken when we compare with pure random walk where volatility is proportional to square root rtoot of time.

This means the HSI tends to reverse its short term moves. Creating many tradjng opportunities.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/ar...7100006063

(29-11-2024, 09:44 AM)sgbuffett Wrote: [ -> ]This research is very interesting. I did the anakysis for more recent data.

There are more short term trading opportunities in HK market than in any other major market in the world

My initial analysis shows that the short term vs kongvterm vokatility relationships are broken when we compare with pure random walk where volatility is proportional to square root rtoot of time.

This means the HSI tends to reverse its short term moves. Creating many tradjng opportunities.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/ar...7100006063

The research published in 2001 and use data from 1994 to 1997, which is b4 HK returned to China. The Basic Security Law must’ve changed all the stock market perceptions. Use it with care.

HSI is too weak to go up and did not break a simple resistance. Look like going down to cover the candlestick gap left uncovered few days ago.

China hk markets very risky and you kena burnt many times still never learned any lesson

(29-11-2024, 09:44 AM)sgbuffett Wrote: [ -> ]This research is very interesting. I did the anakysis for more recent data.

There are more short term trading opportunities in HK market than in any other major market in the world

My initial analysis shows that the short term vs kongvterm vokatility relationships are broken when we compare with pure random walk where volatility is proportional to square root rtoot of time.

This means the HSI tends to reverse its short term moves. Creating many tradjng opportunities.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/ar...7100006063

Dated research.

For short term trading, the Nasdaq offers the most opportunities and the highest risk-returns.

Hsi kateks die pain pain again

(29-11-2024, 10:21 AM)revealer Wrote: [ -> ]HSI is too weak to go up and did not break a simple resistance.  Look like going down to cover the candlestick gap left uncovered few days ago.

Talking bullshite as always

(27-11-2024, 09:25 PM)Zannn Wrote: [ -> ]One day wonder or not we don’t know but u always claim u r pro trader then should ride the trend. U just maintain shorts until one day u r correct?

If u think it’s one day wonder u should short now? Why didn’t u?

Sgbuffett Hsi come with 2nd day wonder Liao. How’s yr shorts got stop out?

(29-11-2024, 12:21 PM)Zannn Wrote: [ -> ]Sgbuffett Hsi come with 2nd day wonder Liao. How’s yr shorts got stop out?

2nd day wonder? Butvhave one day break in between..

Wait until uptrend confirmed...only if can break 20K...otherwise downtrend intact

(29-11-2024, 10:18 AM)revealer Wrote: [ -> ]The research published  in 2001 and use data from 1994 to 1997,  which is b4 HK returned to China. The Basic Security Law must’ve changed all the stock market perceptions.  Use it with care.

I used the method un the paper but use latest data to see if there are is non randomness.

Another failed temporary rally today

China NBS Mfg PMI increased slightly in Nov from 50.1 to 50.3 whereas the Non mfg PMI dropped from 50.2 to 50.  The composite PMI remained flat.  Looks like they can use more stimulus. When US has stimulus in 2020,  the PMI jumped from below 50 to 65 in the span of 6 months. So come Monday,  we might expect selling pressure except the stimulus rumor from the Economic Work Committee might hold it back.

Aiya china already doomed for 5000 yrs why jobless ermaos everyday still jjyy about china? Got find some jobs to make some money isn’t that better?

Be frank 5 to 10 years is not value investing is more like buy and forget about it

China market like buying at falling knife

Trading Economics did not give a good picture 4 china’s new order,  employments,  new export orders etc in its most recent report. The report about price declining indicates deflation.  So much for 7.5 Trillion yuan stimulus (RRR etc) not including the 10 Trillion yuan debt swap.

(30-11-2024, 05:47 PM)revealer Wrote: [ -> ]Trading Economics did not give a good picture 4 china’s new order,  employments,  new export orders etc in its most recent report. The report about price declining indicates deflation.  So much for 7.5 Trillion yuan stimulus (RRR etc) not including the 10 Trillion yuan debt swap.

I think China economy weakening is a known fact.
Slowing PMI may mean global econkmy slowing...given these depend on global demand.

(30-11-2024, 06:37 PM)sgbuffett Wrote: [ -> ]I think China economy weakening is a known fact.
Slowing PMI may mean global econkmy slowing...given these depend on global demand.

No hope liao.. Trump will use tariff on China..Chinese economy is really economy class liao..

No more business or 1st classs,,, sorry China..

(29-11-2024, 12:54 PM)sgbuffett Wrote: [ -> ]I used the method un the paper but use latest data to see if there are is non randomness.

How long did it take you?

The researchers probably spent at least months to do the calculations? If you did it in days then you're either a genius or hoodwinking us.

China bond yield has fallen below Japan for the first time signaling stagnation.

China will hv to take drastic measures like Japan,  dropping the interest rates to negative to save the deflation but unlike Japan,  the Government has heavy interest in the banking sectors whose profit will b greatly affected. So this deflation will drag on until it resolves itself one fine day.

https://www.investorinsights.asia/post/i...%E8%A1%8C)

After the 7.5 Trillion yuan stimulus, the home sales in China started to climb with + growth just 4 one month. It went down 6.9% in November.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/...ct-missing

(29-11-2024, 02:04 PM)sgbuffett Wrote: [ -> ]Another failed temporary rally today

Did u feel it? Hsi is getting stronger

(03-12-2024, 09:08 AM)Zannn Wrote: [ -> ]Did u feel it? Hsi is getting stronger

Very strong arrr sgbuffett shorted

(03-12-2024, 12:59 PM)Zannn Wrote: [ -> ]Very strong arrr sgbuffett shorted

I do not have any positions now.

I am waiting to see if HSI can go above 20K and stay above before taking positions.

Right now the HSI ia like a drunkard....going all over

(03-12-2024, 01:36 PM)sgbuffett Wrote: [ -> ]I do not have any positions now.

I am waiting to see if HSI can go above 20K and stay above before taking positions.

Right now the HSI ia like a drunkard....going all over

U be late by then